DEN at ARI
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DEN the better side by 1.4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DEN -5.5
Now DEN -4.5 — DEN favoured by 1 less since first recorded
Line history: DEN -5.5 (Oct 16) · DEN -4.5 ×4 (Oct 18–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | DEN | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 1-5 | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-3 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | SU 2-2 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | SU 2-3 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Out of division | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | DEN | ARI |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 95 | 120 |
| Passing | 51 | 79 |
| Rushing | 34 | 32 |
| From penalties | 10 | 14 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 26 of 78 | 35 of 88 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 4 | 5 of 7 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,554 | 1,913 |
| Total plays | 342 | 399 |
| Yards per play | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Drives | 66 | 66 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,049 | 1,335 |
| Completions | 114-199 | 157-247 |
| Yards per pass | 5.3 | 5.4 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 9 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 8 (41) | 12 (69) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 505 | 578 |
| Attempts | 148 | 157 |
| Yards per rush | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 11 of 19 | 11 of 24 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 44 (269) | 41 (396) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 5 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 15 ARI 15, DEN 24 DEN won
- 2018 wk 7 DEN 45, ARI 10 DEN won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DEN's offense (9th) against ARI's defense (29th) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- DEN's offense ranks 9th in red-zone scoring rate; ARI's defense ranks 29th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 9th in fourth-down conversion rate; DEN's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 4th in passing first downs; DEN's defense ranks T-15th against it.
- ARI's offense ranks 19th in expected points added rushing; DEN's defense ranks 29th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 10th in interception rate (thrown); ARI's defense ranks 20th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-18th in rushing first downs; ARI's defense ranks T-28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: DEN (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at ARI (2 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- DEN: forced fumbles 6.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 29th to 4th in the league.
- ARI: passing first downs 60.0 over the last four weeks, up from 19.0 — 25th to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: DEN leads ARI 2–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bo Nix for DEN, Jacoby Brissett for ARI.
- DEN enters on 10 days rest to ARI's 7.