Offensive: Scoring · Xpm
Washington Commanders — Xpm, 2026
- Value1.60
- Rank#27 of 32
- League average2.25
- Rank in 2025#21 of 32
What Xpm is
Extra points made. Near-automatic for every kicker, so it separates teams barely at all; the misses are what to look at.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 6 of 2026, the Lions lead at 4; the league average is 2.25.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 4 | 1.75 | 100% |
| 2 | SF | 3.40 | 1.15 | 96.8% |
| 3 | KC | 3.25 | 1.00 | 93.5% |
| 4 | BAL | 3 | 0.75 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BUF | 3 | 0.75 | 87.1% |
| 6 | CHI | 2.80 | 0.55 | 83.9% |
| 7 | CIN | 2.80 | 0.55 | 80.6% |
| 8 | LAR | 2.80 | 0.55 | 77.4% |
| 9 | SEA | 2.80 | 0.55 | 74.2% |
| 10 | DAL | 2.60 | 0.35 | 71% |
| 11 | CAR | 2.50 | 0.25 | 67.7% |
| 12 | ARI | 2.40 | 0.15 | 64.5% |
| 13 | ATL | 2.40 | 0.15 | 61.3% |
| 14 | JAX | 2.40 | 0.15 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NE | 2.40 | 0.15 | 54.8% |
| 16 | HOU | 2.20 | -0.05 | 51.6% |
| 17 | LV | 2.20 | -0.05 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NO | 2.20 | -0.05 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PHI | 2.20 | -0.05 | 41.9% |
| 20 | IND | 2 | -0.25 | 38.7% |
| 21 | PIT | 2 | -0.25 | 35.5% |
| 22 | TB | 2 | -0.25 | 32.3% |
| 23 | GB | 1.80 | -0.45 | 29% |
| 24 | LAC | 1.80 | -0.45 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIN | 1.60 | -0.65 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NYG | 1.60 | -0.65 | 19.4% |
| 27 | WAS | 1.60 | -0.65 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CLE | 1.40 | -0.85 | 12.9% |
| 29 | DEN | 1.40 | -0.85 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYJ | 1.40 | -0.85 | 6.5% |
| 31 | MIA | 1 | -1.25 | 3.2% |
| 32 | TEN | 1 | -1.25 | 0% |
Does Xpm matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 933–645–37 ATS (59.1%) across 2020–2025, #12 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (157–97, 61.8%); its worst 2025 (152–117, 56.5%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 157–97–2 | 61.8% |
| 2021 | 272 | 159–111–2 | 58.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 155–109–7 | 58.7% |
| 2023 | 272 | 152–106–14 | 58.9% |
| 2024 | 272 | 158–105–9 | 60.1% |
| 2025 | 272 | 152–117–3 | 56.5% |
Xpm in 2026 vs 2025
Lions lead at 4 — they ranked #2 last year. Titans are last at 1 — #29 last year.
The league average is 2.25, up 0.02 from 2.22 last year.
Biggest riser: Chiefs, #24 → #3. Biggest faller: Broncos, #15 → #29.
