ARI at DAL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 8, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DAL the better side by 9.3.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DAL -6.5
Now DAL -6.5
Line history: DAL -6.5 ×4 (Oct 25–Oct 27)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-5 · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3 | SU 3-4 · ATS 3-3-1 · O/U 5-2 |
| At home | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-2 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 |
| As underdog | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| In division | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 |
| Out of division | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 3-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | ARI | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 142 | 162 |
| Passing | 91 | 101 |
| Rushing | 38 | 45 |
| From penalties | 16 | 20 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 40 of 105 | 43 of 85 |
| Fourth down | 7 of 11 | 5 of 9 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,279 | 2,511 |
| Total plays | 474 | 444 |
| Yards per play | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Drives | 77 | 65 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,607 | 1,851 |
| Completions | 184-298 | 178-283 |
| Yards per pass | 5.4 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 15 (82) | 7 (36) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 672 | 660 |
| Attempts | 181 | 161 |
| Yards per rush | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 9 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 29 | 20 of 30 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 50 (455) | 53 (469) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 6 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 6 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 9 ARI 27, DAL 17 ARI won
- 2023 wk 3 DAL 16, ARI 28 ARI won
- 2021 wk 17 ARI 25, DAL 22 ARI won
- 2020 wk 6 ARI 38, DAL 10 ARI won
- 2017 wk 3 DAL 28, ARI 17 DAL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DAL's offense (3rd) against ARI's defense (31st) in points per drive.
The mismatch
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in points per drive; ARI's defense ranks 31st against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added; ARI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 2nd in red-zone scoring rate; ARI's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-4th in passing first downs; DAL's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks T-3rd in fumbles lost; DAL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 11th in share of drives ending in a turnover; DAL's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 8, 2026: ARI (2 wins, 5 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at DAL (3 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- ARI: interception rate (thrown) 3.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.9 — 5th to 26th in the league.
- DAL: forced fumbles 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 6.0 — 2nd to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: ARI leads DAL 4–0 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jacoby Brissett for ARI, Dak Prescott for DAL.
- ARI enters on 7 days rest to DAL's 6.