What Rush TD (Off − Def) is

Rushing touchdowns scored minus rushing touchdowns allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Patriots led at 0.88; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

NE · 0.88

League average

0.00

Best to worst

1.88

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	0.88	17
2	ARI	0.76	17
3	IND	0.71	17
4	TEN	0.53	17
5	CLE	0.41	17
6	DEN	0.41	17
7	PHI	0.41	17
8	TB	0.41	17
9	BAL	0.29	17
10	SF	0.29	17
11	DAL	0.12	17
12	SEA	0.12	17
13	BUF	0.06	17
14	CAR	0.06	17
15	CIN	0.06	17
16	KC	0.06	17
17	CHI	0	17
18	GB	0	17
19	NO	0	17
20	WAS	-0.06	17
21	LAC	-0.24	17
22	LV	-0.24	17
23	MIA	-0.24	17
24	MIN	-0.29	17
25	DET	-0.41	17
26	NYG	-0.41	17
27	PIT	-0.41	17
28	ATL	-0.47	17
29	LAR	-0.47	17
30	JAX	-0.53	17
31	NYJ	-0.82	17
32	HOU	-1	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · 0.88

League laggard

HOU · -1

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

1.88

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	0.88	0.88	100%
2	ARI	0.76	0.76	96.8%
3	IND	0.71	0.71	93.5%
4	TEN	0.53	0.53	90.3%
5	CLE	0.41	0.41	87.1%
6	DEN	0.41	0.41	83.9%
7	PHI	0.41	0.41	80.6%
8	TB	0.41	0.41	77.4%
9	BAL	0.29	0.29	74.2%
10	SF	0.29	0.29	71%
11	DAL	0.12	0.12	67.7%
12	SEA	0.12	0.12	64.5%
13	BUF	0.06	0.06	61.3%
14	CAR	0.06	0.06	58.1%
15	CIN	0.06	0.06	54.8%
16	KC	0.06	0.06	51.6%
17	CHI	0	0.00	48.4%
18	GB	0	0.00	45.2%
19	NO	0	0.00	41.9%
20	WAS	-0.06	-0.06	38.7%
21	LAC	-0.24	-0.24	35.5%
22	LV	-0.24	-0.24	32.3%
23	MIA	-0.24	-0.24	29%
24	MIN	-0.29	-0.29	25.8%
25	DET	-0.41	-0.41	22.6%
26	NYG	-0.41	-0.41	19.4%
27	PIT	-0.41	-0.41	16.1%
28	ATL	-0.47	-0.47	12.9%
29	LAR	-0.47	-0.47	9.7%
30	JAX	-0.53	-0.53	6.5%
31	NYJ	-0.82	-0.82	3.2%
32	HOU	-1	-1	0%

Does Rush TD (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 856–722–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #88 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (151–113, 57.2%); its worst 2021 (135–135, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	137–117–2	53.9%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	140–118–14	54.3%
2024	272	141–122–9	53.6%
2025	272	152–117–3	56.5%

Rush TD (Off − Def) in 2021 vs 2020

Patriots lead at 0.88 — they ranked #11 last year. Texans are last at -1 — #31 last year.

The league average is 0.00, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: Broncos, #29 → #6. Biggest faller: Rams, #5 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 1.88; 23 teams are within 0.44 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DEN · +0.97

Biggest faller

NO · −1.19

Most consistent

GB · 0

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	DEN	0.41	-0.56	+0.97
2	NE	0.88	0.19	+0.69
3	PHI	0.41	-0.25	+0.66
4	DAL	0.12	-0.38	+0.49
5	IND	0.71	0.25	+0.46
6	BUF	0.06	-0.31	+0.37
7	JAX	-0.53	-0.88	+0.35
8	SEA	0.12	-0.19	+0.31
9	DET	-0.41	-0.63	+0.21
10	ARI	0.76	0.56	+0.20
11	KC	0.06	-0.06	+0.12
12	CLE	0.41	0.31	+0.10
13	LAC	-0.24	-0.31	+0.08
14	CIN	0.06	0	+0.06
15	TB	0.41	0.38	+0.04
16	TEN	0.53	0.50	+0.03
17	LV	-0.24	-0.25	+0.01
18	GB	0	0	0
19	CHI	0	0.06	−0.06
20	CAR	0.06	0.13	−0.07
21	MIA	-0.24	-0.13	−0.11
22	HOU	-1	-0.88	−0.13
23	SF	0.29	0.44	−0.14
24	WAS	-0.06	0.25	−0.31
25	ATL	-0.47	-0.13	−0.35
26	NYG	-0.41	-0.06	−0.35
27	PIT	-0.41	-0.06	−0.35
28	MIN	-0.29	0.06	−0.36
29	NYJ	-0.82	-0.44	−0.39
30	BAL	0.29	0.75	−0.46
31	LAR	-0.47	0.44	−0.91
32	NO	0	1.19	−1.19

