CIN at MIA
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes CIN the better side by 5.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CIN -7.5
Now CIN -7 — CIN favoured by 0.5 less since first recorded
Line history: CIN -7.5 ×5 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · CIN -7 ×4 (Oct 5–Oct 6)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | CIN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 0-4 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 |
| At home | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-3 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | |
| As underdog | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-4 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Out of division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-4 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-3 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | CIN | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 82 | 53 |
| Passing | 59 | 27 |
| Rushing | 21 | 21 |
| From penalties | 11 | 6 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 25 of 53 | 20 of 50 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 4 | 1 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,468 | 1,128 |
| Total plays | 247 | 210 |
| Yards per play | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Drives | 39 | 37 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,171 | 712 |
| Completions | 112-166 | 58-114 |
| Yards per pass | 7.1 | 6.2 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 9 (61) | 11 (58) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 297 | 416 |
| Attempts | 83 | 96 |
| Yards per rush | 3.6 | 4.3 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 6 of 17 | 3 of 10 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 36 (273) | 32 (230) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 16 CIN 45, MIA 21 CIN won
- 2022 wk 4 MIA 15, CIN 27 CIN won
- 2020 wk 13 CIN 7, MIA 19 MIA won
- 2019 wk 16 CIN 35, MIA 38 MIA won
- 2018 wk 5 MIA 17, CIN 27 CIN won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: CIN's offense (3rd) against MIA's defense (32nd) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- CIN's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; MIA's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 6th in yards per drive; MIA's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 5th in passing first downs; MIA's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 6th in average drive start (yards to go); CIN's defense ranks 25th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 11th in yards per completion; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 11th in yards per carry; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: CIN (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at MIA (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: CIN leads MIA 3–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Joe Burrow for CIN, Malik Willis for MIA.