SF at ATL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SF the better side by 5.2.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SF -4.5
Now SF -3 — SF favoured by 1.5 less since first recorded
Line history: SF -4.5 ×3 (Oct 16–Oct 19) · SF -3 ×2 (Oct 20–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | SF | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 6-0 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3 | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2 |
| At home | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| As underdog | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 |
| In division | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 3-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 3-0 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | SF | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 122 | 110 |
| Passing | 68 | 54 |
| Rushing | 50 | 50 |
| From penalties | 11 | 10 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 34 of 66 | 28 of 72 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 4 | 1 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,229 | 2,163 |
| Total plays | 337 | 359 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| Drives | 60 | 69 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,460 | 1,266 |
| Completions | 119-177 | 103-186 |
| Yards per pass | 8.2 | 6.8 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 7 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 5 (29) | 16 (97) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 769 | 897 |
| Attempts | 168 | 177 |
| Yards per rush | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 18 of 26 | 12 of 20 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 36 (331) | 40 (386) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 7 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 7 ATL 10, SF 20 SF won
- 2022 wk 6 SF 14, ATL 28 ATL won
- 2021 wk 15 ATL 13, SF 31 SF won
- 2019 wk 15 ATL 29, SF 22 ATL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (8th) against ATL's defense (32nd) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 8th in interception rate (thrown); ATL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks T-1st in third-down conversion rate; ATL's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 7th in yards after catch; SF's defense ranks 28th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 9th in yards after catch; ATL's defense ranks 29th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 3rd in yards per carry; SF's defense ranks 7th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 14th in yards per drive; SF's defense ranks 16th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: SF (6 wins, 0 losses), on a 6-game winning streak at ATL (2 wins, 4 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- SF: completion rate allowed 67.5 over the last four weeks, up from 60.8 — 9th to 30th in the league.
- ATL: points per drive 2.9 over the last four weeks, up from 0.6 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Brock Purdy for SF, Michael Penix Jr. for ATL.
- ATL enters on 7 days rest to SF's 6.