What Pass cmp perc (Off − Def) is

Completion percentage minus completion percentage allowed. Accuracy both ways, with the usual checkdown caveat on each side.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Bills led at 9.19; the league average was 0.04.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

BUF · 9.19

League average

0.04

Best to worst

18.15

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	9.19	17
2	PHI	7.13	17
3	DET	6.74	17
4	NE	5.73	17
5	SEA	5.20	17
6	DEN	5.14	17
7	LAC	3.95	17
8	NO	3.65	17
9	HOU	3.26	17
10	BAL	2.23	17
11	IND	2.08	17
12	PIT	2.05	17
13	GB	1.59	17
14	LAR	1.31	17
15	SF	0.94	17
16	ARI	0.05	17
17	CIN	-0.71	17
18	JAX	-0.99	17
19	DAL	-1.09	17
20	MIN	-1.21	17
21	ATL	-1.40	17
22	LV	-2.10	17
23	CAR	-2.76	17
24	NYG	-3.56	17
25	WAS	-3.90	17
26	TB	-4.02	17
27	KC	-4.57	17
28	MIA	-4.96	17
29	NYJ	-5.27	17
30	CLE	-5.31	17
31	CHI	-8.20	17
32	TEN	-8.96	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 9.19

League laggard

TEN · -8.96

League average

0.04

Spread (max − min)

18.15

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	9.19	9.15	100%
2	PHI	7.13	7.10	96.8%
3	DET	6.74	6.70	93.5%
4	NE	5.73	5.69	90.3%
5	SEA	5.20	5.16	87.1%
6	DEN	5.14	5.10	83.9%
7	LAC	3.95	3.91	80.6%
8	NO	3.65	3.61	77.4%
9	HOU	3.26	3.22	74.2%
10	BAL	2.23	2.19	71%
11	IND	2.08	2.05	67.7%
12	PIT	2.05	2.01	64.5%
13	GB	1.59	1.55	61.3%
14	LAR	1.31	1.27	58.1%
15	SF	0.94	0.90	54.8%
16	ARI	0.05	0.01	51.6%
17	CIN	-0.71	-0.75	48.4%
18	JAX	-0.99	-1.03	45.2%
19	DAL	-1.09	-1.13	41.9%
20	MIN	-1.21	-1.25	38.7%
21	ATL	-1.40	-1.44	35.5%
22	LV	-2.10	-2.14	32.3%
23	CAR	-2.76	-2.80	29%
24	NYG	-3.56	-3.60	25.8%
25	WAS	-3.90	-3.94	22.6%
26	TB	-4.02	-4.06	19.4%
27	KC	-4.57	-4.60	16.1%
28	MIA	-4.96	-4.99	12.9%
29	NYJ	-5.27	-5.31	9.7%
30	CLE	-5.31	-5.35	6.5%
31	CHI	-8.20	-8.24	3.2%
32	TEN	-8.96	-8.99	0%

Does Pass cmp perc (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 876–702–37 ATS (55.5%) across 2020–2025, #57 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (148–106, 58.3%); its worst 2023 (134–124, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	156–114–2	57.8%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	134–124–14	51.9%
2024	272	143–120–9	54.4%
2025	272	148–121–3	55.0%

Pass cmp perc (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024

Bills lead at 9.19 — they ranked #28 last year. Titans are last at -8.96 — #24 last year.

The league average is 0.04, up 0.01 from 0.03 last year.

Biggest riser: Bills, #28 → #1. Biggest faller: Dolphins, #4 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 18.15; 20 teams are within 4.46 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

