NE at CHI
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes CHI the better side by 0.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CHI -1.5
Now CHI -3 — CHI favoured by 1.5 more since first recorded
Line history: CHI -1.5 (Oct 16) · CHI -2.5 (Oct 18) · CHI -3 ×3 (Oct 19–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | NE | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-2 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 0-3 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| In division | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 4-0 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | NE | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 126 | 137 |
| Passing | 67 | 72 |
| Rushing | 49 | 52 |
| From penalties | 11 | 7 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 34 of 77 | 40 of 87 |
| Fourth down | 8 of 10 | 8 of 15 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,293 | 2,440 |
| Total plays | 380 | 432 |
| Yards per play | 6.0 | 5.6 |
| Drives | 64 | 68 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,509 | 1,476 |
| Completions | 121-201 | 143-223 |
| Yards per pass | 7.5 | 6.6 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 11 (48) | 15 (110) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 784 | 964 |
| Attempts | 187 | 216 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 13 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 10 of 25 | 13 of 32 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 44 (352) | 44 (342) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 13 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 6 | 8 |
| Interceptions thrown | 7 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 10 NE 19, CHI 3 NE won
- 2022 wk 7 CHI 33, NE 14 CHI won
- 2018 wk 7 NE 38, CHI 31 NE won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NE's offense (4th) against CHI's defense (32nd) in yards per completion.
The mismatch
- NE's offense ranks 4th in yards per completion; CHI's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- NE's offense ranks 4th in yards per pass attempt; CHI's defense ranks 29th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 8th in yards per play; CHI's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 4th in completion rate; NE's defense ranks 24th against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 6th in yards after catch; NE's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- CHI's offense ranks 2nd in rushing touchdowns; NE's defense ranks T-12th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: NE (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 3-game winning streak at CHI (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- NE: adjusted net yards per pass attempt 8.1 over the last four weeks, up from 3.3 — 31st to 5th in the league.
- CHI: yards per carry 3.7 over the last four weeks, down from 6.1 — 1st to 25th in the league.
- Head-to-head: NE leads CHI 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Drake Maye for NE, Caleb Williams for CHI.