Defensive: Passing · Pass adj net yds per att (allowed)
What Pass adj net yds per att (allowed) is
Adjusted net yards per attempt allowed: opponent passing yards, plus 20 for each touchdown allowed, minus 45 for each interception, minus sack yards, divided by attempts plus sacks. Touchdowns, interceptions and sacks all priced in — the most complete single pass-defense number here.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.
In 2018 the Bears led at 4.10; the league average was 6.33.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 4.10 | 16 |
| 2 | BUF | 4.90 | 16 |
| 3 | BAL | 5.20 | 16 |
| 4 | MIN | 5.20 | 16 |
| 5 | JAX | 5.50 | 16 |
| 6 | CLE | 5.70 | 16 |
| 7 | NE | 5.80 | 16 |
| 8 | TEN | 5.90 | 16 |
| 9 | LAC | 6.00 | 16 |
| 10 | ARI | 6.10 | 16 |
| 11 | IND | 6.10 | 16 |
| 12 | DEN | 6.20 | 16 |
| 13 | KC | 6.30 | 16 |
| 14 | LAR | 6.30 | 16 |
| 15 | PIT | 6.30 | 16 |
| 16 | WAS | 6.30 | 16 |
| 17 | HOU | 6.40 | 16 |
| 18 | NYG | 6.40 | 16 |
| 19 | PHI | 6.40 | 16 |
| 20 | DAL | 6.50 | 16 |
| 21 | NYJ | 6.50 | 16 |
| 22 | SEA | 6.50 | 16 |
| 23 | ATL | 6.70 | 16 |
| 24 | MIA | 6.70 | 16 |
| 25 | CAR | 6.90 | 16 |
| 26 | NO | 7.00 | 16 |
| 27 | GB | 7.10 | 16 |
| 28 | DET | 7.20 | 16 |
| 29 | CIN | 7.30 | 16 |
| 30 | SF | 7.50 | 16 |
| 31 | TB | 7.70 | 16 |
| 32 | LV | 8.00 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 4.10 | -2.23 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 4.90 | -1.43 | 96.8% |
| 3 | BAL | 5.20 | -1.13 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIN | 5.20 | -1.13 | 90.3% |
| 5 | JAX | 5.50 | -0.83 | 87.1% |
| 6 | CLE | 5.70 | -0.63 | 83.9% |
| 7 | NE | 5.80 | -0.53 | 80.6% |
| 8 | TEN | 5.90 | -0.43 | 77.4% |
| 9 | LAC | 6.00 | -0.33 | 74.2% |
| 10 | ARI | 6.10 | -0.23 | 71% |
| 11 | IND | 6.10 | -0.23 | 67.7% |
| 12 | DEN | 6.20 | -0.13 | 64.5% |
| 13 | KC | 6.30 | -0.03 | 61.3% |
| 14 | LAR | 6.30 | -0.03 | 58.1% |
| 15 | PIT | 6.30 | -0.03 | 54.8% |
| 16 | WAS | 6.30 | -0.03 | 51.6% |
| 17 | HOU | 6.40 | 0.07 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NYG | 6.40 | 0.07 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PHI | 6.40 | 0.07 | 41.9% |
| 20 | DAL | 6.50 | 0.17 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYJ | 6.50 | 0.17 | 35.5% |
| 22 | SEA | 6.50 | 0.17 | 32.3% |
| 23 | ATL | 6.70 | 0.37 | 29% |
| 24 | MIA | 6.70 | 0.37 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CAR | 6.90 | 0.57 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NO | 7.00 | 0.67 | 19.4% |
| 27 | GB | 7.10 | 0.77 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DET | 7.20 | 0.87 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CIN | 7.30 | 0.97 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | 7.50 | 1.17 | 6.5% |
| 31 | TB | 7.70 | 1.37 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LV | 8.00 | 1.67 | 0% |
Does Pass adj net yds per att (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #46 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (158–96, 62.2%); its worst 2023 (130–128, 50.4%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 158–96–2 | 62.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 148–122–2 | 54.8% |