Spread between first and last: 3; 22 teams are within 0.69 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 3.25 | 1.82 | +1.43 |
| 2 | SF | 3.40 | 2.35 | +1.05 |
| 3 | LV | 2.20 | 1.24 | +0.96 |
| 4 | CAR | 2.50 | 1.59 | +0.91 |
| 5 | DET | 4 | 3.18 | +0.82 |
| 6 | ATL | 2.40 | 1.82 | +0.58 |
| 7 | NO | 2.20 | 1.65 | +0.55 |
| 8 | HOU | 2.20 | 1.76 | +0.44 |
| 9 | BAL | 3 | 2.59 | +0.41 |
| 10 | CIN | 2.80 | 2.41 | +0.39 |
| 11 | CHI | 2.80 | 2.47 | +0.33 |
| 12 | ARI | 2.40 | 2.12 | +0.28 |
| 13 | BUF | 3 | 2.82 | +0.18 |
| 14 | TB | 2 | 1.88 | +0.12 |
| 15 | NYJ | 1.40 | 1.29 | +0.11 |
| 16 | SEA | 2.80 | 2.82 | −0.02 |
| 17 | CLE | 1.40 | 1.47 | −0.07 |
| 18 | DAL | 2.60 | 2.76 | −0.16 |
| 19 | LAC | 1.80 | 2 | −0.20 |
| 20 | PHI | 2.20 | 2.41 | −0.21 |
| 21 | MIN | 1.60 | 1.82 | −0.22 |
| 22 | WAS | 1.60 | 1.94 | −0.34 |
| 23 | IND | 2 | 2.47 | −0.47 |
| 24 | PIT | 2 | 2.47 | −0.47 |
| 25 | GB | 1.80 | 2.29 | −0.49 |
| 26 | NYG | 1.60 | 2.12 | −0.52 |
| 27 | JAX | 2.40 | 2.94 | −0.54 |
| 28 | TEN | 1 | 1.59 | −0.59 |
| 29 | NE | 2.40 | 3.12 | −0.72 |
| 30 | LAR | 2.80 | 3.65 | −0.85 |
| 31 | DEN | 1.40 | 2.29 | −0.89 |
| 32 | MIA | 1 | 2 | −1 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 3.11 | −0.06 | 3.56 | 3 | 3 | 2.88 | 3.47 | 2.82 | 3 |
| 2 | DET | 2.93 | +0.32 | 2.38 | 1.59 | 2.76 | 2.82 | 3.76 | 3.18 | 4 |
| 3 | SF | 2.77 | +0.07 | 2.38 | 2.47 | 3 | 3.53 | 2.24 | 2.35 | 3.40 |
| 4 | BAL | 2.72 | +0.08 | 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 3 | 3.53 | 2.59 | 3 |
| 5 | KC | 2.62 | −0.08 | 3 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.24 | 2.18 | 1.82 | 3.25 |
| 6 | CIN | 2.55 | +0.08 | 2 | 2.76 | 2.50 | 2.35 | 3 | 2.41 | 2.80 |
| 7 | SEA | 2.54 | −0.02 | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2.18 | 2.82 | 2.80 |
| 8 | DAL | 2.54 | +0.02 | 2.06 | 2.76 | 2.94 | 2.88 | 1.76 | 2.76 | 2.60 |
| 9 | GB | 2.51 | −0.23 | 3.69 | 2.88 | 2.18 | 2 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 1.80 |
| 10 | LAR | 2.46 | +0.11 | 2.38 | 2.82 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| 11 | PHI | 2.46 | +0.05 | 1.50 | 2.59 | 3.12 | 2.65 | 2.76 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| 12 | TB | 2.42 | −0.17 | 3.25 | 3.29 | 1.41 | 1.94 | 3.18 | 1.88 | 2 |
| 13 | IND | 2.20 | −0.06 | 2.69 | 2.71 | 1.35 | 2.06 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 |
| 14 | NO | 2.19 | −0.16 | 3.56 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 15 | MIN | 2.14 | −0.09 | 2.31 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 1.82 | 1.60 |
| 16 | ARI | 2.13 | −0.07 | 2.81 | 2.76 | 1.41 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.40 |
| 17 | LAC | 2.11 | −0.09 | 2.25 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 2 | 1.80 |
| 18 | NE | 2.09 | +0.09 | 1.88 | 2.47 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 2.40 |
| 19 | MIA | 2.09 | −0.17 | 2.25 | 2 | 2.41 | 3.41 | 1.53 | 2 | 1 |
| 20 | CHI | 2.00 | +0.12 | 2.25 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.82 | 1.47 | 2.47 | 2.80 |
| 21 | ATL | 1.98 | +0.04 | 2.13 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 2.24 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| 22 | PIT | 1.97 | +0.02 | 2.56 | 1.59 | 1.53 | 1.59 | 2.06 | 2.47 | 2 |
| 23 | JAX | 1.95 | +0.21 | 1.50 | 1.06 | 2.12 | 2.06 | 1.59 | 2.94 | 2.40 |
| 24 | TEN | 1.93 | −0.31 | 3.19 | 2.53 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.59 | 1 |
| 25 | LV | 1.90 | −0.13 | 2.81 | 1.76 | 2.06 | 1.88 | 1.35 | 1.24 | 2.20 |
| 26 | DEN | 1.87 | +0.05 | 1.56 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 1.71 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 1.40 |
