What Rectd (Off − Def) is

Receiving touchdowns scored minus receiving touchdowns allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2021 the Bills led at 1.41; the league average was -0.08.

League snapshot — 2021

League leader

BUF · 1.41

League average

-0.08

Best to worst

2.41

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	1.41	17
2	TB	1	17
3	DAL	0.94	17
4	LAC	0.65	17
5	CIN	0.59	17
6	KC	0.59	17
7	NO	0.53	17
8	GB	0.47	17
9	SEA	0.35	17
10	MIN	0.29	17
11	NE	0.18	17
12	SF	0.06	17
13	PIT	-0.06	17
14	DEN	-0.12	17
15	MIA	-0.12	17
16	TEN	-0.12	17
17	ARI	-0.18	17
18	IND	-0.29	17
19	HOU	-0.35	17
20	LV	-0.35	17
21	CLE	-0.47	17
22	DET	-0.47	17
23	NYJ	-0.47	17
24	PHI	-0.47	17
25	BAL	-0.59	17
26	ATL	-0.65	17
27	CAR	-0.71	17
28	JAX	-0.71	17
29	NYG	-0.71	17
30	WAS	-0.76	17
31	CHI	-0.88	17
32	LAR	-1	17

At a glance — 2021

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 1.41

League laggard

LAR · -1

League average

-0.08

Spread (max − min)

2.41

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	1.41	1.49	100%
2	TB	1	1.08	96.8%
3	DAL	0.94	1.02	93.5%
4	LAC	0.65	0.72	90.3%
5	CIN	0.59	0.66	87.1%
6	KC	0.59	0.66	83.9%
7	NO	0.53	0.60	80.6%
8	GB	0.47	0.55	77.4%
9	SEA	0.35	0.43	74.2%
10	MIN	0.29	0.37	71%
11	NE	0.18	0.25	67.7%
12	SF	0.06	0.13	64.5%
13	PIT	-0.06	0.02	61.3%
14	DEN	-0.12	-0.04	58.1%
15	MIA	-0.12	-0.04	54.8%
16	TEN	-0.12	-0.04	51.6%
17	ARI	-0.18	-0.10	48.4%
18	IND	-0.29	-0.22	45.2%
19	HOU	-0.35	-0.28	41.9%
20	LV	-0.35	-0.28	38.7%
21	CLE	-0.47	-0.40	35.5%
22	DET	-0.47	-0.40	32.3%
23	NYJ	-0.47	-0.40	29%
24	PHI	-0.47	-0.40	25.8%
25	BAL	-0.59	-0.51	22.6%
26	ATL	-0.65	-0.57	19.4%
27	CAR	-0.71	-0.63	16.1%
28	JAX	-0.71	-0.63	12.9%
29	NYG	-0.71	-0.63	9.7%
30	WAS	-0.76	-0.69	6.5%
31	CHI	-0.88	-0.81	3.2%
32	LAR	-1	-0.92	0%

Does Rectd (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 849–729–37 ATS (53.8%) across 2020–2025, #106 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (148–115, 56.3%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	139–115–2	54.7%
2021	272	144–126–2	53.3%
2022	271	145–119–7	54.9%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	148–115–9	56.3%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Rectd (Off − Def) in 2021 vs 2020

Bills lead at 1.41 — they ranked #2 last year. Rams are last at -1 — #31 last year.

The league average is -0.08, down 0.04 from -0.04 last year.

