DEN at SF
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SF the better side by 14.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SF -3
Now SF -3
Line history: SF -3 ×39 (Sep 29–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | DEN | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 1-5 | SU 6-0 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| Out of division | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 3-0 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | DEN | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 95 | 122 |
| Passing | 51 | 68 |
| Rushing | 34 | 50 |
| From penalties | 10 | 11 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 26 of 78 | 34 of 66 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,554 | 2,229 |
| Total plays | 342 | 337 |
| Yards per play | 4.5 | 6.6 |
| Drives | 66 | 60 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,049 | 1,460 |
| Completions | 114-199 | 119-177 |
| Yards per pass | 5.3 | 8.2 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 8 (41) | 5 (29) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 505 | 769 |
| Attempts | 148 | 168 |
| Yards per rush | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 11 of 19 | 18 of 26 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 44 (269) | 36 (331) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 5 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 DEN 14, SF 24 SF won
- 2022 wk 3 SF 10, DEN 11 DEN won
- 2018 wk 14 DEN 14, SF 20 SF won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (1st) against DEN's defense (27th) in third-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 1st in third-down conversion rate; DEN's defense ranks 27th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 6th in expected points added rushing; DEN's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- SF's offense ranks 4th in yards per carry; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 9th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 20th in average drive start (yards to go); SF's defense ranks 31st against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 17th in yards after catch; SF's defense ranks T-20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DEN (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak at SF (3 wins, 0 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bo Nix for DEN, Brock Purdy for SF.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.