| 27 | HOU | 1.85 | +0.03 | 2.31 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 2 | 1.76 | 2.20 |
| 28 | WAS | 1.83 | +0.05 | 1.88 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.88 | 2.65 | 1.94 | 1.60 |
| 29 | CLE | 1.80 | −0.22 | 2.69 | 2.18 | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.06 | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| 30 | CAR | 1.77 | +0.06 | 2.06 | 1.53 | 1.76 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 2.50 |
| 31 | NYG | 1.52 | +0.09 | 1.31 | 1 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| 32 | NYJ | 1.36 | +0.01 | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1.65 | 0.94 | 1.65 | 1.29 | 1.40 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 2.38 | 1.59 | 2.76 | 2.82 | 3.76 | 3.18 | 4 |
| SF | 2.38 | 2.47 | 3 | 3.53 | 2.24 | 2.35 | 3.40 |
| KC | 3 | 2.94 | 2.94 | 2.24 | 2.18 | 1.82 | 3.25 |
| BAL | 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.82 | 3 | 3.53 | 2.59 | 3 |
| BUF | 3.56 | 3 | 3 | 2.88 | 3.47 | 2.82 | 3 |
| CHI | 2.25 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.82 | 1.47 | 2.47 | 2.80 |
| CIN | 2 | 2.76 | 2.50 | 2.35 | 3 | 2.41 | 2.80 |
| LAR | 2.38 | 2.82 | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 2.80 |
| SEA | 3.06 | 2.59 | 2.41 | 1.94 | 2.18 | 2.82 | 2.80 |
| DAL | 2.06 | 2.76 | 2.94 | 2.88 | 1.76 | 2.76 | 2.60 |
| CAR | 2.06 | 1.53 | 1.76 | 1 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 2.50 |
| ARI | 2.81 | 2.76 | 1.41 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 2.12 | 2.40 |
| ATL | 2.13 | 1.76 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 2.24 | 1.82 | 2.40 |
| JAX | 1.50 | 1.06 | 2.12 | 2.06 | 1.59 | 2.94 | 2.40 |
| NE | 1.88 | 2.47 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.47 | 3.12 | 2.40 |
| HOU | 2.31 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.82 | 2 | 1.76 | 2.20 |
| LV | 2.81 | 1.76 | 2.06 | 1.88 | 1.35 | 1.24 | 2.20 |
| NO | 3.56 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 2.35 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| PHI | 1.50 | 2.59 | 3.12 | 2.65 | 2.76 | 2.41 | 2.20 |
| IND | 2.69 | 2.71 | 1.35 | 2.06 | 2.12 | 2.47 | 2 |
| PIT | 2.56 | 1.59 | 1.53 | 1.59 | 2.06 | 2.47 | 2 |
| TB | 3.25 | 3.29 | 1.41 | 1.94 | 3.18 | 1.88 | 2 |
| GB | 3.69 | 2.88 | 2.18 | 2 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 1.80 |
| LAC | 2.25 | 2.35 | 2.35 | 2.06 | 1.94 | 2 | 1.80 |
| MIN | 2.31 | 2.12 | 2.35 | 2.12 | 2.65 | 1.82 | 1.60 |
| NYG | 1.31 | 1 | 1.88 | 1.41 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 1.60 |
| WAS | 1.88 | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.88 | 2.65 | 1.94 | 1.60 |
| CLE | 2.69 | 2.18 | 2.06 | 1.76 | 1.06 | 1.47 | 1.40 |
| DEN | 1.56 | 1.94 | 1.47 | 1.71 | 2.71 | 2.29 | 1.40 |
| NYJ | 1.25 | 1.35 | 1.65 | 0.94 | 1.65 | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| MIA | 2.25 | 2 | 2.41 | 3.41 | 1.53 | 2 | 1 |
| TEN | 3.19 | 2.53 | 1.88 | 1.65 | 1.65 | 1.59 | 1 |
Xpm since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (4.06), 2019 Ravens (3.56), 2020 Packers (3.69), 2021 Buccaneers (3.29), 2022 Eagles (3.12), 2023 49ers (3.53), 2024 Lions (3.76), 2025 Rams (3.65), 2026 Lions (4).
Lions have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.
The best season on record is Chiefs 2018 at 4.06; the worst Jets 2023 at 0.94.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_team_scoring_xpm
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Scoring
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.