IND · +14.95

Biggest faller

WAS · −11.98

Most consistent

ARI · −0.31

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.01

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	IND	2.08	-12.86	+14.95
2	BUF	9.19	-4.89	+14.09
3	NE	5.73	-0.39	+6.12
4	GB	1.59	-3.31	+4.89
5	DAL	-1.09	-5.58	+4.49
6	NYG	-3.56	-7.80	+4.24
7	NO	3.65	-0.15	+3.79
8	JAX	-0.99	-4.58	+3.59
9	ATL	-1.40	-4.77	+3.37
10	DEN	5.14	1.84	+3.29
11	LAC	3.95	0.88	+3.06
12	PIT	2.05	-0.78	+2.83
13	CAR	-2.76	-5.43	+2.67
14	PHI	7.13	5.99	+1.15
15	LAR	1.31	0.23	+1.08
16	SEA	5.20	4.32	+0.88
17	SF	0.94	0.36	+0.58
18	ARI	0.05	0.36	−0.31
19	HOU	3.26	4.10	−0.84
20	LV	-2.10	-1.22	−0.88
21	BAL	2.23	3.73	−1.50
22	CLE	-5.31	-2.68	−2.63
23	MIN	-1.21	1.76	−2.97
24	DET	6.74	11.53	−4.80
25	CHI	-8.20	-2.94	−5.26
26	KC	-4.57	1.32	−5.89
27	TEN	-8.96	-3.07	−5.89
28	NYJ	-5.27	0.64	−5.91
29	CIN	-0.71	5.64	−6.35
30	TB	-4.02	4.84	−8.86
31	MIA	-4.96	5.71	−10.66
32	WAS	-3.90	8.09	−11.98

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CIN · 4.36

Multi-year laggard

TEN · -4.15

Biggest improver

NYJ · +2.27/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −2.84/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CIN	4.36	+0.53	1.53	2.26	9.32	2.83	5.64	-0.71	9.66
2	NO	2.99	−1.21	11.49	-4.55	6.02	7.63	-0.15	3.65	-3.17
3	DET	2.98	+1.23	-4.57	0.60	2.66	4.00	11.53	6.74	-0.11
4	SEA	2.71	+0.62	2.40	-1.83	6.91	-2.37	4.32	5.20	4.36
5	BAL	2.23	+1.27	-0.29	0.76	-4.87	6.36	3.73	2.23	7.72
6	BUF	2.21	−0.72	4.95	7.36	-0.39	0.75	-4.89	9.19	-1.47
7	NE	2.09	−0.12	-3.10	8.71	5.04	-0.89	-0.39	5.73	-0.45
8	LAR	2.07	+0.94	3.01	0.32	-1.98	1.23	0.23	1.31	10.40
9	MIN	1.90	+0.98	1.04	2.12	0.78	-3.21	1.76	-1.21	12.04
10	LAC	1.56	−1.01	3.40	1.66	6.88	-0.33	0.88	3.95	-5.51
11	KC	1.55	−0.47	4.14	0.86	0.81	5.15	1.32	-4.57	3.16
12	PIT	1.46	−1.53	8.42	0.70	2.39	3.17	-0.78	2.05	-5.73
13	SF	1.30	+0.45	1.37	-1.29	0.64	2.94	0.36	0.94	4.16
14	DAL	1.28	−1.72	1.23	9.10	1.46	9.45	-5.58	-1.09	-5.65
15	GB	0.52	−1.44	6.41	5.23	-1.24	-1.10	-3.31	1.59	-3.94
16	ARI	0.27	−0.10	3.15	4.91	-5.05	-5.14	0.36	0.05	3.64
17	TB	-0.04	−0.01	-3.42	1.87	2.61	-1.84	4.84	-4.02	-0.31
18	DEN	-0.19	+1.40	-9.22	4.72	-4.27	-1.12	1.84	5.14	1.57
19	WAS	-0.52	−0.92	2.26	-2.19	1.51	-2.10	8.09	-3.90	-7.34
20	CLE	-0.60	+0.16	-0.24	-1.87	1.35	-0.35	-2.68	-5.31	4.91
21	HOU	-0.68	+0.25	0.59	-1.40	-3.87	-4.59	4.10	3.26	-2.88
22	LV	-0.76	−0.28	3.60	2.41	-6.11	-4.29	-1.22	-2.10	2.37
23	PHI	-1.26	+2.09	-13.34	-7.32	2.68	0.64	5.99	7.13	-4.59
24	MIA	-2.04	−2.84	2.67	4.12	-3.55	2.52	5.71	-4.96	-20.83
25	ATL	-2.06	+0.43	-3.02	-1.50	-4.44	-0.36	-4.77	-1.40	1.08
26	JAX	-2.60	+1.39	-7.27	-10.02	2.02	0.76	-4.58	-0.99	1.86
27	IND	-2.80	−0.33	1.31	-3.18	-1.64	-3.83	-12.86	2.08	-1.51
28	NYG	-3.07	−0.04	-5.40	-6.69	4.57	1.13	-7.80	-3.56	-3.74
29	CHI	-3.44	+0.03	1.39	-4.61	-8.22	-3.81	-2.94	-8.20	2.34
30	NYJ	-3.51	+2.27	-10.69	-9.13	-5.36	-0.69	0.64	-5.27	5.96
31	CAR	-3.59	+0.55	-0.11	-6.75	-7.40	-4.35	-5.43	-2.76	1.69
32	TEN	-4.15	−1.99	-1.76	4.58	-2.58	-6.13	-3.07	-8.96	-11.15

