What Pass Cmp is

Completions: passes that were caught by the intended receiver. On its own it mostly tracks how often a team throws; completion percentage and yards per completion say what the completions were worth.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Buccaneers led at 28.94; the league average was 22.28.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

TB · 28.94

League average

22.28

Best to worst

11.71

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	TB	28.94	17
2	KC	26.35	17
3	DAL	26.12	17
4	LAC	26.06	17
5	LV	25.24	17
6	PIT	25	17
7	ARI	24.41	17
8	BUF	24.41	17
9	LAR	23.88	17
10	MIA	23.76	17
11	GB	23.65	17
12	MIN	23.41	17
13	BAL	23.29	17
14	DET	23.29	17
15	CIN	22.59	17
16	ATL	22.18	17
17	NE	21.41	17
18	JAX	21.24	17
19	TEN	21.12	17
20	NYJ	21	17
21	WAS	20.94	17
22	DEN	20.82	17
23	HOU	20.82	17
24	NYG	20.65	17
25	CAR	20.47	17
26	SF	20.18	17
27	CHI	19.53	17
28	IND	19.06	17
29	SEA	19.06	17
30	CLE	18.82	17
31	PHI	18.06	17
32	NO	17.24	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

TB · 28.94

League laggard

NO · 17.24

League average

22.28

Spread (max − min)

11.71

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	TB	28.94	6.66	100%
2	KC	26.35	4.07	96.8%
3	DAL	26.12	3.84	93.5%
4	LAC	26.06	3.78	90.3%
5	LV	25.24	2.95	87.1%
6	PIT	25	2.72	83.9%
7	ARI	24.41	2.13	80.6%
8	BUF	24.41	2.13	77.4%
9	LAR	23.88	1.60	74.2%
10	MIA	23.76	1.48	71%
11	GB	23.65	1.37	67.7%
12	MIN	23.41	1.13	64.5%
13	BAL	23.29	1.01	61.3%
14	DET	23.29	1.01	58.1%
15	CIN	22.59	0.31	54.8%
16	ATL	22.18	-0.10	51.6%
17	NE	21.41	-0.87	48.4%
18	JAX	21.24	-1.05	45.2%
19	TEN	21.12	-1.16	41.9%
20	NYJ	21	-1.28	38.7%
21	WAS	20.94	-1.34	35.5%
22	DEN	20.82	-1.46	32.3%
23	HOU	20.82	-1.46	29%
24	NYG	20.65	-1.63	25.8%
25	CAR	20.47	-1.81	22.6%
26	SF	20.18	-2.10	19.4%
27	CHI	19.53	-2.75	16.1%
28	IND	19.06	-3.22	12.9%
29	SEA	19.06	-3.22	9.7%
30	CLE	18.82	-3.46	6.5%
31	PHI	18.06	-4.22	3.2%
32	NO	17.24	-5.05	0%

Does Pass Cmp matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 816–762–37 ATS (51.7%) across 2020–2025, #190 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (143–111, 56.3%); its worst 2024 (123–140, 46.8%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	143–111–2	56.3%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	145–119–7	54.9%
2023	272	134–124–14	51.9%
2024	272	123–140–9	46.8%
2025	272	132–137–3	49.1%

Pass Cmp in 2021 vs 2020

Buccaneers lead at 28.94 — they ranked #6 last year. Saints are last at 17.24 — #22 last year.

The league average is 22.28, down 0.68 from 22.96 last year.

Biggest riser: Ravens, #32 → #13. Biggest faller: Bears, #8 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 11.71; 20 teams are within 2.68 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +7.23

Biggest faller

NO · −5.89

Most consistent

DET · −0.08

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.68

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	BAL	23.29	16.06	+7.23
2	NE	21.41	17.69	+3.72
3	TB	28.94	25.63	+3.32
4	NYJ	21	18.25	+2.75
5	LV	25.24	23.06	+2.17
6	MIN	23.41	21.81	+1.60
7	TEN	21.12	19.75	+1.37
8	DEN	20.82	19.81	+1.01
9	MIA	23.76	23.13	+0.64
10	NYG	20.65	20.06	+0.58
11	GB	23.65	23.25	+0.40
12	DAL	26.12	25.81	+0.31
13	LAC	26.06	25.81	+0.25
14	ARI	24.41	24.19	+0.22
15	KC	26.35	26.25	+0.10
16	DET	23.29	23.38	−0.08
17	LAR	23.88	24.50	−0.62
18	CIN	22.59	23.25	−0.66
19	CLE	18.82	19.69	−0.86
20	BUF	24.41	25.63	−1.21
21	PIT	25	26.75	−1.75
22	PHI	18.06	20.88	−2.82
23	CAR	20.47	23.31	−2.84
24	JAX	21.24	24.19	−2.95
25	SF	20.18	23.19	−3.01
26	HOU	20.82	23.94	−3.11
27	ATL	22.18	25.50	−3.32
28	WAS	20.94	24.31	−3.37
29	IND	19.06	23.19	−4.13
30	SEA	19.06	24.25	−5.19
31	CHI	19.53	25.13	−5.60
32	NO	17.24	23.13	−5.89

