Week 4 results — 2026

Final scores, the closing line, and who covered.

Results for

Thursday 1 October

PITPittsburgh Steelers3-224
CLECleveland Browns3-227
FinalCLE covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 97.8 (22nd) · CLE 97.5 (26th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
PIT 22.2 scored (18th) · 21.8 allowed (11th)CLE 18.6 scored (27th) · 22.4 allowed (14th)

Sunday 4 October

INDIndianapolis Colts2-330
WASWashington Commanders1-3-113
FinalIND covered
Vegas IND -4.5IND -3.5 → IND -4.5Total 46.5
Power rating IND 95.6 (30th) · WAS 96.2 (28th)
Algorithm took WAS — wrong
IND 24.8 scored (11th) · 27.6 allowed (27th)WAS 23.0 scored (17th) · 29.8 allowed (30th)
TENTennessee Titans0-518
BALBaltimore Ravens4-124
FinalTEN covered
Vegas BAL -11.5Total 42.5
Power rating TEN 98.5 (19th) · BAL 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 11.6 scored (32nd) · 21.8 allowed (12th)BAL 29.2 scored (6th) · 23.8 allowed (19th)
NENew England Patriots3-229
BUFBuffalo Bills4-126
FinalNE covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 49.5
Power rating NE 98.9 (18th) · BUF 103.6 (6th)
Algorithm took BUF — wrong
NE 22.0 scored (20th) · 18.8 allowed (4th)BUF 32.8 scored (1st) · 28.2 allowed (28th)
NYJNew York Jets2-312
CHIChicago Bears3-223
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 100.4 (13th) · CHI 103.4 (7th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
NYJ 18.6 scored (28th) · 19.2 allowed (6th)CHI 23.8 scored (14th) · 19.2 allowed (5th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars4-122
CINCincinnati Bengals3-217
FinalJAX covered
Vegas CIN -2.5Total 51.5
Power rating JAX 104.7 (4th) · CIN 101.9 (10th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
JAX 24.6 scored (12th) · 14.0 allowed (2nd)CIN 25.6 scored (10th) · 21.8 allowed (10th)
DALDallas Cowboys2-334
HOUHouston Texans1-430
FinalDAL covered
Vegas HOU -3HOU -2.5 → HOU -3Total 48.5
Power rating DAL 100.1 (14th) · HOU 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took DAL — correct
DAL 27.6 scored (7th) · 27.2 allowed (25th)HOU 22.0 scored (19th) · 22.4 allowed (16th)
ARIArizona Cardinals1-424
NYGNew York Giants3-1-136
FinalNYG covered
Vegas ARI -2.5ARI -1.5 → ARI -2.5Total 44.5
Power rating ARI 94.8 (31st) · NYG 96.2 (29th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
ARI 21.6 scored (23rd) · 32.4 allowed (32nd)NYG 21.8 scored (22nd) · 21.2 allowed (9th)
LARLos Angeles Rams2-324
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-320
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -3 → LAR -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating LAR 102.8 (8th) · PHI 98.2 (21st)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
LAR 23.8 scored (15th) · 24.0 allowed (20th)PHI 18.4 scored (29th) · 22.4 allowed (17th)
GBGreen Bay Packers3-217
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers1-414
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas GB -3GB -3.5 → GB -3Total 38.5
Power rating GB 97.0 (27th) · TB 98.3 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
GB 20.8 scored (24th) · 22.4 allowed (15th)TB 20.0 scored (25th) · 22.4 allowed (18th)
MIAMiami Dolphins0-510
MINMinnesota Vikings5-015
FinalMIA covered
Vegas MIN -10MIN -11.5 → MIN -10Total 38.5
Power rating MIA 93.4 (32nd) · MIN 101.4 (11th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
MIA 14.0 scored (31st) · 26.4 allowed (24th)MIN 21.8 scored (21st) · 12.8 allowed (1st)
KCKansas City Chiefs4-030
LVLas Vegas Raiders3-227
FinalLV covered
Vegas KC -4.5Total 47.5
Power rating KC 106.3 (2nd) · LV 102.4 (9th)
Algorithm took LV — correct
KC 29.5 scored (5th) · 19.3 allowed (7th)LV 26.4 scored (9th) · 25.8 allowed (23rd)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-523
SEASeattle Seahawks3-230
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -7Total 42.5
Power rating LAC 97.6 (24th) · SEA 105.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took SEA — push
LAC 16.8 scored (30th) · 25.8 allowed (22nd)SEA 26.8 scored (8th) · 21.0 allowed (8th)
DENDenver Broncos3-214
SFSan Francisco 49ers5-024
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -3Total 48.5
Power rating DEN 97.6 (25th) · SF 109.1 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — correct
DEN 19.4 scored (26th) · 22.2 allowed (13th)SF 30.8 scored (3rd) · 18.6 allowed (3rd)
DETDetroit Lions3-226
CARCarolina Panthers2-232
FinalCAR covered
Vegas DET -4.5DET -3.5 → DET -4.5Total 52.5
Power rating DET 99.3 (16th) · CAR 101.2 (12th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
DET 32.8 scored (2nd) · 29.6 allowed (29th)CAR 30.3 scored (4th) · 27.3 allowed (26th)

Monday 5 October

ATLAtlanta Falcons2-345
NONew Orleans Saints1-424
FinalATL covered
Vegas NO -1.5NO -3 → NO -1.5Total 47.5
Power rating ATL 99.4 (15th) · NO 99.3 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 23.8 scored (13th) · 24.4 allowed (21st)NO 23.6 scored (16th) · 30.2 allowed (31st)