IND at WAS

Week 4, 2026

Final

IND 30, WAS 13

IND covered by 12.5.

What the site's algorithm makes of it

  • IND 95.6 (30th by power rating)
  • WAS 96.2 (28th by power rating)

Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.

It makes WAS the better side by 3.1.

Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.

Opened IND -3.5

Now IND -4.5 — IND favoured by 1 more since first recorded

Line history: IND -3.5 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29) · IND -4.5 ×30 (Oct 4–Oct 13)

Scoring offense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Scoring defense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Passing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Rushing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Drives

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Conversions

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Betting record — 2026

SplitINDWAS
OverallSU 2-3 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2SU 1-3-1 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 4-1
At homeSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1SU 1-1-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1
On the roadSU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0
As favouriteSU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1SU 0-0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0
As underdogSU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1
In divisionSU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1SU 0-2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0
Out of divisionSU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1
Pick'em (±3)SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1
Favoured by 3-7SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1SU 0-0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0
Dog by 3-7SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0SU 0-3 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1
Dog by 7+SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0

SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.

Season to date — 2026

MetricINDWAS
1st downs
Total9592
Passing5049
Rushing4237
From penalties410
Efficiency
Third down25 of 6722 of 69
Fourth down8 of 114 of 7
Volume
Total yards1,5251,683
Total plays320319
Yards per play4.85.3
Drives5559
Passing
Passing yards1,021985
Completions108-18595-174
Yards per pass5.55.7
Touchdowns38
Interceptions41
Sacks (yards lost)9 (56)10 (46)
Rushing
Rushing yards504698
Attempts137148
Yards per rush3.74.7
Touchdowns84
Red zone
Scores10 of 167 of 18
Penalties
Penalties (yards)25 (164)39 (293)
Turnovers
Total82
Fumbles lost41
Interceptions thrown41

Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.

When these two have met

  • 2026 wk 4 IND 30, WAS 13 IND won
  • 2022 wk 8 WAS 17, IND 16 WAS won
  • 2018 wk 2 IND 21, WAS 9 IND won

Before the game

  • Biggest mismatch: WAS's offense (T-1st) against IND's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).

The mismatch

  • WAS's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks T-29th against it.
  • WAS's offense ranks T-6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; IND's defense ranks 31st against it.
  • WAS's offense ranks 7th in average drive start (yards to go); IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
  • IND's offense ranks 8th in red-zone scoring rate; WAS's defense ranks T-27th against it.
  • IND's offense ranks T-9th in share of drives ending in a score; WAS's defense ranks 28th against it.
  • IND's offense ranks T-13th in completion rate; WAS's defense ranks 29th against it.

Form and history

  • Week 4, 2026: IND (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at WAS (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
  • Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.

Starters and rest

  • Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Jayden Daniels for WAS.

Final — the recap is on this game's result page.

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