NFL 2023 Week 7 Offenses Bubble Chart Graded

NFL 2023 Team Offense Grades Through 6 Weeks

 

NFL 2023 Week 7 Offenses Bubble Chart Graded
NFL 2023 Week 7 Offenses Bubble Chart Graded

NFL 2023 Team Offense Grades Through 6 Weeks

Check out the Team Defense Grades: NFL 2023 Team Defense Grades Through Week 6
Check out the Team Grades –  NFL 2023 Team Grades Through 6 Weeks

With one third of the NFL 2023 season complete, it’s time to hand out 1st Trimester Grades for every NFL Team’s offense.  Every team’s offense will be graded from A to F.  In addition, we will highlight each team’s strength and weakness on offense and compare them against the league average.

Above you can see a bubble chart that ranks every NFL team’s offense based on two parameters:  Points per Drive & Expected Points.  This chart gives a very good idea of the relative strength’s of each teams’ offense, but below you will find a chart with more metrics and parameters.  6 teams have only played 5 games, so their Points For metric will be low.  Teams that have only played 5 games are noted as so next to the Points For metric.

Time to break out the sticky stars, smiley faces, and the occassional note home to the parents.  Here are the first 6 weeks grades for each NFL team’s offense.

NFL 2023 Week 7 Trimester Offensive Stats
NFL 2023 Week 7 Trimester Offensive Stats

Grade A+++

MIAMI DOLPHINS Grade A+++

The Dolphins are averaging over 3 points per drive and over 100 Expected Points.  As the chart shows, they are simply an offensive juggernaut without peer through 6 weeks.  There are only 2 metrics they are average in, and they are the related turnovers & turnover % categories.  So basically when they do not turn the ball over, which they do at an average rate, they score at an unparalleled rate.  Imagine if they minimized turnovers.

  • Point For 223 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 8.0 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 9 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 7.2 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.4 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %   50%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %  12.9% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 111 (avg 7.1)

Grade A

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS Grade A

Every single offensive metric is above average.  The only worry is the lack of turnovers could even out and the 49ers could be less efficient simply due to that.  Another bugaboo is injuries.  Losing McCaffery for any length of time could be troublesome.  Purdy’s 7.6 yrd/att is tremendous as is the nearly 50% scoring %.  6.0 yards per play will work all day long, home or away.

  • Point For 184 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 6.0 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 3 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 7.6 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.5 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  47.8%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   4.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 78.34 (avg 7.1)

BUFFALO BILLS Grade A

The Bills have almost the exact same statistics as the 49ers save one caveat, 9 turnovers vs the Niners measly 3.  Yards/play and pass yards/attempt are both identical to San Fran and the scoring% is within 2%.  With turnovers right around league average this is probably a decent indication of the Bills Offense to come the rest of the season.

  • Point For 173 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 6.0 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 9 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 7.6 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.4 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  46%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   14.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 69.23 (avg 7.1)

Grade B

CHIEFS Grade B+

The Chiefs, like a few other teams, have a good to great offense that is being bogged down by turnovers.  The weakest non turnover metric is yards/rush at 4.3, just a tick above league average.  To maximize the pass game it would behoove the Chiefs to try to get the rush/attempt into the 4.5 – 5.0 range to help convert short third downs, and get the offense on schedule on 1st down.  Minimize the turnovers and fine tune the running game and the Chiefs offense will be fine.

  • Point For 147 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.7 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 9 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.7 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.3 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  46.8%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   12.9% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 50.69 (avg 7.1)

RAMS Grade B

The Rams are the perfect Grade B Offense.  At, or above, league average on every metric, while keeping the turnovers to just 6.  If I am McVay or a Rams fan, I would be pretty happy with the performance of the offense through 6 games, particularly when accounting for the rookie receivers.    Fine tuning would be great, but just steady on would be good enough to keep the Rams in playoff contention the whole year.

  • Point For 138 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.6 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 6 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.4 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  47.5%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   8.2% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 48.94 (avg 7.1)

LIONS Grade B

The Lions are the league darlings, making themselves relevent for the first time in a generation or two.  You have to like what Dan Campbell is doing in Detroit, but there are a few things to be a bit worried about from an offensive standpoint.  The first is the 4.0 yard/att in the rush game.  That needs to get better, particularly when traveling to outdoor stadium in the winter.  The Scoring % would be better if it were in the 40’s but at 39.7% it’s not really that far off.  Love the net yards per pass attempt at 7.3 and 6 turnovers is a number you can live with when putting up 28 pts/game.

