TEN at BAL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes BAL the better side by 7.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened BAL -11.5
Now BAL -11.5
Line history: BAL -11.5 ×39 (Sep 29–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | TEN | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 1-5 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-4 | SU 4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| At home | SU 0-3 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| Out of division | SU 0-4 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 | SU 4-1 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-2 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | TEN | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 89 | 120 |
| Passing | 49 | 68 |
| Rushing | 30 | 48 |
| From penalties | 7 | 14 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 24 of 69 | 26 of 66 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 6 | 2 of 5 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,495 | 2,305 |
| Total plays | 318 | 361 |
| Yards per play | 4.7 | 6.4 |
| Drives | 59 | 67 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 998 | 1,396 |
| Completions | 109-188 | 119-183 |
| Yards per pass | 5.3 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 9 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 1 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 10 (77) | 14 (99) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 497 | 909 |
| Attempts | 131 | 186 |
| Yards per rush | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 9 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 7 of 15 | 15 of 24 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 38 (302) | 50 (398) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 6 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 4 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 1 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 TEN 18, BAL 24 BAL won
- 2023 wk 6 BAL 24, TEN 16 BAL won
- 2020 wk 11 TEN 30, BAL 24 TEN won
- 2018 wk 6 BAL 21, TEN 0 BAL won
- 2017 wk 9 BAL 20, TEN 23 TEN won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (7th) against TEN's defense (30th) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks 7th in completion rate; TEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 3rd in rushing first downs; TEN's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 2nd in net yards per pass attempt; TEN's defense ranks 21st against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; BAL's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 9th in interception rate (thrown); BAL's defense ranks 25th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 8th in expected points added rushing; BAL's defense ranks 21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: TEN (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at BAL (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads TEN 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Cam Ward for TEN, Lamar Jackson for BAL.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.