What Safety md is

Safeties scored: the opponent tackled in its own end zone, or a penalty there. Two points and the ball back, and very rare.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Bills led at 0.06; the league average was 0.01.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

BUF · 0.06

League average

0.01

Best to worst

0.06

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 0.06

League laggard

WAS · 0

League average

0.01

Spread (max − min)

0.06

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	0.06	0.04	100%
2	CAR	0.06	0.04	96.8%
3	CHI	0.06	0.04	93.5%
4	HOU	0.06	0.04	90.3%
5	IND	0.06	0.04	87.1%
6	LV	0.06	0.04	83.9%
7	NYG	0.06	0.04	80.6%
8	SEA	0.06	0.04	77.4%
9	ARI	0	-0.01	74.2%
10	ATL	0	-0.01	71%
11	BAL	0	-0.01	67.7%
12	CIN	0	-0.01	64.5%
13	CLE	0	-0.01	61.3%
14	DAL	0	-0.01	58.1%
15	DEN	0	-0.01	54.8%
16	DET	0	-0.01	51.6%
17	GB	0	-0.01	48.4%
18	JAX	0	-0.01	45.2%
19	KC	0	-0.01	41.9%
20	LAC	0	-0.01	38.7%
21	LAR	0	-0.01	35.5%
22	MIA	0	-0.01	32.3%
23	MIN	0	-0.01	29%
24	NE	0	-0.01	25.8%
25	NO	0	-0.01	22.6%
26	NYJ	0	-0.01	19.4%
27	PHI	0	-0.01	16.1%
28	PIT	0	-0.01	12.9%
29	SF	0	-0.01	9.7%
30	TB	0	-0.01	6.5%
31	TEN	0	-0.01	3.2%
32	WAS	0	-0.01	0%

Does Safety md matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 785–793–37 ATS (49.7%) across 2020–2025, #255 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (146–118, 55.3%); its worst 2024 (119–144, 45.2%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	128–126–2	50.4%
2021	272	133–137–2	49.3%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	130–128–14	50.4%
2024	272	119–144–9	45.2%
2025	272	129–140–3	48.0%

Safety md in 2021 vs 2020

Bills lead at 0.06 — they ranked #19 last year. Commanders are last at 0 — #17 last year.

The league average is 0.01, down 0.03 from 0.05 last year.

Biggest riser: Giants, #30 → #7. Biggest faller: Commanders, #17 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 0.06; 24 teams are within 0.03 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BUF · +0.06

Biggest faller

SEA · −0.13

Most consistent

ATL · 0

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.03

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

NYJ · 0.06

Multi-year laggard

SF · 0.01

Biggest improver

LV · +0.02/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · −0.02/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	NYJ	0.06	−0.01	0.06	0	0.12	0.18	0	0.06	0
2	LV	0.05	+0.02	0	0.06	0	0.06	0	0.06	0.20
3	IND	0.04	−0.02	0.19	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0
4	SEA	0.04	−0.02	0.19	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0
5	BUF	0.03	−0.01	0	0.06	0.13	0	0.06	0	0
6	ARI	0.03	+0.00	0.06	0	0	0	0.12	0.06	0
7	DET	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0.06	0.06	0	0.06	0
8	LAR	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0	0.12	0.06	0	0
9	TB	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.06	0
10	DEN	0.03	+0.00	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.12	0	0
11	BAL	0.03	−0.01	0.13	0	0	0.06	0	0	0
12	CLE	0.03	−0.01	0.13	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
13	KC	0.03	−0.02	0.13	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
14	LAC	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0.06	0
15	PIT	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
16	WAS	0.03	−0.00	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0.06	0
17	ATL	0.03	+0.00	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.06	0	0
18	HOU	0.03	−0.00	0	0.06	0.06	0	0.06	0	0
19	TEN	0.03	+0.01	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.06	0
20	CHI	0.02	−0.01	0.06	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
21	GB	0.02	−0.01	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
22	PHI	0.02	−0.01	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0	0
23	DAL	0.02	+0.00	0	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
24	NE	0.02	+0.00	0	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
25	MIN	0.01	−0.01	0.06	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	CAR	0.01	−0.00	0	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
27	CIN	0.01	+0.00	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
28	JAX	0.01	+0.00	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0
29	MIA	0.01	−0.00	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
30	NO	0.01	+0.00	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
31	NYG	0.01	−0.00	0	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
32	SF	0.01	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	0	0.06	0.13	0	0.06	0	0
CAR	0	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
CHI	0.06	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
HOU	0	0.06	0.06	0	0.06	0	0
IND	0.19	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0
LV	0	0.06	0	0.06	0	0.06	0.20
NYG	0	0.06	0	0	0	0	0
SEA	0.19	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0
ARI	0.06	0	0	0	0.12	0.06	0
ATL	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.06	0	0
BAL	0.13	0	0	0.06	0	0	0
CIN	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
CLE	0.13	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
DAL	0	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
DEN	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.12	0	0
DET	0.06	0	0.06	0.06	0	0.06	0
GB	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
JAX	0	0	0	0	0	0.06	0
KC	0.13	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
LAC	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0.06	0
LAR	0.06	0	0	0.12	0.06	0	0
MIA	0	0	0.06	0	0	0	0
MIN	0.06	0	0	0	0	0	0
NE	0	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
NO	0	0	0	0	0.06	0	0
NYJ	0.06	0	0.12	0.18	0	0.06	0
PHI	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0	0
PIT	0.06	0	0	0.06	0	0.06	0
SF	0	0	0	0.06	0	0	0
TB	0.06	0	0	0.06	0.06	0.06	0
TEN	0	0	0	0	0.12	0.06	0
WAS	0.06	0	0.06	0	0	0.06	0

Safety md since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Rams (0.13), 2019 Panthers (0.13), 2020 Colts (0.19), 2021 Bills (0.06).

The best season on record is Colts 2020 at 0.19; the worst Commanders 2018 at 0.

The league average has fallen from 0.02 in 2018 to 0.01 in 2021.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_scoring_safety_md
Side: offensive
Family: Scoring
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Stat-page only: this stat is not available in the Algorithm Builder.