What Pass 1stD (Off − Def) is

Passing first downs earned minus passing first downs allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Bills led at 3.12; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

BUF · 3.12

League average

0.00

Best to worst

7.24

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	3.12	17
2	LAR	2.71	17
3	NE	2.06	17
4	LAC	2	17
5	SF	2	17
6	KC	1.94	17
7	DEN	1.76	17
8	DET	1.76	17
9	MIN	1.71	17
10	DAL	1.41	17
11	NO	1.29	17
12	HOU	1.24	17
13	CIN	0.53	17
14	ATL	0.47	17
15	PHI	0.24	17
16	ARI	0.18	17
17	JAX	0.12	17
18	GB	0.06	17
19	CHI	-0.06	17
20	SEA	-0.06	17
21	CAR	-0.71	17
22	LV	-0.88	17
23	MIA	-0.94	17
24	IND	-1.12	17
25	CLE	-1.35	17
26	TB	-1.76	17
27	NYG	-2.12	17
28	PIT	-2.29	17
29	TEN	-2.47	17
30	WAS	-3.29	17
31	BAL	-3.41	17
32	NYJ	-4.12	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 3.12

League laggard

NYJ · -4.12

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

7.24

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	3.12	3.12	100%
2	LAR	2.71	2.71	96.8%
3	NE	2.06	2.06	93.5%
4	LAC	2	2	90.3%
5	SF	2	2	87.1%
6	KC	1.94	1.94	83.9%
7	DEN	1.76	1.76	80.6%
8	DET	1.76	1.76	77.4%
9	MIN	1.71	1.71	74.2%
10	DAL	1.41	1.41	71%
11	NO	1.29	1.29	67.7%
12	HOU	1.24	1.24	64.5%
13	CIN	0.53	0.53	61.3%
14	ATL	0.47	0.47	58.1%
15	PHI	0.24	0.24	54.8%
16	ARI	0.18	0.18	51.6%
17	JAX	0.12	0.12	48.4%
18	GB	0.06	0.06	45.2%
19	CHI	-0.06	-0.06	41.9%
20	SEA	-0.06	-0.06	38.7%
21	CAR	-0.71	-0.71	35.5%
22	LV	-0.88	-0.88	32.3%
23	MIA	-0.94	-0.94	29%
24	IND	-1.12	-1.12	25.8%
25	CLE	-1.35	-1.35	22.6%
26	TB	-1.76	-1.76	19.4%
27	NYG	-2.12	-2.12	16.1%
28	PIT	-2.29	-2.29	12.9%
29	TEN	-2.47	-2.47	9.7%
30	WAS	-3.29	-3.29	6.5%
31	BAL	-3.41	-3.41	3.2%
32	NYJ	-4.12	-4.12	0%

Does Pass 1stD (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 841–737–37 ATS (53.3%) across 2020–2025, #121 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2024 (129–134, 49.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	140–114–2	55.1%
2021	272	142–128–2	52.6%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	134–124–14	51.9%
2024	272	129–134–9	49.0%
2025	272	141–128–3	52.4%

Pass 1stD (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024

Bills lead at 3.12 — they ranked #30 last year. Jets are last at -4.12 — #4 last year.

The league average is 0.00, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: Bills, #30 → #1. Biggest faller: Jets, #4 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 7.24; 20 teams are within 1.87 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BUF · +5.24

