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Buffalo Bills

AFC East

Team

Off EXP

90.62

Def EXP

-78.26

#30

Net EXP

12.36

Record

6-1

Pythag 9.9 (-3.9)

Power Rating

103.0

SRS

+6.51

SoS Rank

#23

pts: −0.9 (#19)

#23

Pts / Game

32.8

Home 31.8 · Road 35.3

Net Pts / G

+7.4

Pts Allowed / G

28.5

Home 21.5 · Road 31.7

#30

Yds / Play

6.50

Yds/Play Allowed

5.60

#24

3rd Down %

47.6%

3rd Down % Allowed

45.0%

#27

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).


Points	197	153.94	+43.06	#1
Total Yards	2326	2,223.56	+102.44	#13
Yds / Play	6.50	5.35	+1.15	#1
1st Downs	143	132.25	+10.75	#11
Turnovers	9	8.19	+0.81	#20
Fumbles Lost	5	3.63	+1.38	#25
EXP Pts	90.62	22.12	+68.50	#1

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.


Points	171	153.94	+17.06	#24
Total Yards	2321	2,223.56	+97.44	#21
Yds / Play	5.60	5.34	+0.26	#24
1st Downs	154	132.25	+21.75	#30
Turnovers	6	8.19	-2.19	#25
Fumbles Lost	3	3.63	-0.63	#20
EXP Pts	-78.26	-22.12	-56.14	#30

Scoring Composition

Where Buffalo Bills's points come from. Total = 197 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	171	223.28	-52.28	#30
Pass Cmp	114	143.16	-29.16	#29
Cmp %	66.70	64.09	+2.61	#9
Pass Yds	1433	1,477.25	-44.25	#20
Yds / Att	8.80	7.07	+1.73	#1
Yds / Cmp	13.20	11.03	+2.17	#1
Adj Y/A	8.80	7.06	+1.74	#4
Adj NY/A	7.80	6.21	+1.59	#3
Pass TD	9	10.22	-1.22	#22
TD %	5.30	4.57	+0.73	#7
Pass Int	4	4.71	-0.71	#14
Int %	2.30	2.12	+0.18	#21
Sack %	6.60	6.41	+0.19	#18
Pass Rating	102.10	91.61	+10.49	#7
EXP Pts Pass	65.95	30.50	+35.45	#5

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.


Pass Att	242	223.28	+18.72	#9
Pass Cmp	157	143.16	+13.84	#26
Cmp %	64.90	64.15	+0.75	#16
Pass Yds	1715	1,477.25	+237.75	#30
Yds / Att	7.40	7.07	+0.33	#20
Yds / Cmp	11.40	11.02	+0.38	#24
Adj Y/A	8.10	7.06	+1.04	#27
Adj NY/A	7.40	6.21	+1.19	#28
Pass TD	15	10.22	+4.78	#29
TD %	6.20	4.61	+1.59	#27
Pass Int	3	4.56	-1.56	#24
Int %	1.20	2.07	-0.87	#25
Sack %	4.30	6.28	-1.98	#27
Pass Rating	102.50	91.71	+10.79	#26
EXP Pts Pass	-91.60	-30.50	-61.10	#32

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for BUF 2026. Click Details for full breakdown.

FG%

100.0%

#1 of 32

PAT%

91.0%

#26 of 32

GW FG (made/att)

1 / 1

#3 of 32

Return Yards

972

#9 of 32

Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

Long

56 yd

FG %

100.0%

By distance

Range (yd)	Made	%
0-19	0	—
20-29	5	100.0%
30-39	4	100.0%
40-49	5	100.0%
50-59	2	100.0%
60+	0	—

Made FG distances

20–292223272828(5)

30–3933343838(4)

40–494445464749(5)

50–595156(2)

Point After Touchdown (PAT)

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

PAT %

91.0%

Game-Winning Field Goals

Made

Attempts

Missed

Blocked

GWFG distances

40–4945(1)

Returns

Punt returns

Punt return yds

161

Punt avg

10.7

Kickoff returns

Kickoff return yds

811

Kickoff avg

27.0

Total return yds

972

Punting P

Punts

Punt yards

584

Gross avg

48.7

Net yards

552

Net avg

Long

63 yd

Inside 20

Inside 20 %

50.0%

Touchbacks

TB %

0.0%

Blocked

Return yds allowed

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for BUF 2026.

#5 of 32

#6 of 32

#22 of 32

#19 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for BUF 2026. Higher = better.

Pass EPA

+59.4

#5 of 32

Rush EPA

+17.9

#1 of 32

Recv EPA

+78.5

#6 of 32

CPOE

+4.01

#6 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for BUF 2026 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Pass Air Yds

1,852

#18 of 32

Pass YAC

920

#10 of 32

Recv Air Yds

1,852

#18 of 32

Recv YAC

920

#10 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for BUF 2026. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Penalties

#25 of 32

Penalty Yds

526

#29 of 32

1st Downs Allowed

#29 of 32

Yds / Game

75.1

#32 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2026 vs 2025.


