DET at ARI
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DET the better side by 1.3.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DET -5.5
Now DET -4.5 — DET favoured by 1 less since first recorded
Line history: DET -5.5 ×5 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · DET -4.5 ×4 (Oct 5–Oct 6)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | DET | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-2 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 4-0 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| At home | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| On the road | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 3-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Out of division | SU 2-2 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 4-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | DET | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 98 | 79 |
| Passing | 64 | 48 |
| Rushing | 29 | 24 |
| From penalties | 10 | 9 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 18 of 46 | 22 of 55 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 7 | 3 of 4 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,622 | 1,220 |
| Total plays | 265 | 259 |
| Yards per play | 6.1 | 4.7 |
| Drives | 42 | 44 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,214 | 818 |
| Completions | 109-169 | 103-159 |
| Yards per pass | 7.2 | 5.1 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 8 (65) | 7 (41) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 408 | 402 |
| Attempts | 98 | 104 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 13 of 19 | 8 of 15 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 31 (227) | 31 (300) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 1 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 4 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 3 DET 20, ARI 13 DET won
- 2021 wk 15 ARI 12, DET 30 DET won
- 2020 wk 3 DET 26, ARI 23 DET won
- 2019 wk 1 DET 27, ARI 27
- 2018 wk 14 DET 17, ARI 3 DET won
- 2017 wk 1 ARI 23, DET 35 DET won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DET's offense (2nd) against ARI's defense (30th) in expected points added passing.
The mismatch
- DET's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added passing; ARI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 4th in points per drive; ARI's defense ranks 29th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 4th in red-zone scoring rate; ARI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-5th in fourth-down conversion rate; DET's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-12th in passing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 10th in completion rate; DET's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: DET (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at ARI (1 win, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: DET leads ARI 4–0–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jared Goff for DET, Jacoby Brissett for ARI.