ATL at NO
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NO the better side by 2.5.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NO -3
Now NO -1.5 — NO favoured by 1.5 less since first recorded
Line history: NO -3 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29) · NO -1.5 ×35 (Oct 4–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | ATL | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2 | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2 |
| At home | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| As underdog | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 3-1 | SU 2-3 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | ATL | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 110 | 122 |
| Passing | 54 | 75 |
| Rushing | 50 | 38 |
| From penalties | 10 | 10 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 28 of 72 | 37 of 87 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 6 | 10 of 13 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,163 | 2,027 |
| Total plays | 359 | 401 |
| Yards per play | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Drives | 69 | 69 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,266 | 1,443 |
| Completions | 103-186 | 153-249 |
| Yards per pass | 6.8 | 5.8 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 12 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 16 (97) | 13 (98) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 897 | 584 |
| Attempts | 177 | 155 |
| Yards per rush | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 20 | 16 of 23 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 40 (386) | 40 (266) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 10 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 7 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 ATL 45, NO 24 ATL won
- 2025 wk 18 NO 17, ATL 19 ATL won
- 2025 wk 12 ATL 24, NO 10 ATL won
- 2024 wk 10 ATL 17, NO 20 NO won
- 2024 wk 4 NO 24, ATL 26 ATL won
- 2023 wk 18 ATL 17, NO 48 NO won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: ATL's offense (2nd) against NO's defense (T-27th) in rushing first downs.
The mismatch
- ATL's offense ranks 2nd in rushing first downs; NO's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 1st in passing first downs; ATL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks 7th in yards per carry; NO's defense ranks 27th against it.
- ATL's offense ranks T-7th in rushing touchdowns; NO's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 11th in yards after catch; ATL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 19th in interception rate (thrown); ATL's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: ATL (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at NO (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: NO leads ATL 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Michael Penix Jr. for ATL, Tyler Shough for NO.
- ATL enters on 11 days rest to NO's 8.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.