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CIN · 24.99

Multi-year laggard

BAL · 18.77

Biggest improver

NO · +0.90/yr

Biggest decliner

LAC · −1.58/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CIN	24.99	+0.55	23.25	22.59	26.13	24.71	27.06	24.24	27
2	DAL	24.55	−0.02	25.81	26.12	20.88	25.18	23.41	24.65	25.80
3	TB	24.25	−1.41	25.63	28.94	29.35	21.41	24	20.65	19.80
4	ARI	24.10	+0.18	24.19	24.41	25.47	20.88	22	25.12	26.60
5	KC	24.08	−1.04	26.25	26.35	25.59	24.76	23.76	21.35	20.50
6	DET	23.64	+0.26	23.38	23.29	22.53	24	23.47	23.18	25.60
7	LAC	23.26	−1.58	25.81	26.06	28.53	24.06	19.76	21.59	17
8	LAR	23.23	+0.36	24.50	23.88	20.41	21.24	21.59	22.82	28.20
9	LV	22.51	−0.21	23.06	25.24	21.12	20.47	24.12	20	23.60
10	NO	22.13	+0.90	23.13	17.24	19.88	23.88	20	23.35	27.40
11	PIT	22.07	−0.85	26.75	25	21.41	19	18.88	21.47	22
12	MIN	21.98	−0.96	21.81	23.41	26.35	24.94	21.41	17.53	18.40
13	HOU	21.94	+0.04	23.94	20.82	20.71	21.88	21	21.41	23.80
14	BUF	21.86	−1.21	25.63	24.41	22.56	22.65	19.35	20.24	18.20
15	JAX	21.78	−0.71	24.19	21.24	23.18	24.24	20.18	20.24	19.20
16	SEA	21.69	−0.44	24.25	19.06	23.47	21.82	24.29	19.12	19.80
17	GB	21.45	−0.52	23.25	23.65	21.41	22	18.12	19.29	22.40
18	MIA	21.36	−1.16	23.13	23.76	21.65	23.12	24.29	18.94	14.60
19	WAS	20.97	−0.81	24.31	20.94	20.24	23.94	21.47	16.88	19
20	SF	20.94	−0.13	23.19	20.18	19.88	19.76	20.53	23.41	19.60
21	IND	20.90	−0.25	23.19	19.06	23.41	20.88	17	21.18	21.60
22	DEN	20.75	+0.17	19.81	20.82	20.29	19.82	22.29	22.82	19.40
23	CAR	20.68	+0.28	23.31	20.47	15.71	20.59	20.06	19.35	25.25
24	NE	20.39	+0.27	17.69	21.41	21.06	20.65	20.12	21.24	20.60
25	NYG	20.27	−0.04	20.06	20.65	20.35	19.88	21.53	19	20.40
26	NYJ	20.25	+0.04	18.25	21	21	20.94	22.65	17.53	20.40
27	CLE	20.08	+0.09	19.69	18.82	19.71	20.88	23.24	19	19.20
28	ATL	19.97	−0.90	25.50	22.18	15.12	19.24	21.41	19.53	16.80
29	CHI	19.95	+0.01	25.13	19.53	13.12	18.88	20.76	19.65	22.60
30	PHI	19.37	−0.38	20.88	18.06	20.59	21.71	17.82	18.71	17.80
31	TEN	19.27	+0.01	19.75	21.12	16.76	17.88	19.76	20	19.60
32	BAL	18.77	−0.04	16.06	23.29	17.65	19.29	18.71	16.35	20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
TB	25.63	28.94	29.35	21.41	24	20.65	19.80
KC	26.25	26.35	25.59	24.76	23.76	21.35	20.50
DAL	25.81	26.12	20.88	25.18	23.41	24.65	25.80
LAC	25.81	26.06	28.53	24.06	19.76	21.59	17
LV	23.06	25.24	21.12	20.47	24.12	20	23.60
PIT	26.75	25	21.41	19	18.88	21.47	22
ARI	24.19	24.41	25.47	20.88	22	25.12	26.60
BUF	25.63	24.41	22.56	22.65	19.35	20.24	18.20
LAR	24.50	23.88	20.41	21.24	21.59	22.82	28.20
MIA	23.13	23.76	21.65	23.12	24.29	18.94	14.60
GB	23.25	23.65	21.41	22	18.12	19.29	22.40
MIN	21.81	23.41	26.35	24.94	21.41	17.53	18.40
BAL	16.06	23.29	17.65	19.29	18.71	16.35	20
DET	23.38	23.29	22.53	24	23.47	23.18	25.60
CIN	23.25	22.59	26.13	24.71	27.06	24.24	27
ATL	25.50	22.18	15.12	19.24	21.41	19.53	16.80
NE	17.69	21.41	21.06	20.65	20.12	21.24	20.60
JAX	24.19	21.24	23.18	24.24	20.18	20.24	19.20
TEN	19.75	21.12	16.76	17.88	19.76	20	19.60
NYJ	18.25	21	21	20.94	22.65	17.53	20.40
WAS	24.31	20.94	20.24	23.94	21.47	16.88	19
DEN	19.81	20.82	20.29	19.82	22.29	22.82	19.40
HOU	23.94	20.82	20.71	21.88	21	21.41	23.80
NYG	20.06	20.65	20.35	19.88	21.53	19	20.40
CAR	23.31	20.47	15.71	20.59	20.06	19.35	25.25
SF	23.19	20.18	19.88	19.76	20.53	23.41	19.60
CHI	25.13	19.53	13.12	18.88	20.76	19.65	22.60
IND	23.19	19.06	23.41	20.88	17	21.18	21.60
SEA	24.25	19.06	23.47	21.82	24.29	19.12	19.80
CLE	19.69	18.82	19.71	20.88	23.24	19	19.20
PHI	20.88	18.06	20.59	21.71	17.82	18.71	17.80
NO	23.13	17.24	19.88	23.88	20	23.35	27.40

Pass Cmp since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Steelers (28.69), 2019 Falcons (28.69), 2020 Steelers (26.75), 2021 Buccaneers (28.94).

Steelers have led this stat 2 of 4 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2021 at 28.94; the worst Ravens 2020 at 16.06.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_passing_pass_cmp
Side: offensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.