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	4.95	7.36	-0.39	0.75	-4.89	9.19	-1.47
PHI	-13.34	-7.32	2.68	0.64	5.99	7.13	-4.59
DET	-4.57	0.60	2.66	4.00	11.53	6.74	-0.11
NE	-3.10	8.71	5.04	-0.89	-0.39	5.73	-0.45
SEA	2.40	-1.83	6.91	-2.37	4.32	5.20	4.36
DEN	-9.22	4.72	-4.27	-1.12	1.84	5.14	1.57
LAC	3.40	1.66	6.88	-0.33	0.88	3.95	-5.51
NO	11.49	-4.55	6.02	7.63	-0.15	3.65	-3.17
HOU	0.59	-1.40	-3.87	-4.59	4.10	3.26	-2.88
BAL	-0.29	0.76	-4.87	6.36	3.73	2.23	7.72
IND	1.31	-3.18	-1.64	-3.83	-12.86	2.08	-1.51
PIT	8.42	0.70	2.39	3.17	-0.78	2.05	-5.73
GB	6.41	5.23	-1.24	-1.10	-3.31	1.59	-3.94
LAR	3.01	0.32	-1.98	1.23	0.23	1.31	10.40
SF	1.37	-1.29	0.64	2.94	0.36	0.94	4.16
ARI	3.15	4.91	-5.05	-5.14	0.36	0.05	3.64
CIN	1.53	2.26	9.32	2.83	5.64	-0.71	9.66
JAX	-7.27	-10.02	2.02	0.76	-4.58	-0.99	1.86
DAL	1.23	9.10	1.46	9.45	-5.58	-1.09	-5.65
MIN	1.04	2.12	0.78	-3.21	1.76	-1.21	12.04
ATL	-3.02	-1.50	-4.44	-0.36	-4.77	-1.40	1.08
LV	3.60	2.41	-6.11	-4.29	-1.22	-2.10	2.37
CAR	-0.11	-6.75	-7.40	-4.35	-5.43	-2.76	1.69
NYG	-5.40	-6.69	4.57	1.13	-7.80	-3.56	-3.74
WAS	2.26	-2.19	1.51	-2.10	8.09	-3.90	-7.34
TB	-3.42	1.87	2.61	-1.84	4.84	-4.02	-0.31
KC	4.14	0.86	0.81	5.15	1.32	-4.57	3.16
MIA	2.67	4.12	-3.55	2.52	5.71	-4.96	-20.83
NYJ	-10.69	-9.13	-5.36	-0.69	0.64	-5.27	5.96
CLE	-0.24	-1.87	1.35	-0.35	-2.68	-5.31	4.91
CHI	1.39	-4.61	-8.22	-3.81	-2.94	-8.20	2.34
TEN	-1.76	4.58	-2.58	-6.13	-3.07	-8.96	-11.15

Pass cmp perc (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (7.43), 2019 Saints (10.70), 2020 Saints (11.49), 2021 Cowboys (9.10), 2022 Bengals (9.32), 2023 Cowboys (9.45), 2024 Lions (11.53), 2025 Bills (9.19).

Saints have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Lions 2024 at 11.53; the worst Eagles 2020 at -13.34.

The league average has risen from -0.07 in 2018 to 0.04 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_cmp_perc
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.