LAC at KC
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes KC the better side by 11.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened KC -7.5
Now KC -7.5
Line history: KC -7.5 ×2 (Oct 9–Oct 10) · KC -8.5 ×3 (Oct 12–Oct 13) · KC -7.5 ×18 (Oct 16–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | LAC | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 0-7 · ATS 0-6-1 · O/U 1-6 | SU 5-2 · ATS 3-4 · O/U 3-4 |
| At home | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 0-3 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| On the road | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 2-2 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 |
| As underdog | SU 0-5 · ATS 0-4-1 · O/U 1-4 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| In division | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 0-3 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| Out of division | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | LAC | KC |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 116 | 137 |
| Passing | 68 | 78 |
| Rushing | 35 | 53 |
| From penalties | 17 | 20 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 36 of 97 | 34 of 84 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 12 | 7 of 12 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,176 | 2,734 |
| Total plays | 428 | 421 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| Drives | 83 | 74 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,398 | 1,795 |
| Completions | 131-236 | 154-242 |
| Yards per pass | 5.9 | 7.4 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 12 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 4 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (158) | 9 (52) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 778 | 939 |
| Attempts | 194 | 185 |
| Yards per rush | 4.0 | 5.1 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 7 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 8 of 18 | 15 of 30 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 57 (461) | 52 (464) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 16 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 7 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 10 | 4 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 LAC 6, KC 22 KC won
- 2025 wk 15 LAC 16, KC 13 LAC won
- 2025 wk 1 KC 21, LAC 27 LAC won
- 2024 wk 14 LAC 17, KC 19 KC won
- 2024 wk 4 KC 17, LAC 10 KC won
- 2023 wk 18 KC 13, LAC 12 KC won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: KC's offense (2nd) against LAC's defense (23rd) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- KC's offense ranks 2nd in average drive start (yards to go); LAC's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- KC's offense ranks 2nd in yards per completion; LAC's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- KC's offense ranks T-10th in rushing touchdowns; LAC's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 27th in average drive start (yards to go); KC's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LAC's offense ranks T-8th in red-zone scoring rate; KC's defense ranks 12th against it.
- LAC's offense ranks 31st in sack rate (taken); KC's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: LAC (0 wins, 5 losses), on a 5-game losing streak at KC (4 wins, 0 losses), on a 4-game winning streak.
- LAC: forced fumbles 8.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 27th to 2nd in the league.
- KC: average drive start (yards to go) 145.4 over the last four weeks, up from 60.1 — 28th to 1st in the league.
- Head-to-head: KC leads LAC 11–5 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Justin Herbert for LAC, Patrick Mahomes for KC.
- KC enters on 14 days rest to LAC's 7.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.