Biggest faller

NYJ · −6

Most consistent

HOU · +0.06

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.00

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	BUF	3.12	-2.12	+5.24
2	DEN	1.76	-1.71	+3.47
3	NE	2.06	-1.24	+3.29
4	LAR	2.71	-0.29	+3
5	JAX	0.12	-2.76	+2.88
6	NO	1.29	-1.47	+2.76
7	MIN	1.71	-0.35	+2.06
8	LAC	2	0.06	+1.94
9	GB	0.06	-1.53	+1.59
10	CAR	-0.71	-2.29	+1.59
11	ATL	0.47	-0.24	+0.71
12	SF	2	1.29	+0.71
13	ARI	0.18	-0.41	+0.59
14	IND	-1.12	-1.65	+0.53
15	CHI	-0.06	-0.41	+0.35
16	KC	1.94	1.65	+0.29
17	DAL	1.41	1.18	+0.24
18	HOU	1.24	1.18	+0.06
19	PHI	0.24	0.41	−0.18
20	PIT	-2.29	-2	−0.29
21	DET	1.76	2.41	−0.65
22	SEA	-0.06	1	−1.06
23	NYG	-2.12	-0.47	−1.65
24	LV	-0.88	0.88	−1.76
25	CLE	-1.35	0.47	−1.82
26	BAL	-3.41	-1.06	−2.35
27	TB	-1.76	0.71	−2.47
28	TEN	-2.47	0.29	−2.76
29	MIA	-0.94	1.94	−2.88
30	CIN	0.53	3.59	−3.06
31	WAS	-3.29	1.06	−4.35
32	NYJ	-4.12	1.88	−6

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 2.38

Multi-year laggard

TEN · -2.16

Biggest improver

SEA · +1.06/yr

Biggest decliner

BUF · −0.99/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	2.38	−0.59	3.50	3.41	3.76	2.71	1.65	1.94	-0.29
2	DAL	2.21	−0.29	2.94	3.35	1.18	3.88	1.18	1.41	1.50
3	CIN	1.58	+0.28	0.69	-0.06	3.13	0.47	3.59	0.53	2.71
4	LAC	1.51	−0.51	2.44	3.24	3.35	-0.12	0.06	2	-0.43
5	SF	1.37	−0.05	2.69	1.12	0.12	1.12	1.29	2	1.29
6	BUF	1.36	−0.99	2.63	6.06	2.06	1.06	-2.12	3.12	-3.29
7	LAR	1.26	+0.26	2.31	1.18	-1.29	0.82	-0.29	2.71	3.38
8	GB	0.87	−0.40	1.94	2.47	1.18	1.24	-1.53	0.06	0.75
9	NO	0.55	+0.13	0.88	-1.18	1.18	1.88	-1.47	1.29	1.29
10	TB	0.47	−0.84	1.50	3.35	3.06	-1.47	0.71	-1.76	-2.13
11	MIN	0.46	+0.23	0.13	-1.35	1.47	0.76	-0.35	1.71	0.86
12	DET	0.33	+0.37	-2.19	-1	1.18	1.18	2.41	1.76	-1
13	MIA	0.31	−0.52	0.88	0.35	1.12	2.24	1.94	-0.94	-3.43
14	CLE	0.16	+0.13	-1.25	-0.53	0.88	2.29	0.47	-1.35	0.63
15	ARI	0.09	+0.22	0.31	1.18	-1.65	-1.59	-0.41	0.18	2.63
16	LV	0.03	+0.21	-1	0.71	-0.71	-0.29	0.88	-0.88	1.50
17	SEA	-0.10	+1.06	-2.31	-4.29	1	-0.76	1	-0.06	4.71
18	HOU	-0.22	+0.43	0	-3.29	-2.18	1.65	1.18	1.24	-0.14
19	CHI	-0.29	+0.17	1.88	0.41	-4.53	-1.76	-0.41	-0.06	2.43
20	PIT	-0.50	−0.69	2.88	1.18	-0.47	-2.06	-2	-2.29	-0.75
21	NE	-0.51	+0.37	-1.94	0.53	-1.71	-1.65	-1.24	2.06	0.38
22	JAX	-0.68	−0.06	-0.25	-1.06	-0.06	-0.06	-2.76	0.12	-0.71
23	WAS	-0.77	−0.47	1.31	-2.29	1.76	-1.82	1.06	-3.29	-2.14
24	IND	-0.78	+0.08	-0.19	-2.65	0.53	-0.65	-1.65	-1.12	0.25
25	CAR	-0.82	+0.39	-1.13	-0.06	-3.29	-0.82	-2.29	-0.71	2.57
26	ATL	-0.98	−0.19	0.31	-1	-3	-0.06	-0.24	0.47	-3.38
27	PHI	-1.03	+0.15	-1.94	-2.59	0.53	-1.47	0.41	0.24	-2.38
28	DEN	-1.21	+0.04	-1.75	-0.35	-1.12	-2.71	-1.71	1.76	-2.63
29	NYJ	-1.22	+0.49	-5.75	-2.29	1.41	0.47	1.88	-4.12	-0.13
30	NYG	-1.52	+0.46	-2.31	-2.59	-1.65	-2.76	-0.47	-2.12	1.29
31	BAL	-1.99	+0.33	-4.38	-1.35	-3.29	0.18	-1.06	-3.41	-0.63
32	TEN	-2.16	−0.12	-2.81	-0.59	-3.65	-1.88	0.29	-2.47	-4

