Week 5 results — 2026

Final scores, the closing line, and who covered.

Results for

Thursday 8 October

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-424
DALDallas Cowboys2-316
FinalTB covered
Vegas DAL -9.5DAL -10 → DAL -9.5Total 49.5
Power rating TB 98.3 (18th) · DAL 100.0 (14th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)

Sunday 11 October

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-317
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-119
FinalPHI covered
Vegas JAX -7.5JAX -3.5 → JAX -7.5Total 41.5
Power rating PHI 96.5 (29th) · JAX 104.2 (7th)
Algorithm took JAX — wrong
PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)
CHIChicago Bears3-27
GBGreen Bay Packers3-231
FinalGB covered
Vegas CHI -1.5Total 46.5
Power rating CHI 104.3 (5th) · GB 97.4 (25th)
Algorithm took CHI — wrong
CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)
CINCincinnati Bengals3-231
MIAMiami Dolphins0-524
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas CIN -7CIN -7.5 → CIN -7Total 44.5
Power rating CIN 101.8 (10th) · MIA 94.1 (32nd)
Algorithm took MIA — push
CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-217
NENew England Patriots3-245
FinalNE covered
Vegas NE -3.5Total 45.5
Power rating LV 101.5 (11th) · NE 99.0 (15th)
Algorithm took LV — wrong
LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)
MINMinnesota Vikings5-023
NONew Orleans Saints1-413
FinalMIN covered
Vegas MIN -2.5MIN -1.5 → MIN -2.5Total 41.5
Power rating MIN 101.5 (12th) · NO 97.4 (26th)
Algorithm took MIN — correct
MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)
CLECleveland Browns3-212
NYJNew York Jets2-317
FinalNYJ covered
Vegas NYJ -2.5NYJ -1.5 → NYJ -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating CLE 98.1 (20th) · NYJ 98.9 (16th)
Algorithm took NYJ — correct
CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)
INDIndianapolis Colts2-322
PITPittsburgh Steelers3-234
FinalPIT covered
Vegas PIT -3PIT -2.5 → PIT -3Total 41.5
Power rating IND 96.7 (28th) · PIT 97.8 (22nd)
Algorithm took PIT — correct
IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)
HOUHouston Texans1-426
TENTennessee Titans0-53
FinalHOU covered
Vegas HOU -6.5Total 37.5
Power rating HOU 98.2 (19th) · TEN 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took TEN — wrong
HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)
NYGNew York Giants3-1-127
WASWashington Commanders1-3-127
FinalNYG covered
Vegas WAS -3.5WAS -3 → WAS -3.5Total 41.5
Power rating NYG 97.8 (21st) · WAS 96.3 (30th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)
DENDenver Broncos3-223
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-517
FinalDEN covered
Vegas DEN -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating DEN 96.8 (27th) · LAC 97.6 (24th)
Algorithm took LAC — wrong
DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)
DETDetroit Lions3-245
ARIArizona Cardinals1-421
FinalDET covered
Vegas DET -5.5Total 55.5
Power rating DET 98.5 (17th) · ARI 94.8 (31st)
Algorithm took ARI — wrong
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-032
SEASeattle Seahawks3-229
FinalSF covered
Vegas SEA -3Total 46.5
Power rating SF 108.7 (1st) · SEA 105.4 (3rd)
Algorithm took SF — correct
SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)
BALBaltimore Ravens4-130
ATLAtlanta Falcons2-323
FinalBAL covered
Vegas ATL -3.5BAL -3.5 → ATL -3.5Total 44.5
Power rating BAL 104.3 (4th) · ATL 101.3 (13th)
Algorithm took ATL — wrong
BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)

Monday 12 October

BUFBuffalo Bills4-137
LARLos Angeles Rams2-334
FinalBUF covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -2.5 → LAR -3.5Total 55.5
Power rating BUF 103.3 (8th) · LAR 104.2 (6th)
Algorithm took LAR — wrong
BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)