week 11 Archives - NFL Lines

NFL 2024 - WEEK 11 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions The Algorithm had a solid week 10 going 9 - 5. , That puts the season record at 73 - 74 - 5. Looking at the spread data we can see home teams are having a rough go of it so far in 2024. Straight up home teams are 76 - 71 (there have been 45 Neutral field games, the favorites are 3 - 2on Neutral fields). Against the spread, home teams are a dismal 64 - 78 - 5 (the teams listed as home in those games are 4 - 1). Thus is you simply avoided neutral fields and bet on away teams all season your winning % would be high enough to turn a decent profit. This trend continued again in week 10 as home teams were 6 - 7. Watch the Lions-Jags spread. It is Detroit -13, and that has to be under the assumption it's going to be Mac Jones at QB for Jax. The Jags stink but with Lawrence they shouldn't be +13. Jax +10 with Lawrence I could understand, but 13 seems a bit steep if he is playing. At some point Vegas and the betting public are going to give up on the Jets and Cowboys. However week 11 stills ees both of them as home favorites, NY at -3.5, and Dallas is somehow giving -1.5 to Houston. Houston doesn't play well on the road (2-3), but Dallas is 0 - 4 at home, and as mentioned home teams are struggling in 2024. NFL Week 10 vs. Spread Favorites 6 - 8 Season 83 - 64 - 5 Home 6 - 7 Season 64 - 78 - 5 Neutal Games - 5 (Team Listed Home is 4 - 1) NFL Week 10 Straight Up Favorites 9 - 5 Season 104 - 48 Home 7 - 6 Season 76 - 71 Neutal Games - 5 (Favorite is 3 -2) NFL 2024 Week 11 Picks Season ATS - 73- 74 - 5 Home Rating Spread Rating Away Vegas Spread Algorithm Pick Spread Error Philadelphia 107.65 -3.49 104.16 Washington -3.5 Philadelphia 0.01 Chicago 100.55 3.09 103.64 Green Bay 6 Chicago -2.91 Detroit 107.83 -11.94 95.89 Jacksonville -13 Jacksonville 1.06 Tennessee 99.92 4 103.92 Minnesota 6 Tennessee -2 Miami 99.97 -4.8 95.17 Las Vegas -7.5 Las Vegas 2.7 New England 97.69 -0.04 97.65 LA Rams 5 New England -5.04 New Orleans 100.99 -6.57 94.42 Cleveland -1 New Orleans -5.57 NY Jets 101.62 -2.87 98.75 Indianapolis -3.5 Indianpolis 0.63 Pittsburgh 104.89 1.09 105.98 Baltimore 3.5 Pittsburgh -2.41 Denver 103.37 -2.12 101.25 Atlanta -2 Denver -0.12 San Francisco 107.48 -7.38 100.10 Seattle -6.0 San Francisco -1.38 Buffalo 107.5 -4.95 102.55 Kansas City -2.5 Buffalo -2.45 LA Chargers 105.63 -4.24 101.39 Cincinnati -1.5 LA Chargers -2.74 Dallas 97.69 2.92 100.61 Houston -1.5 Houston 4.42

NFL 2024 – WEEK 11 Games, Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions