ARI at SF
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SF the better side by 6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SF -8.5
Now SF -7.5 — SF favoured by 1 less since first recorded
Line history: SF -8.5 ×7 (Sep 22–Sep 25) · SF -7.5 ×28 (Sep 28–Oct 13)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | ARI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 1-4 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 | SU 5-0 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| At home | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| As favourite | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| Out of division | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | ARI | SF |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 99 | 102 |
| Passing | 65 | 59 |
| Rushing | 26 | 39 |
| From penalties | 11 | 7 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 30 of 73 | 27 of 52 |
| Fourth down | 5 of 7 | 1 of 2 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,575 | 1,839 |
| Total plays | 329 | 277 |
| Yards per play | 4.8 | 6.6 |
| Drives | 56 | 51 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,117 | 1,196 |
| Completions | 133-212 | 98-146 |
| Yards per pass | 5.3 | 8.2 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 12 (69) | 3 (14) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 458 | 643 |
| Attempts | 122 | 139 |
| Yards per rush | 3.8 | 4.6 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 11 of 19 | 15 of 22 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 36 (345) | 25 (243) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 5 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 ARI 30, SF 36 SF won
- 2025 wk 11 SF 41, ARI 22 SF won
- 2025 wk 3 ARI 15, SF 16 SF won
- 2024 wk 18 SF 24, ARI 47 ARI won
- 2024 wk 5 ARI 24, SF 23 ARI won
- 2023 wk 15 SF 45, ARI 29 SF won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (3rd) against ARI's defense (26th) in touchdown rate per pass.
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 3rd in touchdown rate per pass; ARI's defense ranks 26th against it.
- SF's offense ranks 1st in net yards per pass attempt; ARI's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- SF's offense ranks 3rd in yards per pass attempt; ARI's defense ranks 25th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 18th in average drive start (yards to go); SF's defense ranks 27th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; SF's defense ranks T-9th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 7th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 15th against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: ARI (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at SF (2 wins, 0 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: SF leads ARI 9–7 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jacoby Brissett for ARI, Brock Purdy for SF.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.