JAX at CIN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes JAX the better side by 0.3.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CIN -2.5
Now CIN -2.5
Line history: CIN -2.5 ×34 (Sep 29–Oct 13)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | JAX | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 3-2 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Out of division | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 0-3 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | JAX | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 102 | 104 |
| Passing | 56 | 71 |
| Rushing | 39 | 30 |
| From penalties | 9 | 13 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 28 of 60 | 34 of 66 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,745 | 1,775 |
| Total plays | 288 | 308 |
| Yards per play | 6.1 | 5.8 |
| Drives | 49 | 49 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,174 | 1,361 |
| Completions | 96-154 | 135-198 |
| Yards per pass | 7.6 | 6.9 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 11 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 10 (71) | 9 (61) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 571 | 414 |
| Attempts | 140 | 114 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 2 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 19 | 9 of 23 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 40 (324) | 40 (312) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 3 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 JAX 22, CIN 17 JAX won
- 2025 wk 2 JAX 27, CIN 31 CIN won
- 2023 wk 13 CIN 34, JAX 31 CIN won
- 2021 wk 4 JAX 21, CIN 24 CIN won
- 2020 wk 4 JAX 25, CIN 33 CIN won
- 2019 wk 7 JAX 27, CIN 17 JAX won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: CIN's offense (1st) against JAX's defense (23rd) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- CIN's offense ranks 1st in average drive start (yards to go); JAX's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 4th in third-down conversion rate; CIN's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; JAX's defense ranks 20th against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 13th in yards per pass attempt; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 9th in yards per play; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 10th in yards per drive; CIN's defense ranks 21st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: JAX (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at CIN (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: CIN leads JAX 4–1 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Trevor Lawrence for JAX, Joe Burrow for CIN.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.