  • Point For 168 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.8 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 6 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 7.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  39.7%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   8.8% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 47.14 (avg 7.1)

EAGLES Grade B

The Eagles are almost a mirror image of the Chiefs.  All the offensive metrics are above average with the exception of turnovers.  The fact they have been coming from interceptions is a bit more worrying than fumbles like the Vikings.  The high scoring % is nice, but it is a lot of field goals.  The rush yards/att might be slightly lower due to the amount of Push Tush plays, but the 6.5 yards/pass attempt show more of a short/medium pass attack than the explosive plays the Eagles were making last year.  The Eagles should be fine, but there is room for improvement simply to get back to last year’s level.

  • Point For 155 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.5 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 9 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.5 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  47.6%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   14.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 47.05 (avg 7.1)

CHARGERS Grade B

I am a bit worried about the Chargers.  22 points per game is average.  4.2 yards/rush is average.  However only 2 turnovers is not average, it is best in the league.  It is the fact that the Chargers have been so middling with almost no turnovers that is the worry.  Scoring 43.2% and 2 turnovers with only 22 points/game equates to lots of punts and field goals.  If the turnovers start to even out, it probably won’t help the offensive stats. So where are the Chargers going if they are this average when almost never turning the ball over.

  • Point For 110(avg 125)[5 games]
  • Yards/Play 5.8 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 2 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.9 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  43.2%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   4.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 45.70 (avg 7.1)

TEXANS Grade B-

The Texans are another team that protects the football with only 3 turnovers so far.  The surprise is a robust 6.8 net yards/pass attempt, so CJ Stroud looks to be the right pick.  He’s getting the ball downfield and protecting the football, two things rookie QB’s normally have issues with.  The worry?  A paltry 3.2 yards/rush attempt.  This has to get better for the Texans to win football games in December.  I said it in a results posts, but DeMeco Ryans is hands down Coach of the Yar for me right now.  Yes Shanahan has the Niners playing well, and Detroit’s resurgence is a nice story, but who had the Texans as a possible division winner and playoff team?  My guess is only one guy, DeMeco Ryans.

  • Point For 135 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.3 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 3 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.8 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  42.4%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   4.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 32.78 (avg 7.1)

Grade C

SEAHAWKS Grade C+

The Seahawks are also a protect the football and play defense type of team.  The 3 turnovers are tied for 2nd best which is great.  But start to look at everything else and it’s like white bread without any crust.  Yards/play, Yards/pass attempt, Rush yards/att, all sit almost right on league average.  The score 21 points per game, right on league average.  They get the plus simply for protecting the football, otherwise they are average in every way.

  • Point For 124 (avg 125) [5 games]
  • Yards/Play 5.4 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 3 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  40.7%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   5.6% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 14.69 (avg 7.1)

TITANS Grade C+

Not really sure why I am giving the Titans a C+, as they seem more C or even C- when you watch them.  They dont score many points, their yards/play is below average as is their passing game.  They rely on the rushing game to generate points, however most of the points seem to come by way of field goal as opposed to TDs as a 40% scoring % would suggest when you barely have 100 points scored.  The passing game has to improve or the Titans are not going anywhere this season.

  • Point For 104 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.1 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 7 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.6 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  40%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   10% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 12.09 (avg 7.1)

VIKINGS Grade C+

The Vikings can’t rush the ball very well as the 4.0 rush/attempt metrics shows.  They pass it a bit above average, but that was with Jefferson playing.  The absolute killer and bottom line on the Vikings offense has been the turnovers, 13 of them to lead the league.  The 32.8% scoring % is low, but when factoring in all the turnovers, it actually shows that the Vikings can be a Grade B offense when they hold onto the football.  They problem is they dont hold onto the football and they lost their best player for 4 – 6 games.  It will be interesting to see if Cousins can carry the team through the Jefferson-less stretch and keep the Vikings in the playoff race.

  • Point For 129 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.6 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 13 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  32.8%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   19.7% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 11.91 (avg 7.1)

COWBOYS Grade C

The might be the most generous Grade C.  The Cowboys offense is probably a Grade D, but the field position given to them by the defense for short scoring drives is what gets them up to a C.  Yards/play below average.  Yards/pass att, below average.  Rush yards/att, below average.  And they have only turned the ball over 5 times.  Without the short fields the Cowboys punter would be the MVP.  McCarthey calling plays seems like it is not working and Dak seems to be regressing.  Pollard can’t get the tough yards.  CeeDee Lamb is out there running free and getting frustrated.  This could all work itself out, or it could implode into a giant mess where the Defense simply despises the Offense’s lack of production.