Penalties Yds	848	439	-409
Pass Sacked Yds	298	71	-227
Penalties	101	51	-50

5-Year Trajectory

BUF Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2022 through 2026. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Ranked in all 300 stats, 2026

Best:1st Downs by Penalty #1 · Alltd #1 · EXP #1 Worst:Third down att #32 · Start avg (allowed) #32 · Rec Fumbles Lost #32

All 300 stats, ranked →

Last game — Week 8, 2026

W vs BAL · 36–10

BUF covered.

Open the week →

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for BUF 2026.

Cmp %

66.7%

Pass Yds/G

204.7

#20

Pass Rating

102.1

Pass TD

#22

Pass Int

#14

Sack Rate

6.6%

Weekly Results

Per-week results, scores, and ATS outcome. See the Weekly Results candlestick below for visual season trajectory.


1	@ HOU	W	36-31	W	—	—	—
2	vs DET	W	41-31	W	—	—	—
3	vs LAC	W	24-16	W	—	—	—
4	vs NE	L	26-29	L	—	—	—
5	@ LAR	W	37-34	W	—	—	—
6	@ LV	W	33-30	L	—	—	—
7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
8	vs BAL	W	36-10	W	—	—	—
9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
13	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
17	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
18	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. BUF has 7 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.


Overall	7	6-1	5-2	71.4%	5-2	71.4%	+7.4	+3.7	26	+23.0
Home	4	3-1	3-1	—	2-2	—	+10.2	+4.6	26	+23.0
Away	3	3-0	2-1	—	3-0	—	+3.7	+2.5	5	+6.5
As favorite	6	5-1	4-2	66.7%	4-2	66.7%	+8.2	+3.2	26	+23.0
As underdog	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+3.0	+6.5	3	+6.5
Division games	1	0-1	0-1	—	1-0	—	-3.0	-10.0	—	-10.0
Non-division	6	6-0	5-1	83.3%	4-2	66.7%	+9.2	+6.0	26	+23.0
Pick-em (≤3)	2	2-0	2-0	—	1-1	—	+15.5	+13.2	26	+23.0
Small favorite (3-7)	2	2-0	1-1	—	2-0	—	+6.5	+1.0	10	+4.5
Large favorite (7+)	2	1-1	1-1	—	1-1	—	+2.5	-4.5	8	+1.0
Small underdog (3-7)	1	1-0	1-0	—	1-0	—	+3.0	+6.5	3	+6.5

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2026. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).


HOU	Houston Texans	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+5.0	+3.5
DET	Detroit Lions	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+10.0	+4.5
LAC	Los Angeles Chargers	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+8.0	+1.0
NE	New England Patriots	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	-3.0	-10.0
LAR	Los Angeles Rams	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	+3.0	+6.5
LV	Las Vegas Raiders	1	1-0	0-1	1-0	+3.0	-2.5
BAL	Baltimore Ravens	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	+26.0	+23.0

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Sep	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%
Oct	3	2-1	1-2	3-0	33%
Nov	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

By day of week

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Thu	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Sun	5	4-1	3-2	3-2	60%
Mon	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%

By season half

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
First half (W1-9)	7	6-1	5-2	5-2	71%

By surface

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Grass	4	3-1	2-2	3-1	50%
Turf	3	3-0	3-0	2-1	100%

By site role

No data.

By group

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Same division	1	0-1	0-1	1-0	0%
Same conference	4	4-0	3-1	2-2	75%
Inter-conference	2	2-0	2-0	2-0	100%

Weather

Weather data not yet available for this season.

Data coverage: 2015 onward.

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

Dimension	Streak	Length
SU	W	3
ATS	W	1
O/U	U	1

Longest this season

Dimension	Length
Longest SU win streak	3
Longest SU loss streak	1
Longest ATS cover	3
Longest ATS no-cover	1
Longest O streak	3
Longest U streak	1

Performance context

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
After a win	5	4-1	3-2	3-2	60%
After a loss	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
On 2+ winning streak	3	2-1	2-1	1-2	67%
vs winning opp.	3	3-0	2-1	2-1	67%
vs losing opp.	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	50%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Outdoor	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Retractable (closed)	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

By venue type

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Domestic home	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Domestic road	3	3-0	2-1	3-0	67%

By travel distance

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Home (0 mi)	4	3-1	3-1	2-2	75%
Medium (500-1500)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Long (1500+)	2	2-0	1-1	2-0	50%

By rest days

Bucket	G	SU	ATS	O/U	ATS%
Short week (3-4d)	1	1-0	1-0	1-0	100%
Standard (5-7d)	2	1-1	0-2	2-0	0%
Long week (8-10d)	2	2-0	2-0	1-1	100%
Bye+ (11+d)	1	1-0	1-0	0-1	100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month

SepATS 3-03 G

OctATS 1-23 G

NovATS 1-01 G

By day of week

ThuATS 1-01 G

SunATS 3-25 G

MonATS 1-01 G

By season half

First half (W1-9)ATS 5-27 G

By surface

GrassATS 2-24 G

TurfATS 3-03 G

By site role

No data.

