KC at SEA
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes KC the better side by 1.7.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SEA -2.5
Now SEA -2.5
Line history: SEA -2.5 (Oct 16) · SEA -1.5 (Oct 18) · SEA -2.5 ×3 (Oct 19–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | KC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 3-3 · ATS 1-3-2 · O/U 3-3 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
| As favourite | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 3-3 · ATS 1-3-2 · O/U 3-3 |
| In division | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-2 · ATS 0-2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | KC | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 104 | 119 |
| Passing | 57 | 76 |
| Rushing | 43 | 38 |
| From penalties | 15 | 14 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 25 of 59 | 25 of 74 |
| Fourth down | 5 of 8 | 3 of 7 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,108 | 2,112 |
| Total plays | 304 | 375 |
| Yards per play | 6.9 | 5.6 |
| Drives | 55 | 74 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,309 | 1,469 |
| Completions | 105-165 | 126-215 |
| Yards per pass | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 11 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 7 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 6 (38) | 16 (119) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 799 | 643 |
| Attempts | 145 | 165 |
| Yards per rush | 5.5 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 13 of 26 | 12 of 25 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 39 (344) | 47 (448) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 3 | 12 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 7 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 16 SEA 10, KC 24 KC won
- 2018 wk 16 KC 31, SEA 38 SEA won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: KC's offense (T-1st) against SEA's defense (T-22nd) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- KC's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-22nd against it.
- KC's offense ranks 13th in fourth-down conversion rate; SEA's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- KC's offense ranks T-13th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks 27th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 22nd in sack rate (taken); KC's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: KC (5 wins, 0 losses), on a 5-game winning streak at SEA (3 wins, 3 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- KC: completion rate over expected 6.9 over the last four weeks, up from -4.1 — 26th to 3rd in the league.
- SEA: interception rate (thrown) 4.7 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 4th to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Patrick Mahomes for KC, Drew Lock for SEA.
- SEA enters on 10 days rest to KC's 7.