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	2.63	6.06	2.06	1.06	-2.12	3.12	-3.29
LAR	2.31	1.18	-1.29	0.82	-0.29	2.71	3.38
NE	-1.94	0.53	-1.71	-1.65	-1.24	2.06	0.38
LAC	2.44	3.24	3.35	-0.12	0.06	2	-0.43
SF	2.69	1.12	0.12	1.12	1.29	2	1.29
KC	3.50	3.41	3.76	2.71	1.65	1.94	-0.29
DEN	-1.75	-0.35	-1.12	-2.71	-1.71	1.76	-2.63
DET	-2.19	-1	1.18	1.18	2.41	1.76	-1
MIN	0.13	-1.35	1.47	0.76	-0.35	1.71	0.86
DAL	2.94	3.35	1.18	3.88	1.18	1.41	1.50
NO	0.88	-1.18	1.18	1.88	-1.47	1.29	1.29
HOU	0	-3.29	-2.18	1.65	1.18	1.24	-0.14
CIN	0.69	-0.06	3.13	0.47	3.59	0.53	2.71
ATL	0.31	-1	-3	-0.06	-0.24	0.47	-3.38
PHI	-1.94	-2.59	0.53	-1.47	0.41	0.24	-2.38
ARI	0.31	1.18	-1.65	-1.59	-0.41	0.18	2.63
JAX	-0.25	-1.06	-0.06	-0.06	-2.76	0.12	-0.71
GB	1.94	2.47	1.18	1.24	-1.53	0.06	0.75
CHI	1.88	0.41	-4.53	-1.76	-0.41	-0.06	2.43
SEA	-2.31	-4.29	1	-0.76	1	-0.06	4.71
CAR	-1.13	-0.06	-3.29	-0.82	-2.29	-0.71	2.57
LV	-1	0.71	-0.71	-0.29	0.88	-0.88	1.50
MIA	0.88	0.35	1.12	2.24	1.94	-0.94	-3.43
IND	-0.19	-2.65	0.53	-0.65	-1.65	-1.12	0.25
CLE	-1.25	-0.53	0.88	2.29	0.47	-1.35	0.63
TB	1.50	3.35	3.06	-1.47	0.71	-1.76	-2.13
NYG	-2.31	-2.59	-1.65	-2.76	-0.47	-2.12	1.29
PIT	2.88	1.18	-0.47	-2.06	-2	-2.29	-0.75
TEN	-2.81	-0.59	-3.65	-1.88	0.29	-2.47	-4
WAS	1.31	-2.29	1.76	-1.82	1.06	-3.29	-2.14
BAL	-4.38	-1.35	-3.29	0.18	-1.06	-3.41	-0.63
NYJ	-5.75	-2.29	1.41	0.47	1.88	-4.12	-0.13

Pass 1stD (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (3.69), 2019 Falcons (4.19), 2020 Chiefs (3.50), 2021 Bills (6.06), 2022 Chiefs (3.76), 2023 Cowboys (3.88), 2024 Bengals (3.59), 2025 Bills (3.12).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Bills 2021 at 6.06; the worst Jets 2020 at -5.75.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_fd
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.