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Buffalo Bills

AFC East

Off EXP
48.99
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#1
Def EXP
48.99
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
Net EXP
97.98
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
2-0
Pythag 8.5 (-6.5)
Power Rating
102.9
#1
SRS
+0.50
#14
SoS Rank
#23
pts: −7.0 (#24)
#23
Pts / Game
38.5
Home 41.0 · Road 36.0
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#1
Net Pts / G
+7.5
#9
Pts Allowed / G
38.5
Home 31.0 · Road 31.0
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#32
Yds / Play
7.10
#1
Yds/Play Allowed
7.10
#32
3rd Down %
57.1%
#3
3rd Down % Allowed
57.1%
#30

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Buffalo Bills's points come from. Total = 77 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for BUF 2026. Click Details for full breakdown.

Special-teams data not available for this team-year.

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for BUF 2026.

Defense pressure data not available for this team-year.

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for BUF 2026. Higher = better.

EPA data not available for this team-year.

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for BUF 2026 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

Air yards data not available for this team-year.

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for BUF 2026. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

Discipline data not available for this team-year.

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2026 vs 2025.

Penalties Yds848131-717
Pass Sacked Yds29816-282
Penalties10115-86

5-Year Trajectory

BUF Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2022 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 2, 2026

W vs DET · 41–31
BUF covered.
2 of 2 favor BUF · 100%

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for BUF 2026.

Cmp %
66.7%
#15
Pass Yds/G
283.0
#4
Pass Rating
125.8
#1
Pass TD
5
#5
Pass Int
Sack Rate
6.3%

Weekly Results

Per-week results, scores, and ATS outcome. See the Weekly Results candlestick below for visual season trajectory.

1@ HOUW36-31W
2vs DETW41-31W
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. BUF has 2 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2026. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

HOUHouston Texans11-01-01-0+5.0+3.5
DETDetroit Lions11-01-01-0+10.0+4.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep22-02-02-0100%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu11-01-01-0100%
Sun11-01-01-0100%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)22-02-02-0100%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass11-01-01-0100%
Turf11-01-01-0100%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same conference11-01-01-0100%
Inter-conference11-01-01-0100%

Weather

Weather data not yet available for this season.

Data coverage: 2015 onward.

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUW2
ATSW2
O/UO2

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak2
Longest SU loss streak0
Longest ATS cover2
Longest ATS no-cover0
Longest O streak2
Longest U streak0

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win11-01-01-0100%
vs winning opp.11-01-01-0100%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor11-01-01-0100%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home11-01-01-0100%
Domestic road11-01-01-0100%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)11-01-01-0100%
Medium (500-1500)11-01-01-0100%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)11-01-01-0100%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 2-02 G
By day of week
ThuATS 1-01 G
SunATS 1-01 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 2-02 G
By surface
GrassATS 1-01 G
TurfATS 1-01 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same conferenceATS 1-01 G
Inter-conferenceATS 1-01 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 1-01 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 1-01 G
Domestic roadATS 1-01 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 1-01 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-01 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G
By opponent SRS
Above avg (9-16)ATS 2-02 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 4.0 ptsBias +4.0 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)2-00.250 #2338.538.548.9948.99
Miami Dolphins (MIA)0-21.000 #213.013.0-8.16-8.16
New England Patriots (NE)1-10.750 #315.015.0-3.47-3.47
New York Jets (NYJ)1-10.250 #2720.020.04.084.08

Insights

As of week 2, how the 2026 Buffalo Bills rank among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per play (1st of 32), offensive pass yards per play (1st of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32), defensive qb pressure rate (31st of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (30th of 32).