| 2022 | 271 | 145–119–7 | 54.9% |
| 2023 | 272 | 130–128–14 | 50.4% |
| 2024 | 272 | 144–119–9 | 54.8% |
| 2025 | 272 | 154–115–3 | 57.2% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 5.39 | +0.29 | 5.70 | 3.80 | 5.10 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 4.90 | 7.40 |
| 2 | SEA | 5.49 | −0.41 | 6.10 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 6.10 | 5.80 | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| 3 | LAR | 5.57 | +0.08 | 4.60 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 6.10 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| 4 | DEN | 5.57 | −0.19 | 6.20 | 5.90 | 5.10 | 6.60 | 5.30 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| 5 | GB | 5.64 | −0.19 | 6.10 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 6.40 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 4.20 |
| 6 | SF | 5.70 | +0.03 | 5.80 | 6.10 | 5.20 | 4.60 | 5.90 | 7.10 | 5.20 |
| 7 | NE | 5.73 | +0.11 | 6.20 | 4.50 | 5.20 | 5.70 | 6.80 | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| 8 | PIT | 5.73 | +0.18 | 4.70 | 5.70 | 5.90 | 5.80 | 5.70 | 6.20 | 6.10 |
| 9 | MIN | 5.74 | −0.47 | 7.20 | 6.10 | 6.60 | 6.10 | 5.10 | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| 10 | PHI | 5.76 | −0.11 | 6.90 | 6.10 | 4.40 | 6.60 | 4.80 | 5.10 | 6.40 |
| 11 | NO | 5.77 | +0.25 | 5.40 | 5.30 | 5.40 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| 12 | CLE | 5.79 | −0.05 | 6.60 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 4.20 | 7.20 | 5.30 | 5.80 |
| 13 | KC | 5.80 | −0.13 | 6.20 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 4.90 | 5.90 | 6.00 | 5.30 |
| 14 | BAL | 5.94 | −0.03 | 5.60 | 7.60 | 5.80 | 4.10 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| 15 | LAC | 5.94 | −0.17 | 6.30 | 6.40 | 6.00 | 6.80 | 5.40 | 4.60 | 6.10 |
| 16 | HOU | 6.04 | −0.34 | 7.90 | 6.70 | 5.60 | 6.00 | 5.30 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| 17 | NYG | 6.06 | −0.00 | 6.10 | 5.70 | 6.20 | 5.70 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 5.40 |
| 18 | TB | 6.06 | +0.16 | 5.80 | 5.30 | 5.80 | 6.20 | 6.50 | 6.70 | 6.10 |
| 19 | NYJ | 6.21 | −0.13 | 7.30 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 4.30 | 5.90 | 8.10 | 5.40 |
| 20 | CAR | 6.27 | −0.07 | 6.60 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 5.80 | 7.30 | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| 21 | IND | 6.36 | +0.21 | 6.10 | 6.00 | 6.20 | 5.80 | 6.40 | 6.10 | 7.90 |
| 22 | CIN | 6.39 | −0.07 | 7.20 | 6.20 | 5.80 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.10 | 5.80 |
| 23 | MIA | 6.39 | +0.27 | 6.20 | 5.60 | 6.30 | 5.80 | 5.90 | 7.00 | 7.90 |
| 24 | ATL | 6.47 | −0.24 | 7.40 | 6.80 | 6.90 | 6.00 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 6.20 |
| 25 | JAX | 6.49 | −0.31 | 7.90 | 7.00 | 6.20 | 5.90 | 7.60 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| 26 | CHI | 6.59 | +0.04 | 6.60 | 6.70 | 7.00 | 5.70 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.50 |
| 27 | LV | 6.59 | −0.04 | 7.20 | 6.40 | 7.10 | 5.60 | 6.40 | 6.30 | 7.10 |
| 28 | DAL | 6.60 | +0.48 | 7.10 | 5.10 | 5.20 | 5.10 | 6.50 | 8.00 | 9.20 |
