CLE at NYJ
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NYJ the better side by 3.3.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NYJ -1.5
Now NYJ -2.5 — NYJ favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: NYJ -1.5 ×7 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · NYJ -2.5 ×23 (Oct 6–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | CLE | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-3 · ATS 5-3 · O/U 4-4 | SU 2-6 · ATS 4-3-1 · O/U 4-4 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| As underdog | SU 4-3 · ATS 4-3 · O/U 3-4 | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| In division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Out of division | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 2-4 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | CLE | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 137 | 145 |
| Passing | 85 | 82 |
| Rushing | 40 | 55 |
| From penalties | 15 | 22 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 33 of 102 | 39 of 100 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 11 | 6 of 9 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,589 | 2,754 |
| Total plays | 478 | 463 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Drives | 94 | 83 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,808 | 1,913 |
| Completions | 166-286 | 165-265 |
| Yards per pass | 6.3 | 7.2 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 12 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 33 (174) | 23 (194) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 781 | 841 |
| Attempts | 199 | 206 |
| Yards per rush | 3.9 | 4.1 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 26 | 10 of 32 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 72 (505) | 64 (515) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 10 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 8 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 5 CLE 12, NYJ 17 NYJ won
- 2025 wk 10 CLE 20, NYJ 27 NYJ won
- 2023 wk 17 NYJ 20, CLE 37 CLE won
- 2022 wk 2 NYJ 31, CLE 30 NYJ won
- 2020 wk 16 CLE 16, NYJ 23 NYJ won
- 2019 wk 2 CLE 23, NYJ 3 CLE won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (T-4th) against CLE's defense (T-27th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; CLE's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 2nd in share of drives ending in a turnover; CLE's defense ranks T-20th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 6th in completion rate; NYJ's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 4th in yards after catch; NYJ's defense ranks 18th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 13th in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); CLE's defense ranks 11th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: CLE (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 3-game winning streak at NYJ (1 win, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 3–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Deshaun Watson for CLE, Geno Smith for NYJ.
- CLE enters on 10 days rest to NYJ's 7.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.