Biggest riser: Bengals, #30 → #5. Biggest faller: Ravens, #7 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 2.41; 19 teams are within 0.60 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DAL · +1.50

Biggest faller

GB · −1.09

Most consistent

MIN · −0.02

League trend 2021 vs 2020

▼ -0.04

Rank	Team	2021	2020	Δ
1	DAL	0.94	-0.56	+1.50
2	CIN	0.59	-0.81	+1.40
3	NE	0.18	-0.63	+0.80
4	NYJ	-0.47	-1.13	+0.65
5	NO	0.53	0	+0.53
6	LAC	0.65	0.13	+0.52
7	BUF	1.41	1.06	+0.35
8	DET	-0.47	-0.69	+0.22
9	TB	1	0.81	+0.19
10	TEN	-0.12	-0.19	+0.07
11	LAR	-1	-1.06	+0.06
12	SF	0.06	0	+0.06
13	CAR	-0.71	-0.75	+0.04
14	MIN	0.29	0.31	−0.02
15	NYG	-0.71	-0.63	−0.08
16	KC	0.59	0.69	−0.10
17	DEN	-0.12	0	−0.12
18	JAX	-0.71	-0.56	−0.14
19	PHI	-0.47	-0.31	−0.16
20	ATL	-0.65	-0.44	−0.21
21	CLE	-0.47	-0.25	−0.22
22	ARI	-0.18	0.06	−0.24
23	IND	-0.29	0	−0.29
24	MIA	-0.12	0.19	−0.31
25	LV	-0.35	0	−0.35
26	WAS	-0.76	-0.31	−0.45
27	HOU	-0.35	0.19	−0.54
28	SEA	0.35	1.06	−0.71
29	CHI	-0.88	-0.13	−0.76
30	PIT	-0.06	0.81	−0.87
31	BAL	-0.59	0.31	−0.90
32	GB	0.47	1.56	−1.09

