What Rec Fumbles is

Fumbles by receivers after the catch, whether or not they were recovered. Rare events, and noisy over a single season.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Panthers led at 0.06; the league average was 0.24.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

CAR · 0.06

League average

0.24

Best to worst

0.47

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CAR	0.06	17
2	CHI	0.06	17
3	ARI	0.12	17
4	DEN	0.12	17
5	DET	0.12	17
6	LAR	0.12	17
7	MIA	0.12	17
8	PHI	0.12	17
9	CLE	0.18	17
10	MIN	0.18	17
11	NO	0.18	17
12	DAL	0.24	17
13	KC	0.24	17
14	NYG	0.24	17
15	PIT	0.24	17
16	TB	0.24	17
17	TEN	0.24	17
18	WAS	0.24	17
19	BAL	0.29	17
20	CIN	0.29	17
21	GB	0.29	17
22	HOU	0.29	17
23	IND	0.29	17
24	JAX	0.29	17
25	LAC	0.29	17
26	LV	0.29	17
27	NE	0.29	17
28	NYJ	0.35	17
29	SEA	0.35	17
30	ATL	0.41	17
31	BUF	0.47	17
32	SF	0.53	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 0.06

League laggard

SF · 0.53

League average

0.24

Spread (max − min)

0.47

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CAR	0.06	-0.18	100%
2	CHI	0.06	-0.18	96.8%
3	ARI	0.12	-0.13	93.5%
4	DEN	0.12	-0.13	90.3%
5	DET	0.12	-0.13	87.1%
6	LAR	0.12	-0.13	83.9%
7	MIA	0.12	-0.13	80.6%
8	PHI	0.12	-0.13	77.4%
9	CLE	0.18	-0.07	74.2%
10	MIN	0.18	-0.07	71%
11	NO	0.18	-0.07	67.7%
12	DAL	0.24	-0.01	64.5%
13	KC	0.24	-0.01	61.3%
14	NYG	0.24	-0.01	58.1%
15	PIT	0.24	-0.01	54.8%
16	TB	0.24	-0.01	51.6%
17	TEN	0.24	-0.01	48.4%
18	WAS	0.24	-0.01	45.2%
19	BAL	0.29	0.05	41.9%
20	CIN	0.29	0.05	38.7%
21	GB	0.29	0.05	35.5%
22	HOU	0.29	0.05	32.3%
23	IND	0.29	0.05	29%
24	JAX	0.29	0.05	25.8%
25	LAC	0.29	0.05	22.6%
26	LV	0.29	0.05	19.4%
27	NE	0.29	0.05	16.1%
28	NYJ	0.35	0.11	12.9%
29	SEA	0.35	0.11	9.7%
30	ATL	0.41	0.17	6.5%
31	BUF	0.47	0.23	3.2%
32	SF	0.53	0.29	0%

Does Rec Fumbles matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 820–758–37 ATS (52.0%) across 2020–2025, #170 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (136–118, 53.5%); its worst 2023 (127–131, 49.2%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	136–128–7	51.5%
2023	272	127–131–14	49.2%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Rec Fumbles in 2021 vs 2020

Panthers lead at 0.06 — they ranked #8 last year. 49ers are last at 0.53 — #3 last year.

The league average is 0.24, down 0.01 from 0.25 last year.

Biggest riser: Broncos, #27 → #4. Biggest faller: 49ers, #3 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 0.47; 19 teams are within 0.11 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +0.47

Biggest faller

PIT · −0.26

Most consistent

CIN · +0.04

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.01

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	SF	0.53	0.06	+0.47
2	BUF	0.47	0.19	+0.28
3	NYJ	0.35	0.13	+0.23
4	JAX	0.29	0.13	+0.17
5	SEA	0.35	0.19	+0.17
6	BAL	0.29	0.19	+0.11
7	GB	0.29	0.19	+0.11
8	IND	0.29	0.19	+0.11
9	LAC	0.29	0.19	+0.11
10	ATL	0.41	0.31	+0.10
11	DET	0.12	0.06	+0.06
12	PHI	0.12	0.06	+0.06
13	DAL	0.24	0.19	+0.05
14	NYG	0.24	0.19	+0.05
15	TEN	0.24	0.19	+0.05
16	CIN	0.29	0.25	+0.04
17	LV	0.29	0.25	+0.04
18	MIA	0.12	0.19	−0.07
19	MIN	0.18	0.25	−0.07
20	NO	0.18	0.25	−0.07
21	TB	0.24	0.31	−0.08
22	HOU	0.29	0.38	−0.08
23	NE	0.29	0.38	−0.08
24	CAR	0.06	0.19	−0.13
25	LAR	0.12	0.25	−0.13
26	CLE	0.18	0.38	−0.20
27	KC	0.24	0.44	−0.20
28	WAS	0.24	0.44	−0.20
29	CHI	0.06	0.31	−0.25
30	ARI	0.12	0.38	−0.26
31	DEN	0.12	0.38	−0.26
32	PIT	0.24	0.50	−0.26

