What Xpm is

Extra points made. Near-automatic for every kicker, so it separates teams barely at all; the misses are what to look at.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Buccaneers led at 3.29; the league average was 2.16.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

TB · 3.29

League average

2.16

Best to worst

2.29

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	TB	3.29	17
2	BUF	3	17
3	KC	2.94	17
4	GB	2.88	17
5	LAR	2.82	17
6	ARI	2.76	17
7	CIN	2.76	17
8	DAL	2.76	17
9	IND	2.71	17
10	PHI	2.59	17
11	SEA	2.59	17
12	TEN	2.53	17
13	NE	2.47	17
14	SF	2.47	17
15	LAC	2.35	17
16	CLE	2.18	17
17	MIN	2.12	17
18	MIA	2	17
19	DEN	1.94	17
20	BAL	1.88	17
21	NO	1.82	17
22	ATL	1.76	17
23	LV	1.76	17
24	CHI	1.59	17
25	DET	1.59	17
26	PIT	1.59	17
27	CAR	1.53	17
28	HOU	1.47	17
29	WAS	1.47	17
30	NYJ	1.35	17
31	JAX	1.06	17
32	NYG	1	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

TB · 3.29

League laggard

NYG · 1

League average

2.16

Spread (max − min)

2.29

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	TB	3.29	1.14	100%
2	BUF	3	0.84	96.8%
3	KC	2.94	0.78	93.5%
4	GB	2.88	0.72	90.3%
5	LAR	2.82	0.67	87.1%
6	ARI	2.76	0.61	83.9%
7	CIN	2.76	0.61	80.6%
8	DAL	2.76	0.61	77.4%
9	IND	2.71	0.55	74.2%
10	PHI	2.59	0.43	71%
11	SEA	2.59	0.43	67.7%
12	TEN	2.53	0.37	64.5%
13	NE	2.47	0.31	61.3%
14	SF	2.47	0.31	58.1%
15	LAC	2.35	0.19	54.8%
16	CLE	2.18	0.02	51.6%
17	MIN	2.12	-0.04	48.4%
18	MIA	2	-0.16	45.2%
19	DEN	1.94	-0.22	41.9%
20	BAL	1.88	-0.28	38.7%
21	NO	1.82	-0.33	35.5%
22	ATL	1.76	-0.39	32.3%
23	LV	1.76	-0.39	29%
24	CHI	1.59	-0.57	25.8%
25	DET	1.59	-0.57	22.6%
26	PIT	1.59	-0.57	19.4%
27	CAR	1.53	-0.63	16.1%
28	HOU	1.47	-0.69	12.9%
29	WAS	1.47	-0.69	9.7%
30	NYJ	1.35	-0.81	6.5%
31	JAX	1.06	-1.10	3.2%
32	NYG	1	-1.16	0%

Does Xpm matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 933–645–37 ATS (59.1%) across 2020–2025, #12 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (157–97, 61.8%); its worst 2025 (152–117, 56.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	157–97–2	61.8%
2021	272	159–111–2	58.9%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	152–106–14	58.9%
2024	272	158–105–9	60.1%
2025	272	152–117–3	56.5%

Xpm in 2021 vs 2020

Buccaneers lead at 3.29 — they ranked #5 last year. Giants are last at 1 — #31 last year.

The league average is 2.16, down 0.27 from 2.43 last year.

Biggest riser: Eagles, #30 → #10. Biggest faller: Saints, #3 → #21.

Spread between first and last: 2.29; 21 teams are within 0.61 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

PHI · +1.09

Biggest faller

NO · −1.74

Most consistent

IND · +0.02

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.27

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	PHI	2.59	1.50	+1.09
2	CIN	2.76	2	+0.76
3	DAL	2.76	2.06	+0.70
4	NE	2.47	1.88	+0.60
5	LAR	2.82	2.38	+0.45
6	DEN	1.94	1.56	+0.38
7	LAC	2.35	2.25	+0.10
8	NYJ	1.35	1.25	+0.10
9	SF	2.47	2.38	+0.10
10	TB	3.29	3.25	+0.04
11	IND	2.71	2.69	+0.02
12	ARI	2.76	2.81	−0.05
13	KC	2.94	3	−0.06
14	MIN	2.12	2.31	−0.19
15	MIA	2	2.25	−0.25
16	NYG	1	1.31	−0.31
17	ATL	1.76	2.13	−0.36
18	WAS	1.47	1.88	−0.40
19	JAX	1.06	1.50	−0.44
20	SEA	2.59	3.06	−0.47
21	CLE	2.18	2.69	−0.51
22	CAR	1.53	2.06	−0.53
23	BUF	3	3.56	−0.56
24	TEN	2.53	3.19	−0.66
25	CHI	1.59	2.25	−0.66
26	DET	1.59	2.38	−0.79
27	GB	2.88	3.69	−0.81
28	HOU	1.47	2.31	−0.84
29	PIT	1.59	2.56	−0.97
30	LV	1.76	2.81	−1.05
31	BAL	1.88	3.25	−1.37
32	NO	1.82	3.56	−1.74

