TEN at IND
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes IND the better side by 2.9.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened IND -6.5
Now IND -6.5
Line history: IND -6.5 ×2 (Oct 9–Oct 10) · IND -7 ×6 (Oct 12–Oct 16) · IND -6.5 ×15 (Oct 18–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | TEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 1-7 · ATS 4-4 · O/U 4-4 | SU 2-6 · ATS 4-4 · O/U 5-3 |
| At home | SU 0-4 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-3 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 |
| As favourite | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-6 · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3 | SU 1-5 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Out of division | SU 0-6 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-2 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-3 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | TEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 130 | 150 |
| Passing | 73 | 80 |
| Rushing | 43 | 65 |
| From penalties | 10 | 9 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 34 of 94 | 43 of 108 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 10 | 10 of 17 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,279 | 2,482 |
| Total plays | 452 | 514 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| Drives | 83 | 89 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,483 | 1,550 |
| Completions | 155-263 | 164-293 |
| Yards per pass | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 9 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 13 (99) | 23 (153) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 796 | 932 |
| Attempts | 190 | 226 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 10 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 25 | 13 of 24 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 53 (410) | 45 (325) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 10 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | 7 | 6 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 9 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 TEN 26, IND 20 TEN won
- 2025 wk 8 TEN 14, IND 38 IND won
- 2025 wk 3 IND 41, TEN 20 IND won
- 2024 wk 16 TEN 30, IND 38 IND won
- 2024 wk 6 IND 20, TEN 17 IND won
- 2023 wk 13 IND 31, TEN 28 IND won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: IND's offense (T-8th) against TEN's defense (T-30th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- IND's offense ranks T-8th in fourth-down conversion rate; TEN's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 4th in share of drives ending in a score; TEN's defense ranks 25th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 5th in rushing first downs; TEN's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 16th in share of drives ending in a turnover; IND's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 16th in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks 30th against it.
- TEN's offense ranks 20th in expected points added rushing; IND's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: TEN (0 wins, 5 losses), on a 5-game losing streak at IND (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- TEN: opponents' penalty yards 349.0 over the last four weeks, up from 48.0 — 21st to 1st in the league.
- IND: passes defended 24.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: IND leads TEN 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Cam Ward for TEN, Daniel Jones for IND.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.