By group

Same divisionATS 0-11 G

Same conferenceATS 3-14 G

Inter-conferenceATS 2-02 G

By environment

OutdoorATS 3-14 G

Retractable (closed)ATS 1-12 G

By venue type

Domestic homeATS 3-14 G

Domestic roadATS 2-13 G

By travel distance

Home (0 mi)ATS 3-14 G

Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-01 G

Long (1500+)ATS 1-12 G

By rest days

Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G

Standard (5-7d)ATS 0-22 G

Long week (8-10d)ATS 2-02 G

Bye+ (11+d)ATS 1-01 G

By opponent SRS

Elite (1-8)ATS 0-11 G

Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-03 G

Below avg (17-24)ATS 0-11 G

Weak (25-32)ATS 2-02 G

ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 7.3 ptsBias +3.7 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Stat:

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

Team	Record	SoS	Pts/G	Pts Allowed/G	Off EXP	Def EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)	6-1	0.446 #23	32.8	28.5	90.62	-78.26
Miami Dolphins (MIA)	1-6	0.645 #1	16.3	26.2	1.66	-60.83
New England Patriots (NE)	5-3	0.563 #6	22.9	20.4	36.60	-16.39
New York Jets (NYJ)	2-6	0.509 #16	19.6	21.4	10.87	-23.34

Insights

As of week 7, how the 2026 Buffalo Bills rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per play (1st of 32), offensive epa per rush (1st of 32), and offensive epa per rush (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32), defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32), and defensive epa per pass play allowed (29th of 32).


Drives	63	71.16	-8.16	#26
Plays / Drive	5.90	6.00	-0.10	#17
Yds / Drive	36.90	30.97	+5.93	#4
Points / Drive	3.17	2.12	+1.05	#1
Score %	57.10	39.59	+17.51	#1
Turnover %	14.30	10.59	+3.71	#27


Rush Att	176	178.38	-2.38	#15
Rush Yds	893	746.31	+146.69	#5
Rush Y/A	5.10	4.17	+0.93	#2
Rush TD	14	6.38	+7.63	#1
EXP Pts Rush	31.71	-2.85	+34.56	#1


3rd Down Att	63	86.19	-23.19	#32
3rd Down Made	30	34.34	-4.34	#25
4th Down Att	4	9.50	-5.50	#30
4th Down Made	3	5.09	-2.09	#22
Red Zone Att	26	22.06	+3.94	#7
Red Zone Scores	18	13.09	+4.91	#5


Drives	62	71.16	-9.16	#6
Plays / Drive	6.80	6.01	+0.79	#32
Yds / Drive	37.20	30.98	+6.22	#31
Points / Drive	2.76	2.11	+0.65	#32
Score %	46.80	39.47	+7.33	#30
Turnover %	9.70	10.67	-0.97	#16


Rush Att	158	178.38	-20.38	#8
Rush Yds	606	746.31	-140.31	#7
Rush Y/A	3.80	4.16	-0.36	#9
Rush TD	6	6.38	-0.38	#20
EXP Pts Rush	5.16	2.85	+2.31	#15


2022	156.4	10.9	+167.3
2023	167.0	15.2	+182.2
2024	221.4	-51.4	+170.0
2025	186.8	-33.7	+153.1
2026	90.6	-78.3	+12.4

Scoring & Efficiency

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Scoring Composition

Offense

Drive Averages

Rushing

Passing

Team Conversions

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Rushing Defense

Passing Defense

Team Conversions Defense

Special Teams

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

EPA & Efficiency

Air Yards & YAC

Discipline

Top 10 Ranks

Bottom 10 Ranks

Most Improved YoY

5-Year Trajectory

Ranked in all 300 stats, 2026

Passing Profile

Weekly Results

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Betting Profile

Head-to-Head

Schedule Context

By month

By day of week

By season half

By surface

By site role

By group

Weather

Streaks & Trends

Current streaks

Longest this season

Performance context

Travel & Venue Context

By environment

By venue type

By travel distance

By rest days

Betting Profile Heatmap

Spread-Role Performance

Vegas Accuracy

Stat trajectory

Division Comparison: AFC East

Insights

Other teams in AFC East

Neighboring teams in Power Rankings