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 3.11

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 1.36

Biggest improver

DET · +0.32/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.31/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	3.11	−0.06	3.56	3	3	2.88	3.47	2.82	3
2	DET	2.93	+0.32	2.38	1.59	2.76	2.82	3.76	3.18	4
3	SF	2.77	+0.07	2.38	2.47	3	3.53	2.24	2.35	3.40
4	BAL	2.72	+0.08	3.25	1.88	1.82	3	3.53	2.59	3
5	KC	2.62	−0.08	3	2.94	2.94	2.24	2.18	1.82	3.25
6	CIN	2.55	+0.08	2	2.76	2.50	2.35	3	2.41	2.80
7	SEA	2.54	−0.02	3.06	2.59	2.41	1.94	2.18	2.82	2.80
8	DAL	2.54	+0.02	2.06	2.76	2.94	2.88	1.76	2.76	2.60
9	GB	2.51	−0.23	3.69	2.88	2.18	2	2.71	2.29	1.80
10	LAR	2.46	+0.11	2.38	2.82	1.82	1.88	1.88	3.65	2.80
11	PHI	2.46	+0.05	1.50	2.59	3.12	2.65	2.76	2.41	2.20
12	TB	2.42	−0.17	3.25	3.29	1.41	1.94	3.18	1.88	2
13	IND	2.20	−0.06	2.69	2.71	1.35	2.06	2.12	2.47	2
14	NO	2.19	−0.16	3.56	1.82	1.94	2.35	1.82	1.65	2.20
15	MIN	2.14	−0.09	2.31	2.12	2.35	2.12	2.65	1.82	1.60
16	ARI	2.13	−0.07	2.81	2.76	1.41	1.29	2.12	2.12	2.40
17	LAC	2.11	−0.09	2.25	2.35	2.35	2.06	1.94	2	1.80
18	NE	2.09	+0.09	1.88	2.47	1.88	1.41	1.47	3.12	2.40
19	MIA	2.09	−0.17	2.25	2	2.41	3.41	1.53	2	1
20	CHI	2.00	+0.12	2.25	1.59	1.59	1.82	1.47	2.47	2.80
21	ATL	1.98	+0.04	2.13	1.76	1.94	1.59	2.24	1.82	2.40
22	PIT	1.97	+0.02	2.56	1.59	1.53	1.59	2.06	2.47	2
23	JAX	1.95	+0.21	1.50	1.06	2.12	2.06	1.59	2.94	2.40
24	TEN	1.93	−0.31	3.19	2.53	1.88	1.65	1.65	1.59	1
25	LV	1.90	−0.13	2.81	1.76	2.06	1.88	1.35	1.24	2.20
26	DEN	1.87	+0.05	1.56	1.94	1.47	1.71	2.71	2.29	1.40
27	HOU	1.85	+0.03	2.31	1.47	1.41	1.82	2	1.76	2.20
28	WAS	1.83	+0.05	1.88	1.47	1.41	1.88	2.65	1.94	1.60
29	CLE	1.80	−0.22	2.69	2.18	2.06	1.76	1.06	1.47	1.40
30	CAR	1.77	+0.06	2.06	1.53	1.76	1	1.94	1.59	2.50
31	NYG	1.52	+0.09	1.31	1	1.88	1.41	1.29	2.12	1.60
32	NYJ	1.36	+0.01	1.25	1.35	1.65	0.94	1.65	1.29	1.40

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
TB	3.25	3.29	1.41	1.94	3.18	1.88	2
BUF	3.56	3	3	2.88	3.47	2.82	3
KC	3	2.94	2.94	2.24	2.18	1.82	3.25
GB	3.69	2.88	2.18	2	2.71	2.29	1.80
LAR	2.38	2.82	1.82	1.88	1.88	3.65	2.80
ARI	2.81	2.76	1.41	1.29	2.12	2.12	2.40
CIN	2	2.76	2.50	2.35	3	2.41	2.80
DAL	2.06	2.76	2.94	2.88	1.76	2.76	2.60
IND	2.69	2.71	1.35	2.06	2.12	2.47	2
PHI	1.50	2.59	3.12	2.65	2.76	2.41	2.20
SEA	3.06	2.59	2.41	1.94	2.18	2.82	2.80
TEN	3.19	2.53	1.88	1.65	1.65	1.59	1
NE	1.88	2.47	1.88	1.41	1.47	3.12	2.40
SF	2.38	2.47	3	3.53	2.24	2.35	3.40
LAC	2.25	2.35	2.35	2.06	1.94	2	1.80
CLE	2.69	2.18	2.06	1.76	1.06	1.47	1.40
MIN	2.31	2.12	2.35	2.12	2.65	1.82	1.60
MIA	2.25	2	2.41	3.41	1.53	2	1
DEN	1.56	1.94	1.47	1.71	2.71	2.29	1.40
BAL	3.25	1.88	1.82	3	3.53	2.59	3
NO	3.56	1.82	1.94	2.35	1.82	1.65	2.20
ATL	2.13	1.76	1.94	1.59	2.24	1.82	2.40
LV	2.81	1.76	2.06	1.88	1.35	1.24	2.20
CHI	2.25	1.59	1.59	1.82	1.47	2.47	2.80
DET	2.38	1.59	2.76	2.82	3.76	3.18	4
PIT	2.56	1.59	1.53	1.59	2.06	2.47	2
CAR	2.06	1.53	1.76	1	1.94	1.59	2.50
HOU	2.31	1.47	1.41	1.82	2	1.76	2.20
WAS	1.88	1.47	1.41	1.88	2.65	1.94	1.60
NYJ	1.25	1.35	1.65	0.94	1.65	1.29	1.40
JAX	1.50	1.06	2.12	2.06	1.59	2.94	2.40
NYG	1.31	1	1.88	1.41	1.29	2.12	1.60

Xpm since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (4.06), 2019 Ravens (3.56), 2020 Packers (3.69), 2021 Buccaneers (3.29).

The best season on record is Chiefs 2018 at 4.06; the worst Giants 2021 at 1.

The league average has fallen from 2.27 in 2018 to 2.16 in 2021.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_scoring_xpm
Side: offensive
Family: Scoring
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.