NYJ at CHI
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes CHI the better side by 5.4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CHI -3.5
Now CHI -3.5
Line history: CHI -3.5 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | NYJ | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-0-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| At home | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| As favourite | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-0-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Out of division | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-0-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | NYJ | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 62 | 67 |
| Passing | 36 | 35 |
| Rushing | 22 | 26 |
| From penalties | 6 | 4 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 17 of 42 | 20 of 42 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 4 | 4 of 7 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,060 | 1,261 |
| Total plays | 194 | 206 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 | 6.1 |
| Drives | 32 | 33 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 783 | 708 |
| Completions | 77-113 | 65-104 |
| Yards per pass | 6.9 | 6.8 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 9 (73) | 6 (37) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 277 | 553 |
| Attempts | 85 | 105 |
| Yards per rush | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 7 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 5 of 10 | 6 of 17 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 25 (234) | 25 (160) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 1 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 1 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 12 CHI 10, NYJ 31 NYJ won
- 2018 wk 8 NYJ 10, CHI 24 CHI won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: CHI's offense (8th) against NYJ's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- CHI's offense ranks 8th in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 1st in yards per carry; NYJ's defense ranks 18th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; NYJ's defense ranks 30th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 11th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 25th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-7th in rushing touchdowns; CHI's defense ranks T-18th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 14th in net yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: NYJ (1 win, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at CHI (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Geno Smith for NYJ, Case Keenum for CHI.
- NYJ enters on 7 days rest to CHI's 6.