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NFL 2024 - WEEK 1 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions Below are NFL 2024 Week 1 game predictions based on the 2023 week 18 power ratings with some simple adjustments. To attempt to adjust for free agent and draft gains/losses, a very simple adjustment was made to create the first 2024 power ratings: Teams rated 1 - 5 had two points deducted Teams rated 6 - 10 had one point deducted Teams rated 11 - 22 received no adjustment Teams rated 23 - 27 had one point added Teams rated 28 - 32 had two points added A home team added 3 points to their rating in all matchups, save neutral fields, where both teams used their base rating. Power ratings were compared to create a spread in each game. If a team is favored, the spread is shown as a positive number. If the team is the underdog, it is shown as a negative number. The first 2024 Power Ratings using 2024 stats will be posted in week 3, when they are blend of 2023 and 2024 stats. In week 5, the power ratings will be based completely on 2024 stats. Keep in mind that last year teams like NY Jets & Cincinnati were without premium QBs, while Minnesota lost one for 2024. Since these projections use 2023 power ratings, you may wish to adjust teams seeing a significant change in expected QB play. Date/Time Home Rating Spread Rating Away Vegas Spread Algorithm Pick Spread Error 9/4 8:20pm Kansas City 106.06 0.14 106.20 Baltimore -3 Baltimore -3.14 9/5 8:15pm Philadelphia 100.54 -0.71 99.83 Green Bay -2.5 Green Bay 1.79 9/7 1:00pm Miami 107.20 -7.42 99.78 Jacksonville -3.5 Miami -3.92 9/7 1:00pm Buffalo 105.89 -9.16 96.73 Arizona -6.5 Buffalo -2.66 9/7 1:00pm Atlanta 103.03 -4.67 98.36 Pittsburgh -3 Atlanta -1.67 9/7 1:00pm New Orleans 103.7 -8.07 95.63 Carolina -4 New Orleans -4.07 9/7 1:00pm Chicago 102.35 -4.19 98.16 Tennessee -4 Chicago -0.19 9/7 1:00pm NY Giants 97.84 2.96 100.8 Minnesota 1.5 Minnesota 1.46 9/7 1:00pm Cincinnati 100.66 -2.17 98.49 New England -8.5 New England 6.33 9/7 1:00pm Indianapolis 102.34 -2.04 100.30 Houston 3 Indianapolis -5.04 9/7 4:05pm Tampa Bay 102.43 -5.75 96.68 Washington -3 Tampa Bay -2.75 9/7 4:05pm Seattle 101.66 -3.97 97.69 Denver -6 Denver 2.03 9/7 4:25pm LA Chargers 101.11 -3.28 97.83 Las Vegas -3 LA Chargers -0.28 9/7 4:25pm Cleveland 103.73 -0.77 102.96 Dallas -2.5 Dallas 1.73 9/7 8:15pm Detroit 104.49 -3.43 101.06 LA Rams -3.5 LA Rams 0.07 9/8 8:20pm San Francisco 109.62 -11.44 98.18 NY Jets -4 San Francisco -7.44 NFL 2024 - WEEK 1 Spreads & Picks NFL 2024 - Week 1 Game Spreads & Predictions

NFL 2024 – Week 1 Game Spreads & Predictions