What Pass TD (allowed) is

Passing touchdowns allowed: opponent scoring plays that came on a completed pass.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Bears led at 1; the league average was 1.49.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

CHI · 1

League average

1.49

Best to worst

1.06

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	1	17
2	DET	1.06	17
3	NYJ	1.06	17
4	NO	1.12	17
5	ARI	1.18	17
6	DEN	1.29	17
7	MIA	1.29	17
8	PHI	1.29	17
9	GB	1.35	17
10	NYG	1.35	17
11	PIT	1.35	17
12	KC	1.41	17
13	LAC	1.41	17
14	MIN	1.41	17
15	SF	1.47	17
16	WAS	1.47	17
17	CLE	1.53	17
18	SEA	1.53	17
19	BAL	1.59	17
20	IND	1.59	17
21	NE	1.59	17
22	TB	1.59	17
23	TEN	1.59	17
24	BUF	1.65	17
25	DAL	1.65	17
26	JAX	1.71	17
27	LAR	1.71	17
28	LV	1.71	17
29	CIN	1.76	17
30	HOU	1.82	17
31	ATL	2	17
32	CAR	2.06	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 1

League laggard

CAR · 2.06

League average

1.49

Spread (max − min)

1.06

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	1	-0.49	100%
2	DET	1.06	-0.43	96.8%
3	NYJ	1.06	-0.43	93.5%
4	NO	1.12	-0.37	90.3%
5	ARI	1.18	-0.31	87.1%
6	DEN	1.29	-0.19	83.9%
7	MIA	1.29	-0.19	80.6%
8	PHI	1.29	-0.19	77.4%
9	GB	1.35	-0.13	74.2%
10	NYG	1.35	-0.13	71%
11	PIT	1.35	-0.13	67.7%
12	KC	1.41	-0.08	64.5%
13	LAC	1.41	-0.08	61.3%
14	MIN	1.41	-0.08	58.1%
15	SF	1.47	-0.02	54.8%
16	WAS	1.47	-0.02	51.6%
17	CLE	1.53	0.04	48.4%
18	SEA	1.53	0.04	45.2%
19	BAL	1.59	0.10	41.9%
20	IND	1.59	0.10	38.7%
21	NE	1.59	0.10	35.5%
22	TB	1.59	0.10	32.3%
23	TEN	1.59	0.10	29%
24	BUF	1.65	0.16	25.8%
25	DAL	1.65	0.16	22.6%
26	JAX	1.71	0.22	19.4%
27	LAR	1.71	0.22	16.1%
28	LV	1.71	0.22	12.9%
29	CIN	1.76	0.28	9.7%
30	HOU	1.82	0.34	6.5%
31	ATL	2	0.51	3.2%
32	CAR	2.06	0.57	0%

Does Pass TD (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 814–764–37 ATS (51.6%) across 2020–2025, #198 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (152–102, 59.8%); its worst 2021 (125–145, 46.3%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	152–102–2	59.8%
2021	272	125–145–2	46.3%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	122–136–14	47.3%
2024	272	130–133–9	49.4%
2025	272	141–128–3	52.4%

Pass TD (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023

Bears lead at 1 — they ranked #29 last year. Panthers are last at 2.06 — #4 last year.

The league average is 1.49, up 0.10 from 1.39 last year.

Biggest riser: Bears, #29 → #1. Biggest faller: Texans, #1 → #30.

Spread between first and last: 1.06; 23 teams are within 0.25 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +0.94

Biggest faller

CHI · −0.82

Most consistent

PIT · 0

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▲ 0.10

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	CAR	2.06	1.12	+0.94
2	HOU	1.82	1	+0.82
3	ATL	2	1.41	+0.59
4	BUF	1.65	1.06	+0.59
5	BAL	1.59	1.06	+0.53
6	LV	1.71	1.24	+0.47
7	NE	1.59	1.12	+0.47
8	CIN	1.76	1.35	+0.41
9	DAL	1.65	1.24	+0.41
10	TEN	1.59	1.18	+0.41
11	IND	1.59	1.24	+0.35
12	KC	1.41	1.12	+0.29
13	SF	1.47	1.18	+0.29
14	LAR	1.71	1.41	+0.29
15	SEA	1.53	1.24	+0.29
16	TB	1.59	1.35	+0.24
17	CLE	1.53	1.35	+0.18
18	GB	1.35	1.24	+0.12
19	JAX	1.71	1.59	+0.12
20	NYG	1.35	1.24	+0.12
21	MIN	1.41	1.35	+0.06
22	PIT	1.35	1.35	0
23	NYJ	1.06	1.12	−0.06
24	LAC	1.41	1.53	−0.12
25	NO	1.12	1.29	−0.18
26	MIA	1.29	1.59	−0.29
27	DEN	1.29	1.71	−0.41
28	DET	1.06	1.65	−0.59
29	ARI	1.18	1.88	−0.71
30	PHI	1.29	2.06	−0.76
31	WAS	1.47	2.29	−0.82
32	CHI	1	1.82	−0.82