  • Point For 134 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 5 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.8 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  44.2%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   9.6% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 8.05 (avg 7.1)

COMMANDERS Grade C

The Commanders run the ball ok, but their passing game is pretty woeful and they turn the ball over too much.  They are scoring points which may be more a function of field position and defense than anything the offense is doing, because that appears to be very little.  4.9 yards/play, 5.2 yards/pass att, 10 turnovers….Come to think of it, the Grade C may be a bit generous as this is not an offense you want to watch or root for.

  • Point For 133 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 10 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.2 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.3 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  34.8%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   14.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 6.27 (avg 7.1)

BRONCOS Grade C

Yes the Broncos stink.  But that is mostly because of the unholy mess that the defense is in, a topic we will cover in the Defensive Grades article in a few days.  The offense, well it hasn’t been terrible.  11 turnovers is way too many, but 4.9 rush yards, 5.5 yards/play is something you can live with.  Cut down on the turnovers, rely on the run game a bit more to keep that horrendously bad defense off the field whenever possible, and the Broncos can limp their way to 5-6 wins.  Turn the ball over and rely on that defense, and they will be lucky to get to 3 wins.

  • Point For 129 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.5 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 11 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.9 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.9 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  34.4%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   16.4% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 2.59 (avg 7.1)

RAVENS Grade C

The Ravens are a bit of a strange case.  The talents of Lamar Jackson are endless, but he seems to be missing open receivers, particularly when he is on the run.  Yards/play at 5.9 is very good.  Yards/pas att and rush attempt are both above league average.  9 turnovers doesn’t help but with the Ravens defense, this type of production is enough to get them to the Playoffs.  Whether they can advance far into the playoffs with a Grade C offense is a question.

  • Point For 133 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 9 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.2 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.3 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  35.2%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   12.7% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 2.31 (avg 7.1)

PACKERS Grade C 

The Packers probably earned their Grade C is the first few games, because they haven’t been even average of the last few games.  4.9 yards/pay, 3.5 rush yards/attempt are both below par.  Many of these metrics are influence by a hot start and if we looked at just the past few games the Packers offense would probably be lucky to get a Grade D, and more likely an F.  It is hard to predict anything as Jordan Love is an unknown quantity,  He could be the QB we saw in games 1 & 2, or he could be the one we saw recently.  When we know more about that, we will know about the Packers true offensive grade.

  • Point For 113 (avg 125) [5 games]
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 6 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.8 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.5 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  33.9%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   10.7% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 2.30 (avg 7.1)

CARDINALS Grade C

While statistically average, the Cardinals are way better than I thought they would be when picking up their starting QB a few weeks before the season.  And they picked up what most would consider a jouneyman backup in Dobbs.  Well we all owe Mr Dobbs an apology.  He has looked like an average starting QB in the league and that is meant as a huge compliment.  5.7 yards/play, 5.3 rush yards/attempt are both well above average.  Yes the passing game at 5.5/attempt can use some work, but the guy has been in the offense and team for 8 weeks.  Only 7 turnovers and let’s face it, this isn’t the most talented offensive squad in the league.  In fact, many pegged them to be the worst which they are most assureedly not.

  • Point For 117 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.7 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 7 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 5.3 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  37.1%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   11.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points 1.45 (avg 7.1)

JAGUARS Grade C

I have some worries about the Jaguars and Peterson.  He gets credit for being the QB whisperer, but the offensive stats simply don’t bear it out.  And you would be hard pressed to make a case he didnt have potential talent in the QB position in Lawrence.  But 4.9 yards/play, 3.8 yards/rush, -2 expected points….These are not the calling card of an offensive guru at work.  8 turnovers aren’t great but just above league average at 7.7 so they can’t be the cause nor shoulder all the blame.  If things don’t improve offensively in Jax, I think it is fair to question whether Peterson is making the progress he promised or many people expected.

  • Point For 149 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.9 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.8 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  35.6%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   11% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -2.15 (avg 7.1)

BUCCANEERS Grade C

Well Baker hasn’t been bad.  6.3 yards/pass attempt means he is getting it downfield and completing balls to someone. 4 turnovers means he is protecting the ball much better than he ever did.  But the 4.8 yards/play is hampered by the abyssmal 3.0 yards/rush.  It is going to be really hard to generate consistent offense when you can only run the ball for 3 yards and a cloud of dust.  And frankly, Mayfield probably isn’t the QB you want if you always have to throw the ball to win.

  • Point For 90 (avg 125) [5 games]
  • Yards/Play 4.8 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 4 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  37.7%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   7.7% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -4.15 (avg 7.1)

RAIDERS Grade C-

The Raiders are the Bucs with the added bonus of turning the ball over 12 times instead of 4.   Yards/play 4.9, rush.attempt 3.0, but because they turn the ball over way more their scoring % barely breaks 30%.  You can’t win in the league at 30% scoring % unless every single score is a TD.  The fact they have won a few games is most likely due to extremely timely turnovers, sacks or penalties.  Nothing in their offensive metrics shows that the Raiders offense can go out and win a game for you.