| 29 | TEN | 6.64 | +0.12 | 6.90 | 5.90 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| 30 | WAS | 6.66 | +0.29 | 4.80 | 7.10 | 6.00 | 7.70 | 6.30 | 7.60 | 7.10 |
| 31 | ARI | 6.77 | +0.37 | 5.90 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 6.80 | 8.90 |
| 32 | DET | 6.93 | −0.30 | 8.60 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 6.40 | 5.90 | 6.20 | 7.00 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 6.10 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 6.10 | 5.80 | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| MIN | 7.20 | 6.10 | 6.60 | 6.10 | 5.10 | 5.30 | 3.80 |
| GB | 6.10 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 6.40 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 4.20 |
| LAR | 4.60 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 6.10 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 5.00 |
| DEN | 6.20 | 5.90 | 5.10 | 6.60 | 5.30 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| SF | 5.80 | 6.10 | 5.20 | 4.60 | 5.90 | 7.10 | 5.20 |
| KC | 6.20 | 6.50 | 5.80 | 4.90 | 5.90 | 6.00 | 5.30 |
| NYG | 6.10 | 5.70 | 6.20 | 5.70 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 5.40 |
| NYJ | 7.30 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 4.30 | 5.90 | 8.10 | 5.40 |
| CAR | 6.60 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 5.80 | 7.30 | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| CIN | 7.20 | 6.20 | 5.80 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.10 | 5.80 |
| CLE | 6.60 | 5.50 | 5.90 | 4.20 | 7.20 | 5.30 | 5.80 |
| NE | 6.20 | 4.50 | 5.20 | 5.70 | 6.80 | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| BAL | 5.60 | 7.60 | 5.80 | 4.10 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 6.00 |
| JAX | 7.90 | 7.00 | 6.20 | 5.90 | 7.60 | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| LAC | 6.30 | 6.40 | 6.00 | 6.80 | 5.40 | 4.60 | 6.10 |
| PIT | 4.70 | 5.70 | 5.90 | 5.80 | 5.70 | 6.20 | 6.10 |
| TB | 5.80 | 5.30 | 5.80 | 6.20 | 6.50 | 6.70 | 6.10 |
| ATL | 7.40 | 6.80 | 6.90 | 6.00 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 6.20 |
| HOU | 7.90 | 6.70 | 5.60 | 6.00 | 5.30 | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| PHI | 6.90 | 6.10 | 4.40 | 6.60 | 4.80 | 5.10 | 6.40 |
| DET | 8.60 | 7.50 | 6.90 | 6.40 | 5.90 | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| TEN | 6.90 | 5.90 | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.60 | 7.00 |
| LV | 7.20 | 6.40 | 7.10 | 5.60 | 6.40 | 6.30 | 7.10 |
| WAS | 4.80 | 7.10 | 6.00 | 7.70 | 6.30 | 7.60 | 7.10 |
| NO | 5.40 | 5.30 | 5.40 | 5.30 | 6.00 | 5.80 | 7.20 |
| BUF | 5.70 | 3.80 | 5.10 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 4.90 | 7.40 |
| CHI | 6.60 | 6.70 | 7.00 | 5.70 | 6.50 | 6.10 | 7.50 |
| IND | 6.10 | 6.00 | 6.20 | 5.80 | 6.40 | 6.10 | 7.90 |
| MIA | 6.20 | 5.60 | 6.30 | 5.80 | 5.90 | 7.00 | 7.90 |
| ARI | 5.90 | 6.10 | 6.40 | 7.00 | 6.30 | 6.80 | 8.90 |
| DAL | 7.10 | 5.10 | 5.20 | 5.10 | 6.50 | 8.00 | 9.20 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_pass_adj_net_yds_per_att
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P only
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.