CHI at ATL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes ATL the better side by 3.4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CHI -1.5
Now CHI -1.5
Line history: CHI -1.5 ×2 (Oct 9–Oct 10) · CHI -3 ×3 (Oct 12–Oct 13) · CHI -1.5 ×18 (Oct 16–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | CHI | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-2 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 3-4 | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-5 · O/U 4-4 |
| At home | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| As underdog | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 3-4 · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
| Out of division | SU 5-0 · ATS 5-0 · O/U 3-2 | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 2-3 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | CHI | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 157 | 139 |
| Passing | 85 | 67 |
| Rushing | 57 | 61 |
| From penalties | 9 | 13 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 44 of 100 | 32 of 95 |
| Fourth down | 10 of 17 | 4 of 12 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,864 | 2,682 |
| Total plays | 497 | 470 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 5.7 |
| Drives | 78 | 91 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,784 | 1,604 |
| Completions | 165-259 | 136-244 |
| Yards per pass | 6.9 | 6.6 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 10 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 11 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 18 (129) | 16 (97) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,080 | 1,078 |
| Attempts | 246 | 234 |
| Yards per rush | 4.4 | 4.6 |
| Touchdowns | 14 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 15 of 36 | 14 of 27 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 53 (411) | 48 (450) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 11 | 14 |
| Fumbles lost | 8 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 11 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 CHI 31, ATL 23 CHI won
- 2023 wk 17 ATL 17, CHI 37 CHI won
- 2022 wk 11 CHI 24, ATL 27 ATL won
- 2020 wk 3 CHI 30, ATL 26 CHI won
- 2017 wk 1 ATL 23, CHI 17 ATL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: ATL's offense (7th) against CHI's defense (31st) in yards per completion.
The mismatch
- ATL's offense ranks 7th in yards per completion; CHI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 9th in yards per play; CHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 11th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- CHI's offense ranks T-10th in passing first downs; ATL's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 15th in sack rate (taken); ATL's defense ranks 24th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 12th in yards after catch; ATL's defense ranks T-20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: CHI (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at ATL (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- CHI: penalties 20.0 over the last four weeks, up from 12.0 — 32nd to 2nd in the league.
- ATL: third-down conversion rate 47.9 over the last four weeks, up from 16.7 — 31st to 5th in the league.
- Head-to-head: CHI leads ATL 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Tyson Bagent for CHI, Michael Penix Jr. for ATL.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.