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 0.55

Multi-year laggard

HOU · -0.49

Biggest improver

BUF · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · −0.25/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	0.55	−0.00	0.75	0.29	0.18	1.18	0.53	0.29	0.60
2	BUF	0.51	+0.25	-0.31	0.06	0.31	0.47	1.12	0.35	1.60
3	SF	0.37	−0.03	0.44	0.29	0.53	1	-0.41	0.12	0.60
4	PHI	0.27	−0.09	-0.25	0.41	1	0.53	1.18	-0.18	-0.80
5	LAR	0.20	+0.07	0.44	-0.47	0.18	0.24	0.12	0.53	0.40
6	ATL	0.20	+0.19	-0.13	-0.47	0.12	0.18	0.41	0.29	1
7	IND	0.18	+0.04	0.25	0.71	-0.71	-0.18	0.12	0.65	0.40
8	NE	0.17	−0.08	0.19	0.88	0.29	-0.29	-0.29	0.65	-0.20
9	KC	0.15	+0.05	-0.06	0.06	0.47	-0.06	0.12	0.06	0.50
10	DET	0.15	+0.18	-0.63	-0.41	0.06	0.71	0.65	0.29	0.40
11	WAS	0.11	+0.02	0.25	-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.41	0.12	0.20
12	TB	0.11	+0.00	0.38	0.41	-0.41	-0.18	0.18	-0.18	0.60
13	CHI	0.08	+0.13	0.06	0	-0.76	0.47	-0.41	0.24	1
14	PIT	0.03	−0.02	-0.06	-0.41	0.53	0.41	0	0.35	-0.60
15	MIA	0.02	+0.04	-0.13	-0.24	-0.18	0.71	0	-0.24	0.20
16	TEN	0.01	−0.22	0.50	0.53	0.41	0.35	-0.59	-0.71	-0.40
17	SEA	0.00	+0.13	-0.19	0.12	-0.53	-0.76	0.35	0.59	0.40
18	NO	-0.03	−0.25	1.19	0	-0.12	0.18	-0.29	-0.18	-1
19	CLE	-0.04	−0.08	0.31	0.41	-0.18	0	-0.82	-0.24	0.20
20	ARI	-0.05	−0.21	0.56	0.76	-0.35	-0.12	0	-0.59	-0.60
21	DEN	-0.07	+0.02	-0.56	0.41	-0.06	-0.41	0.12	0.41	-0.40
22	MIN	-0.07	+0.04	0.06	-0.29	0	-0.41	-0.18	0.12	0.20
23	DAL	-0.09	−0.04	-0.38	0.12	0.88	0	-1.12	-0.35	0.20
24	JAX	-0.11	+0.17	-0.88	-0.53	0.12	0.12	-0.35	0.53	0.20
25	GB	-0.15	−0.08	0	0	-0.35	-0.29	0.59	0.18	-1.20
26	LAC	-0.21	−0.01	-0.31	-0.24	-0.12	-0.41	0.59	-0.35	-0.60
27	CIN	-0.24	−0.12	0	0.06	0.13	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	-0.60
28	NYG	-0.29	−0.07	-0.06	-0.41	0.29	-0.82	-0.29	0.06	-0.80
29	CAR	-0.38	−0.15	0.13	0.06	-0.06	-1.06	-0.35	-0.65	-0.75
30	NYJ	-0.44	+0.04	-0.44	-0.82	-0.06	-0.41	-0.82	-0.53	0
31	LV	-0.46	−0.11	-0.25	-0.24	-0.47	-0.24	-0.24	-1	-0.80
32	HOU	-0.49	+0.19	-0.88	-1	-1.06	-0.53	0.24	-0.24	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
NE	0.19	0.88	0.29	-0.29	-0.29	0.65	-0.20
ARI	0.56	0.76	-0.35	-0.12	0	-0.59	-0.60
IND	0.25	0.71	-0.71	-0.18	0.12	0.65	0.40
TEN	0.50	0.53	0.41	0.35	-0.59	-0.71	-0.40
CLE	0.31	0.41	-0.18	0	-0.82	-0.24	0.20
DEN	-0.56	0.41	-0.06	-0.41	0.12	0.41	-0.40
PHI	-0.25	0.41	1	0.53	1.18	-0.18	-0.80
TB	0.38	0.41	-0.41	-0.18	0.18	-0.18	0.60
BAL	0.75	0.29	0.18	1.18	0.53	0.29	0.60
SF	0.44	0.29	0.53	1	-0.41	0.12	0.60
DAL	-0.38	0.12	0.88	0	-1.12	-0.35	0.20
SEA	-0.19	0.12	-0.53	-0.76	0.35	0.59	0.40
BUF	-0.31	0.06	0.31	0.47	1.12	0.35	1.60
CAR	0.13	0.06	-0.06	-1.06	-0.35	-0.65	-0.75
CIN	0	0.06	0.13	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	-0.60
KC	-0.06	0.06	0.47	-0.06	0.12	0.06	0.50
CHI	0.06	0	-0.76	0.47	-0.41	0.24	1
GB	0	0	-0.35	-0.29	0.59	0.18	-1.20
NO	1.19	0	-0.12	0.18	-0.29	-0.18	-1
WAS	0.25	-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.41	0.12	0.20
LV	-0.25	-0.24	-0.47	-0.24	-0.24	-1	-0.80
LAC	-0.31	-0.24	-0.12	-0.41	0.59	-0.35	-0.60
MIA	-0.13	-0.24	-0.18	0.71	0	-0.24	0.20
MIN	0.06	-0.29	0	-0.41	-0.18	0.12	0.20
DET	-0.63	-0.41	0.06	0.71	0.65	0.29	0.40
NYG	-0.06	-0.41	0.29	-0.82	-0.29	0.06	-0.80
PIT	-0.06	-0.41	0.53	0.41	0	0.35	-0.60
ATL	-0.13	-0.47	0.12	0.18	0.41	0.29	1
LAR	0.44	-0.47	0.18	0.24	0.12	0.53	0.40
JAX	-0.88	-0.53	0.12	0.12	-0.35	0.53	0.20
NYJ	-0.44	-0.82	-0.06	-0.41	-0.82	-0.53	0
HOU	-0.88	-1	-1.06	-0.53	0.24	-0.24	0

Rush TD (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (0.88), 2019 49ers (0.75), 2020 Saints (1.19), 2021 Patriots (0.88).

Saints have led this stat 2 of 4 seasons.

The best season on record is Saints 2020 at 1.19; the worst Jaguars 2019 at -1.25.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_rush_td
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.