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

MIN · 1.31

Multi-year laggard

WAS · 1.91

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.19/yr

Biggest decliner

BUF · +0.17/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	MIN	1.31	−0.19	1.88	1.71	1.35	1.35	1.41	0.88	0.60
2	DEN	1.32	−0.00	1.31	1.29	1.18	1.71	1.29	1.06	1.40
3	BAL	1.34	−0.06	1.38	1.82	1.18	1.06	1.59	1.35	1
4	NO	1.34	+0.01	1.75	1.18	1	1.29	1.12	1.47	1.60
5	HOU	1.36	−0.07	1.88	1.59	0.88	1	1.82	1.18	1.20
6	SF	1.37	−0.03	1.56	1.47	1.18	1.18	1.47	1.71	1
7	NE	1.38	−0.00	1.38	1.24	1.65	1.12	1.59	1.47	1.20
8	LAR	1.38	+0.11	1.06	1	1.35	1.41	1.71	1.53	1.60
9	SEA	1.39	+0.01	1.44	1.41	1.35	1.24	1.53	1.18	1.60
10	GB	1.39	−0.05	1.44	1.82	1.29	1.24	1.35	1.41	1.20
11	BUF	1.41	+0.17	1.44	0.71	1.31	1.06	1.65	1.12	2.60
12	KC	1.42	−0.14	1.81	1.59	1.94	1.12	1.41	1.06	1
13	PIT	1.42	−0.03	1.38	1.41	1.71	1.35	1.35	1.76	1
14	PHI	1.43	−0.11	1.69	1.65	1.29	2.06	1.29	0.82	1.20
15	NYG	1.44	+0.04	1.38	1.59	1.24	1.24	1.35	1.47	1.80
16	LAC	1.44	−0.09	1.81	1.59	1.41	1.53	1.41	0.94	1.40
17	NYJ	1.45	−0.06	2.13	1.65	0.88	1.12	1.06	2.12	1.20
18	CAR	1.48	−0.06	1.75	1.53	1.47	1.12	2.06	1.18	1.25
19	JAX	1.51	−0.13	2.13	1.41	1.47	1.59	1.71	1.47	0.80
20	CIN	1.52	−0.05	2	1.53	1.06	1.35	1.76	1.94	1
21	CHI	1.54	−0.07	1.75	1.82	1.29	1.82	1	1.88	1.20
22	IND	1.56	+0.00	1.50	1.88	1.47	1.24	1.59	1.41	1.80
23	TEN	1.56	−0.11	2.25	1.41	1.71	1.18	1.59	1.76	1
24	MIA	1.58	+0.11	1.31	1.35	1.59	1.59	1.29	1.71	2.20
25	TB	1.59	−0.03	1.81	1.53	1.71	1.35	1.59	1.76	1.40
26	CLE	1.60	+0.00	1.94	1.71	1.18	1.35	1.53	1.47	2
27	LV	1.63	+0.03	1.75	1.71	1.47	1.24	1.71	1.35	2.20
28	DAL	1.69	+0.04	2.13	1.41	1.35	1.24	1.65	2.06	2
29	ATL	1.75	−0.03	2.13	1.82	1.53	1.41	2	1.59	1.80
30	ARI	1.83	+0.11	1.63	1.76	1.71	1.88	1.18	1.82	2.80
31	DET	1.87	+0.03	2.38	1.82	1.53	1.65	1.06	1.82	2.80
32	WAS	1.91	+0.15	1.31	2	1.53	2.29	1.47	1.94	2.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	1.75	1.82	1.29	1.82	1	1.88	1.20
DET	2.38	1.82	1.53	1.65	1.06	1.82	2.80
NYJ	2.13	1.65	0.88	1.12	1.06	2.12	1.20
NO	1.75	1.18	1	1.29	1.12	1.47	1.60
ARI	1.63	1.76	1.71	1.88	1.18	1.82	2.80
DEN	1.31	1.29	1.18	1.71	1.29	1.06	1.40
MIA	1.31	1.35	1.59	1.59	1.29	1.71	2.20
PHI	1.69	1.65	1.29	2.06	1.29	0.82	1.20
GB	1.44	1.82	1.29	1.24	1.35	1.41	1.20
NYG	1.38	1.59	1.24	1.24	1.35	1.47	1.80
PIT	1.38	1.41	1.71	1.35	1.35	1.76	1
KC	1.81	1.59	1.94	1.12	1.41	1.06	1
LAC	1.81	1.59	1.41	1.53	1.41	0.94	1.40
MIN	1.88	1.71	1.35	1.35	1.41	0.88	0.60
SF	1.56	1.47	1.18	1.18	1.47	1.71	1
WAS	1.31	2	1.53	2.29	1.47	1.94	2.80
CLE	1.94	1.71	1.18	1.35	1.53	1.47	2
SEA	1.44	1.41	1.35	1.24	1.53	1.18	1.60
BAL	1.38	1.82	1.18	1.06	1.59	1.35	1
IND	1.50	1.88	1.47	1.24	1.59	1.41	1.80
NE	1.38	1.24	1.65	1.12	1.59	1.47	1.20
TB	1.81	1.53	1.71	1.35	1.59	1.76	1.40
TEN	2.25	1.41	1.71	1.18	1.59	1.76	1
BUF	1.44	0.71	1.31	1.06	1.65	1.12	2.60
DAL	2.13	1.41	1.35	1.24	1.65	2.06	2
JAX	2.13	1.41	1.47	1.59	1.71	1.47	0.80
LV	1.75	1.71	1.47	1.24	1.71	1.35	2.20
LAR	1.06	1	1.35	1.41	1.71	1.53	1.60
CIN	2	1.53	1.06	1.35	1.76	1.94	1
HOU	1.88	1.59	0.88	1	1.82	1.18	1.20
ATL	2.13	1.82	1.53	1.41	2	1.59	1.80
CAR	1.75	1.53	1.47	1.12	2.06	1.18	1.25

Pass TD (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (0.94), 2019 Patriots (0.81), 2020 Rams (1.06), 2021 Bills (0.71), 2022 Texans (0.88), 2023 Texans (1), 2024 Bears (1).

Texans have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.

The best season on record is Bills 2021 at 0.71; the worst Dolphins 2019 at 2.44.

The league average has fallen from 1.65 in 2018 to 1.49 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_passing_pass_td
Side: defensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.