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

LAR · 0.16

Multi-year laggard

LAC · 0.33

Biggest improver

KC · −0.06/yr

Biggest decliner

CAR · +0.07/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	LAR	0.16	−0.01	0.25	0.12	0.12	0.24	0.06	0.12	0.20
2	DET	0.16	+0.03	0.06	0.12	0.12	0.24	0.12	0.06	0.40
3	PHI	0.16	+0.01	0.06	0.12	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.20
4	ARI	0.17	−0.04	0.38	0.12	0.24	0.12	0.29	0.06	0
5	NYJ	0.19	−0.02	0.13	0.35	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.06	0.20
6	HOU	0.20	−0.04	0.38	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.18	0
7	TEN	0.20	+0.03	0.19	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.60
8	SF	0.20	−0.03	0.06	0.53	0.24	0.18	0.24	0.18	0
9	LV	0.21	−0.01	0.25	0.29	0.29	0.12	0	0.12	0.40
10	CLE	0.22	−0.02	0.38	0.18	0.18	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.20
11	MIA	0.22	+0.03	0.19	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.24	0.18	0.40
12	MIN	0.22	+0.02	0.25	0.18	0.12	0.24	0.24	0.12	0.40
13	DEN	0.23	−0.01	0.38	0.12	0.06	0.41	0.35	0.06	0.20
14	NYG	0.23	+0.02	0.19	0.24	0.24	0.18	0.18	0.18	0.40
15	IND	0.23	−0.02	0.19	0.29	0.47	0.18	0.18	0.12	0.20
16	CHI	0.24	+0.00	0.31	0.06	0.35	0.24	0.29	0	0.40
17	KC	0.24	−0.06	0.44	0.24	0.29	0.41	0.12	0.18	0
18	NO	0.24	+0.00	0.25	0.18	0.41	0	0.35	0.29	0.20
19	ATL	0.24	−0.03	0.31	0.41	0.24	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.20
20	WAS	0.25	−0.01	0.44	0.24	0.06	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.40
21	BAL	0.26	−0.00	0.19	0.29	0.35	0.35	0.06	0.35	0.20
22	JAX	0.26	+0.03	0.13	0.29	0.12	0.47	0.24	0.18	0.40
23	GB	0.27	+0.00	0.19	0.29	0.41	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.40
24	SEA	0.27	+0.03	0.19	0.35	0.24	0	0.24	0.47	0.40
25	CIN	0.27	+0.03	0.25	0.29	0.13	0.18	0.29	0.35	0.40
26	TB	0.28	−0.00	0.31	0.24	0.29	0.35	0.29	0.06	0.40
27	BUF	0.28	+0.00	0.19	0.47	0.19	0.35	0.12	0.24	0.40
28	DAL	0.28	+0.03	0.19	0.24	0.12	0.35	0.41	0.47	0.20
29	NE	0.30	−0.02	0.38	0.29	0.41	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.40
30	PIT	0.31	+0.00	0.50	0.24	0.06	0.35	0.24	0.35	0.40
31	CAR	0.31	+0.07	0.19	0.06	0.24	0.41	0.35	0.18	0.75
32	LAC	0.33	+0.02	0.19	0.29	0.35	0.47	0.24	0.35	0.40

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CAR	0.19	0.06	0.24	0.41	0.35	0.18	0.75
CHI	0.31	0.06	0.35	0.24	0.29	0	0.40
ARI	0.38	0.12	0.24	0.12	0.29	0.06	0
DEN	0.38	0.12	0.06	0.41	0.35	0.06	0.20
DET	0.06	0.12	0.12	0.24	0.12	0.06	0.40
LAR	0.25	0.12	0.12	0.24	0.06	0.12	0.20
MIA	0.19	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.24	0.18	0.40
PHI	0.06	0.12	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.20
CLE	0.38	0.18	0.18	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.20
MIN	0.25	0.18	0.12	0.24	0.24	0.12	0.40
NO	0.25	0.18	0.41	0	0.35	0.29	0.20
DAL	0.19	0.24	0.12	0.35	0.41	0.47	0.20
KC	0.44	0.24	0.29	0.41	0.12	0.18	0
NYG	0.19	0.24	0.24	0.18	0.18	0.18	0.40
PIT	0.50	0.24	0.06	0.35	0.24	0.35	0.40
TB	0.31	0.24	0.29	0.35	0.29	0.06	0.40
TEN	0.19	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.60
WAS	0.44	0.24	0.06	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.40
BAL	0.19	0.29	0.35	0.35	0.06	0.35	0.20
CIN	0.25	0.29	0.13	0.18	0.29	0.35	0.40
GB	0.19	0.29	0.41	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.40
HOU	0.38	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.18	0
IND	0.19	0.29	0.47	0.18	0.18	0.12	0.20
JAX	0.13	0.29	0.12	0.47	0.24	0.18	0.40
LV	0.25	0.29	0.29	0.12	0	0.12	0.40
LAC	0.19	0.29	0.35	0.47	0.24	0.35	0.40
NE	0.38	0.29	0.41	0.29	0.24	0.12	0.40
NYJ	0.13	0.35	0.29	0.12	0.18	0.06	0.20
SEA	0.19	0.35	0.24	0	0.24	0.47	0.40
ATL	0.31	0.41	0.24	0.12	0.18	0.24	0.20
BUF	0.19	0.47	0.19	0.35	0.12	0.24	0.40
SF	0.06	0.53	0.24	0.18	0.24	0.18	0

Rec Fumbles since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (0.06), 2019 Bills (0), 2020 Lions (0.06), 2021 Panthers (0.06).

The best season on record is Bills 2019 at 0; the worst 49ers 2021 at 0.53.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_receiving_rec_fumbles
Side: offensive
Family: Receiving
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.