Week 4 results — 2026

Final scores, the closing line, and who covered.

Results for

Thursday 1 October

PITPittsburgh Steelers6-224
CLECleveland Browns5-327
FinalCLE covered
Vegas PIT -2.5Total 38.5
Power rating PIT 97.8 (22nd) · CLE 97.5 (26th)
Algorithm took CLE — correct
PIT 22.5 scored (18th) · 18.0 allowed (3rd)CLE 17.4 scored (29th) · 21.6 allowed (13th)

Sunday 4 October

INDIndianapolis Colts2-630
WASWashington Commanders2-4-113
FinalIND covered
Vegas IND -4.5IND -3.5 → IND -4.5Total 46.5
Power rating IND 95.6 (30th) · WAS 96.2 (28th)
Algorithm took WAS — wrong
IND 20.1 scored (26th) · 27.8 allowed (30th)WAS 22.7 scored (17th) · 26.0 allowed (26th)
TENTennessee Titans1-718
BALBaltimore Ravens4-424
FinalTEN covered
Vegas BAL -11.5Total 42.5
Power rating TEN 98.5 (19th) · BAL 103.8 (5th)
Algorithm took TEN — correct
TEN 18.0 scored (28th) · 24.9 allowed (19th)BAL 22.4 scored (19th) · 25.4 allowed (22nd)
NENew England Patriots5-329
BUFBuffalo Bills6-126
FinalNE covered
Vegas BUF -7Total 49.5
Power rating NE 98.9 (18th) · BUF 103.6 (6th)
Algorithm took BUF — wrong
NE 23.0 scored (16th) · 20.3 allowed (9th)BUF 33.3 scored (1st) · 25.9 allowed (24th)
NYJNew York Jets2-612
CHIChicago Bears6-223
FinalCHI covered
Vegas CHI -3.5Total 43.5
Power rating NYJ 100.4 (13th) · CHI 103.4 (7th)
Algorithm took CHI — correct
NYJ 21.3 scored (25th) · 23.5 allowed (16th)CHI 26.8 scored (8th) · 20.0 allowed (8th)
JAXJacksonville Jaguars5-222
CINCincinnati Bengals5-217
FinalJAX covered
Vegas CIN -2.5Total 51.5
Power rating JAX 104.7 (4th) · CIN 101.9 (10th)
Algorithm took JAX — correct
JAX 28.0 scored (5th) · 15.9 allowed (2nd)CIN 29.4 scored (2nd) · 22.6 allowed (14th)
DALDallas Cowboys3-534
HOUHouston Texans2-530
FinalDAL covered
Vegas HOU -3HOU -2.5 → HOU -3Total 48.5
Power rating DAL 100.1 (14th) · HOU 97.8 (23rd)
Algorithm took DAL — correct
DAL 27.4 scored (7th) · 26.6 allowed (27th)HOU 23.6 scored (12th) · 24.3 allowed (18th)
ARIArizona Cardinals3-524
NYGNew York Giants4-2-136
FinalNYG covered
Vegas ARI -2.5ARI -1.5 → ARI -2.5Total 44.5
Power rating ARI 94.8 (31st) · NYG 96.2 (29th)
Algorithm took NYG — correct
ARI 21.9 scored (21st) · 29.8 allowed (32nd)NYG 23.3 scored (13th) · 23.0 allowed (15th)
LARLos Angeles Rams4-424
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles2-620
FinalLAR covered
Vegas LAR -3.5LAR -3 → LAR -3.5Total 42.5
Power rating LAR 102.8 (8th) · PHI 98.2 (21st)
Algorithm took PHI — wrong
LAR 24.3 scored (10th) · 21.0 allowed (12th)PHI 17.1 scored (30th) · 25.3 allowed (21st)
GBGreen Bay Packers5-317
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers3-514
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas GB -3GB -3.5 → GB -3Total 38.5
Power rating GB 97.0 (27th) · TB 98.3 (20th)
Algorithm took TB — correct
GB 21.4 scored (24th) · 20.5 allowed (10th)TB 22.3 scored (20th) · 18.9 allowed (5th)
MIAMiami Dolphins1-610
MINMinnesota Vikings6-115
FinalMIA covered
Vegas MIN -10MIN -11.5 → MIN -10Total 38.5
Power rating MIA 93.4 (32nd) · MIN 101.4 (11th)
Algorithm took MIA — correct
MIA 16.7 scored (31st) · 25.9 allowed (25th)MIN 20.0 scored (27th) · 13.3 allowed (1st)
KCKansas City Chiefs5-230
LVLas Vegas Raiders4-427
FinalLV covered
Vegas KC -4.5Total 47.5
Power rating KC 106.3 (2nd) · LV 102.4 (9th)
Algorithm took LV — correct
KC 23.9 scored (11th) · 18.7 allowed (4th)LV 27.6 scored (6th) · 28.8 allowed (31st)
LACLos Angeles Chargers0-723
SEASeattle Seahawks4-430
FinalPush vs the spread
Vegas SEA -7Total 42.5
Power rating LAC 97.6 (24th) · SEA 105.8 (3rd)
Algorithm took SEA — push
LAC 14.1 scored (32nd) · 25.0 allowed (20th)SEA 23.1 scored (15th) · 19.9 allowed (7th)
DENDenver Broncos6-214
SFSan Francisco 49ers6-124
FinalSF covered
Vegas SF -3Total 48.5
Power rating DEN 97.6 (25th) · SF 109.1 (1st)
Algorithm took SF — correct
DEN 21.5 scored (22nd) · 20.6 allowed (11th)SF 28.1 scored (4th) · 19.9 allowed (6th)
DETDetroit Lions5-226
CARCarolina Panthers3-432
FinalCAR covered
Vegas DET -4.5DET -3.5 → DET -4.5Total 52.5
Power rating DET 99.3 (16th) · CAR 101.2 (12th)
Algorithm took CAR — correct
DET 29.0 scored (3rd) · 25.7 allowed (23rd)CAR 25.4 scored (9th) · 27.6 allowed (28th)

Monday 5 October

ATLAtlanta Falcons3-545
NONew Orleans Saints2-524
FinalATL covered
Vegas NO -1.5NO -3 → NO -1.5Total 47.5
Power rating ATL 99.4 (15th) · NO 99.3 (17th)
Algorithm took ATL — correct
ATL 21.4 scored (23rd) · 23.6 allowed (17th)NO 23.1 scored (14th) · 27.7 allowed (29th)