  • Point For 100 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 12 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 6.2 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  30.2%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   20.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -5.83 (avg 7.1)

COLTS Grade C-

The Colts metrics look much better than the final product appears to be.  They score points, but are literally average in every other important metric: yards/play 5.1, yards/pass 5.8, rush/attempt 4.2, scoring% 34.7%…Their inflated point total is again probably due to timely circumstances as their expected points is nearly -7.  Nothing much was expected from the Colts offense this year, and that is exactly what we are getting.

  • Point For 140(avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.1 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.8 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  34.7%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   11.1% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -6.91 (avg 7.1)

SAINTS Grade C-

The Saints do almost nothing well on offense.  Points for, yards/play, turnovers, yards/pass, rush/att, scoring% and expected points metrics are all below average.  Their one saving grace is they are average at turning the ball over.  That may be the faintest praise an NFL offense ever received but they have earned it.  I can’t see the Saints going anywhere with this offense but they play in an awful division that someone has to win.  If you are a Saints fan I guess this is the hope you can cling to because your offense basically stinks.

  • Point For 109 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.6 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.4 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.4 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  31.3%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   9% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -9.26 (avg 7.1)

BEARS Grade C-

If the Bears would stop turning the ball over and taking sacks, they might be a slightly above average offense.  Most of their offensive metrics are not that bad, some even good, but their penchant for making the worst play at the worst time, time and time again, is a metric that is hard to define.  The 11 turnovers and sacks every 3rd pass attempt are probably the only hint of the stink the Bears are offensively.  If I showed you their metrics, you probably would guess a more average team than the Bears.  The -9.56 expected points is not good, but again this is more a function of the Bears finding a way to blow themselves up on offense more than a complete lack of talent. Tyson Bagent is not the answer.  I thought my tv went into slow mo mode when his passes were in the air.  He makes Mac Jones look like he has a bazooka.

  • Point For 128 (avg 125) 
  • Yards/Play 5.2 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 11 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.6 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.8 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  37.5%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   17.2% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -9.56 (avg 7.1)

Grade D

FALCONS Grade D+

The Falcons are simply below average at just about everything offensively.  I am not sure Ridder is an NFL starting QB, and most of the metrics would seem to support that conclusion. Yards/play, pass yard/att, and turnovers are all below average, much of it falling back on the QB performance.  Somehow the Falcons even stink at running the ball with Robinson & Allgeier, a measly 4.0 yards/attempt.  Perhaps this is because defenses are keying on the run and daring Ridder to beat them, which thus far he hasn’t really showed he can.  I fear there may need to be a change at QB before we see marked improvement in the Falcons offense.

  • Point For 99 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 5.0 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 10 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.7 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.0 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  29.9%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   14.9% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -20.34 (avg 7.1)

JETS Grade D

Look, if you are the Jets, a Jets coach, a Jets player, or a Jets fan, you need to face reality.  You can run the ball with the best teams; 5.2 yards/attempt.  But you are pitiful trying to pass; 4.7 pass yards/attempt.  And you try passing too often which is killing your yards/play which sits at 4.9.  You want to stay afloat for the Playoffs? Maul and run your way there.  Play action pass when you have to, but bring the lunch pails and hard helmets, play defense, and run your way into the playoffs.  It’s when you fool yourself into believing Zach Wilson can carry the team, that losses start to pile up.  Let him manage and take advantage of stacked boxes.  And Saleh, shut up.  You are like 14 -26 as a coach, you aren’t embarrassing every QB you play.

  • Point For 113 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.9 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 4.7 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 5.2 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  32.4%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   10.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -29.69 (avg 7.1)

BENGALS Grade D

The question for the Bengals has to be, how can you be this bad on offense when you don’t turn the ball over?  Yards/play of 4.2?  That is a joke.  Yards/pass attempt of 4.5?  Who is throwing the ball, the local winner of the 13yr old division of Punt Pass & Kick?  Scoring% of 26.9%?  Expected points of -31?  Quite frankly this isn’t even an NFL offense at this point.  Either the calf muscle is the most important muscle in a QB’s body, or something else is drastically wrong with Joe Burrow and the Bengals.  I almost have to think there is a second injury we are not hearing about that is compounding the calf.  Or a second injury that came from favoring or not healing the calf.  In fact, if things don’t get better the Bengals are going to earn an F and do it pretty easily.