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

GB · 0.60

Multi-year laggard

LAR · -1.38

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

BUF · −0.33/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	GB	0.60	−0.11	1.56	0.47	0.29	0.65	0.29	0.12	0.80
2	KC	0.56	+0.03	0.69	0.59	0.47	0.53	0.12	0.29	1.25
3	BUF	0.50	−0.33	1.06	1.41	0.88	0.65	0.12	0.59	-1.20
4	CIN	0.47	+0.17	-0.81	0.59	1.13	0.24	0.76	0.18	1.20
5	SF	0.45	+0.16	0	0.06	0.59	0.76	-0.12	0.24	1.60
6	MIN	0.38	+0.01	0.31	0.29	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.40
7	SEA	0.36	−0.08	1.06	0.35	0.41	0.12	-0.29	0.29	0.60
8	TB	0.27	−0.20	0.81	1	-0.18	0.29	0.82	-0.24	-0.60
9	BAL	0.23	+0.10	0.31	-0.59	-0.06	0.53	0.82	0	0.60
10	NO	0.18	−0.05	0	0.53	0.41	0.35	0.12	-0.35	0.20
11	LAC	0.13	−0.07	0.13	0.65	0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.59	-0.40
12	DAL	0.12	−0.07	-0.56	0.94	0.29	0.88	-0.29	-0.24	-0.20
13	DEN	0.06	+0.04	0	-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.47	0.41	-0.20
14	HOU	0.04	−0.01	0.19	-0.35	0.29	0.59	-0.65	0.24	0
15	DET	0.03	+0.12	-0.69	-0.47	0.18	0.12	1.24	0.24	-0.40
16	PHI	0.00	+0.16	-0.31	-0.47	0.18	-0.65	0.12	0.71	0.40
17	PIT	-0.03	+0.04	0.81	-0.06	-1	-0.59	-0.12	-0.24	1
18	JAX	-0.10	+0.24	-0.56	-0.71	0	-0.29	-0.59	0.24	1.20
19	LV	-0.11	+0.01	0	-0.35	0.18	-0.06	-0.59	-0.18	0.20
20	NE	-0.13	+0.12	-0.63	0.18	-0.53	-0.18	-0.53	0.35	0.40
21	MIA	-0.25	−0.24	0.19	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0	-0.35	-1.80
22	CAR	-0.27	+0.25	-0.75	-0.71	-0.53	-0.35	-0.76	0.24	1
23	CLE	-0.32	−0.05	-0.25	-0.47	-0.06	0.06	-0.41	-0.53	-0.60
24	CHI	-0.34	+0.03	-0.13	-0.88	-0.18	-0.71	0.18	-0.24	-0.40
25	IND	-0.36	−0.10	0	-0.29	-0.47	-0.18	-0.41	0.06	-1.20
26	NYJ	-0.36	+0.09	-1.13	-0.47	0	-0.47	0.76	-1.24	0
27	NYG	-0.38	+0.09	-0.63	-0.71	-0.24	-0.35	-0.47	-0.24	0
28	ARI	-0.39	−0.08	0.06	-0.18	-0.71	-0.82	0.06	-0.12	-1
29	TEN	-0.43	−0.06	-0.19	-0.12	-0.76	-0.35	-0.29	-0.88	-0.40
30	WAS	-0.55	−0.09	-0.31	-0.76	-0.12	-0.88	0.24	-0.82	-1.20
31	ATL	-0.61	−0.06	-0.44	-0.65	-0.53	-0.41	-0.76	-0.47	-1
32	LAR	-1.38	−0.11	-1.06	-1	-1.35	-1.41	-1.71	-1.53	-1.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	1.06	1.41	0.88	0.65	0.12	0.59	-1.20
TB	0.81	1	-0.18	0.29	0.82	-0.24	-0.60
DAL	-0.56	0.94	0.29	0.88	-0.29	-0.24	-0.20
LAC	0.13	0.65	0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.59	-0.40
CIN	-0.81	0.59	1.13	0.24	0.76	0.18	1.20
KC	0.69	0.59	0.47	0.53	0.12	0.29	1.25
NO	0	0.53	0.41	0.35	0.12	-0.35	0.20
GB	1.56	0.47	0.29	0.65	0.29	0.12	0.80
SEA	1.06	0.35	0.41	0.12	-0.29	0.29	0.60
MIN	0.31	0.29	0.41	0.41	0.65	0.18	0.40
NE	-0.63	0.18	-0.53	-0.18	-0.53	0.35	0.40
SF	0	0.06	0.59	0.76	-0.12	0.24	1.60
PIT	0.81	-0.06	-1	-0.59	-0.12	-0.24	1
DEN	0	-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	0.47	0.41	-0.20
MIA	0.19	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0	-0.35	-1.80
TEN	-0.19	-0.12	-0.76	-0.35	-0.29	-0.88	-0.40
ARI	0.06	-0.18	-0.71	-0.82	0.06	-0.12	-1
IND	0	-0.29	-0.47	-0.18	-0.41	0.06	-1.20
HOU	0.19	-0.35	0.29	0.59	-0.65	0.24	0
LV	0	-0.35	0.18	-0.06	-0.59	-0.18	0.20
CLE	-0.25	-0.47	-0.06	0.06	-0.41	-0.53	-0.60
DET	-0.69	-0.47	0.18	0.12	1.24	0.24	-0.40
NYJ	-1.13	-0.47	0	-0.47	0.76	-1.24	0
PHI	-0.31	-0.47	0.18	-0.65	0.12	0.71	0.40
BAL	0.31	-0.59	-0.06	0.53	0.82	0	0.60
ATL	-0.44	-0.65	-0.53	-0.41	-0.76	-0.47	-1
CAR	-0.75	-0.71	-0.53	-0.35	-0.76	0.24	1
JAX	-0.56	-0.71	0	-0.29	-0.59	0.24	1.20
NYG	-0.63	-0.71	-0.24	-0.35	-0.47	-0.24	0
WAS	-0.31	-0.76	-0.12	-0.88	0.24	-0.82	-1.20
CHI	-0.13	-0.88	-0.18	-0.71	0.18	-0.24	-0.40
LAR	-1.06	-1	-1.35	-1.41	-1.71	-1.53	-1.60

Rectd (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (1.25), 2019 Ravens (1.38), 2020 Packers (1.56), 2021 Bills (1.41).

The best season on record is Packers 2020 at 1.56; the worst Rams 2018 at -1.94.

The league average has fallen from -0.06 in 2018 to -0.08 in 2021.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_rectd
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.