SEA at DEN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SEA the better side by 3.9.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SEA -1.5
Now SEA -2.5 — SEA favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: SEA -1.5 ×2 (Oct 9–Oct 10) · SEA -3 (Oct 12) · SEA -2.5 ×20 (Oct 13–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | SEA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-3 · ATS 2-3-2 · O/U 3-4 | SU 6-2 · ATS 6-2 · O/U 3-5 |
| At home | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-1-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 4-0 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| As favourite | SU 4-3 · ATS 2-3-2 · O/U 3-4 | SU 5-0 · ATS 5-0 · O/U 3-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Out of division | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-2-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-2 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 2-4 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | SEA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 143 | 132 |
| Passing | 90 | 69 |
| Rushing | 48 | 48 |
| From penalties | 14 | 19 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 36 of 90 | 31 of 100 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 8 | 5 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,522 | 2,234 |
| Total plays | 444 | 452 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 | 4.9 |
| Drives | 82 | 89 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,726 | 1,493 |
| Completions | 146-243 | 149-263 |
| Yards per pass | 7.1 | 5.7 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 16 (119) | 10 (50) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 796 | 741 |
| Attempts | 206 | 197 |
| Yards per rush | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 30 | 15 of 27 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 51 (468) | 61 (428) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 13 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 7 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 8 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 SEA 14, DEN 17 DEN won
- 2024 wk 1 DEN 20, SEA 26 SEA won
- 2022 wk 1 DEN 16, SEA 17 SEA won
- 2018 wk 1 SEA 24, DEN 27 DEN won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DEN's offense (12th) against SEA's defense (T-30th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- DEN's offense ranks 12th in fourth-down conversion rate; SEA's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 2nd in touchdown rate per pass; DEN's defense ranks 16th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 10th in yards per completion; DEN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-8th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-19th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-13th in red-zone scoring rate; SEA's defense ranks T-23rd against it.
- SEA's offense ranks T-20th in rushing first downs; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: SEA (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at DEN (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- SEA: fourth-down conversion rate 20.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- DEN: sack rate (taken) 1.4 over the last four weeks, down from 11.1 — 29th to 1st in the league.
- Head-to-head: SEA leads DEN 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Drew Lock for SEA, Bo Nix for DEN.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.