  • Point For 100 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.2 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 5 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 4.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.5 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  26.9%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   7.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -31.06 (avg 7.1)

PANTHERS Grade D

Ok, well we didn’t expect much of the Panthers and we are getting exactly what we expected.  Young needs some time to get used to the size and speed of the NFl game and that’s ok.  I am a bit worried about his stature and size when it comes to deflected passes and avoiding injury on sacks, but other small QBs have proved it is possible to succeed in the league.  Just about everything is bad about this offense right now.  I could list the metrics, but they are all woeful and it would just seem like pointing out what we expected.  This is a work in progress, and it is a work probably going a bit slower than everyone would like.

  • Point For 112 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.4 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 4.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.1 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  29.2%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   12.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -34.1 (avg 7.1)

STEELERS Grade D-

Well the Kenny Pickett revolution seems to be on hold in Pitsburgh for the time being.  This is not all Pickett’s fault as yards/pass attempt is one of the Steelers better, poor metrics at 5.3 yards/attempt.  He has also kept the turnovers down to just 6.  What the Steelers cannot do is run the ball.  3.4 yards/attempt is just pitiful for a team that is draped in rushing history.  They aren’t scoring while not turning the ball over, so if the worm turns and the ball starts bouncing around, the Steelers offense could actually get worse.  It will be interesting to see how Tomlin plays this as I dont think he can get to 9 wins with the status quo.

  • Point For 79 (avg 125) [5 games]
  • Yards/Play 4.5 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 6 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.4 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  25%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   8.3% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -38.37 (avg 7.1)

Grade F

BROWNS Grade F+

Without Deshaun Watson you knew the Browns would struggle, and they have.  Howver they also have struggled with Watson so it may be getting to a point where someone at least needs to find out where the Panic Button is.  4.5 yards/pass attempt is terrible. 4.5 yards per play is terrible. 12 turnovers is awful.  The running game and a scoring% in the low 30’s is the only thing keeping the Browns in games if their defense decides to give up a point or two, which they don’t very often.  The Browns need to figure this out ASAP because they will be wasting an outstanding year by their defense if they can’t find a way to score 20 points a game.  Or 17.  Or maybe ever 14 on some days.  Give your defense a chance to win it.  Run the ball and play smashmouth.

  • Point For 95 (avg 125) [5 games]
  • Yards/Play 4.5 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 12 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 4.5 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 4.5 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  31.3%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   18.8% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -49.03 (avg 7.1)

GIANTS Grade F

The Giants are just a total train wreck of an offense.  There is really not a single thing they do well offensively.  There is almost nothing they even do at an average level, save turnovers at 8.  In every offensive metric they are basically offensive to look at.  4.1 yards/play is something from pop warner. 4.3 yards/pass attempt can only happen if you are afraid to throw the ball further than 10 yards down field.  3.8 yards/rush shows you can’t get any push with the line, and they can’t protect the QB when they pass. They’ve score 71 points and half of it was in one game.  -55 Expected points means they are going to have trouble beating Penn State.  Daboll needs to stop basking in last years’ glow and get to work fixing this or he is going to be out after 2-3 years.

  • Point For 71 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.1 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 8 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 4.3 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.8 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  23.8%(avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   12.7% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -55.12 (avg 7.1)

PATRIOTS Grade F-

And then there are the Patriots.  They are just like the Giants with one exception, they will throw the ball 10 yards downfield.  It’s just that when they do, it most likely gets intercepted.  Mac Jones doesn’t have an NFL arm.  In fact the only arm worse I saw this year is Tyson Bagent of the Bears, and he wasn’t drafted, let alone in round 1.  Eleven turnovers, 3.4 rush/att, 4.5 yards/play, and an eye popping -71.41 Expected points.  Basically if you sent you QB out on the field with a time bomb as a football and let it go off, that offense would be slightly more productive than what the Patriots are trotting out there now.  Everyone on this offense should be wearing a hoodie just to hide their face from the shame.

  • Point For 72 (avg 125)
  • Yards/Play 4.5 (avg 5.2)
  • Turnovers 11 (avg 7.7)
  • Yards/Pass Attempt 5.1 (avg 5.9)
  • Rush Yards/Att 3.4 (avg 4.2)
  • Scoring %  18.3% (avg 36.3%)
  • Turnover %   15.5% (avg 11.7%)
  • Expected Points -71.41 (avg 7.1)

So there you go.  32 grades for 32 NFL offenses.  In a few days we will do the same deep dive for all 32 NFL defenses.  The final installment of the 3 part series will be team grades for each team when factoring in their offense & defensive grades and overall performance.  Best of luck to your team this weekend!