CIN at BAL

Week 7, 2026

What the site's algorithm makes of it

  • CIN 102.0 (11th by power rating)
  • BAL 103.7 (4th by power rating)

Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.

It makes BAL the better side by 4.2.

Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.

Opened BAL -3.5

Now BAL -2.5 — BAL favoured by 1 less since first recorded

Line history: BAL -3.5 (Oct 16) · BAL -3 ×2 (Oct 18–Oct 19) · BAL -2.5 ×2 (Oct 20–Oct 20)

Scoring offense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Scoring defense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Passing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Rushing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Drives

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Conversions

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Betting record — 2026

SplitCINBAL
OverallSU 3-2 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2SU 4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 3-3
At homeSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2
On the roadSU 2-1 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1SU 3-1 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 3-1
As favouriteSU 2-2 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3
As underdogSU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0
In divisionSU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1
Out of divisionSU 3-1 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2SU 4-1 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2
Pick'em (±3)SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2SU 2-1 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1
Favoured by 3-7SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0
Favoured by 7+SU 1-0 · ATS 0-0-1 · O/U 1-0SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2
Dog by 3-7SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0

SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.

Season to date — 2026

MetricCINBAL
1st downs
Total104120
Passing7168
Rushing3048
From penalties1314
Efficiency
Third down34 of 6626 of 66
Fourth down3 of 42 of 5
Volume
Total yards1,7752,305
Total plays308361
Yards per play5.86.4
Drives4967
Passing
Passing yards1,3611,396
Completions135-198119-183
Yards per pass6.97.6
Touchdowns119
Interceptions31
Sacks (yards lost)9 (61)14 (99)
Rushing
Rushing yards414909
Attempts114186
Yards per rush3.64.9
Touchdowns29
Red zone
Scores9 of 2315 of 24
Penalties
Penalties (yards)40 (312)50 (398)
Turnovers
Total54
Fumbles lost23
Interceptions thrown31

Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.

When these two have met

  • 2025 wk 15 BAL 24, CIN 0 BAL won
  • 2025 wk 13 CIN 32, BAL 14 CIN won
  • 2024 wk 10 CIN 34, BAL 35 BAL won
  • 2024 wk 5 BAL 41, CIN 38 BAL won
  • 2023 wk 11 CIN 20, BAL 34 BAL won
  • 2023 wk 2 BAL 27, CIN 24 BAL won

Before the game

  • Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (4th) against CIN's defense (30th) in yards per carry.

The mismatch

  • BAL's offense ranks 4th in yards per carry; CIN's defense ranks 30th against it.
  • BAL's offense ranks 4th in yards per play; CIN's defense ranks 25th against it.
  • BAL's offense ranks 8th in expected points added rushing; CIN's defense ranks 24th against it.
  • CIN's offense ranks 1st in completion rate; BAL's defense ranks 17th against it.
  • CIN's offense ranks T-4th in fourth-down conversion rate; BAL's defense ranks 21st against it.
  • CIN's offense ranks T-1st in third-down conversion rate; BAL's defense ranks 14th against it.

Form and history

  • Week 7, 2026: CIN (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at BAL (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
  • CIN: fourth-down conversion rate allowed 100.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 4th to 32nd in the league.
  • BAL: red-zone scoring rate allowed 43.8 over the last four weeks, down from 83.3 — 28th to 3rd in the league.
  • Head-to-head: BAL leads CIN 11–5 in games since 2018.

Starters and rest

  • Projected starters: Joe Burrow for CIN, Tyler Huntley for BAL.
  • CIN enters on 14 days rest to BAL's 7.

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