BUF at LV
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes BUF the better side by 2.5.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened BUF -4.5
Now BUF -5.5 — BUF favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: BUF -4.5 ×2 (Oct 9–Oct 10) · BUF -6 ×3 (Oct 12–Oct 13) · BUF -4.5 ×3 (Oct 16–Oct 16) · BUF -5.5 ×15 (Oct 18–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | BUF | LV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 6-1 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 5-2 | SU 4-4 · ATS 6-2 · O/U 6-2 |
| At home | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| On the road | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 5-1 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 4-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 3-4 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 6-1 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 6-0 · ATS 5-1 · O/U 4-2 | SU 3-3 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-4 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | BUF | LV |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 166 | 167 |
| Passing | 79 | 112 |
| Rushing | 75 | 36 |
| From penalties | 22 | 19 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 35 of 75 | 44 of 101 |
| Fourth down | 7 of 9 | 6 of 14 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,832 | 2,803 |
| Total plays | 429 | 502 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 | 5.6 |
| Drives | 77 | 91 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,793 | 2,185 |
| Completions | 135-222 | 187-308 |
| Yards per pass | 8.1 | 7.1 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 19 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 13 (80) | 11 (64) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,039 | 618 |
| Attempts | 217 | 207 |
| Yards per rush | 4.8 | 3.0 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 21 of 38 | 18 of 40 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 60 (521) | 49 (384) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 11 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 6 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 BUF 33, LV 30 BUF won
- 2023 wk 2 LV 10, BUF 38 BUF won
- 2020 wk 4 BUF 30, LV 23 BUF won
- 2017 wk 8 LV 14, BUF 34 BUF won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: BUF's offense (2nd) against LV's defense (31st) in yards per carry.
The mismatch
- BUF's offense ranks 2nd in yards per carry; LV's defense ranks 31st against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in yards per completion; LV's defense ranks 29th against it.
- BUF's offense ranks 1st in yards per play; LV's defense ranks 29th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 5th in passing first downs; BUF's defense ranks 31st against it.
- LV's offense ranks 5th in touchdown rate per pass; BUF's defense ranks 26th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 8th in expected points added passing; BUF's defense ranks 28th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: BUF (4 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at LV (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- BUF: share of drives ending in a turnover 21.4 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 5th to 31st in the league.
- LV: touchdown rate per pass allowed 8.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 31st in the league.
- Head-to-head: BUF leads LV 2–0 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Josh Allen for BUF, Kirk Cousins for LV.
- LV enters on 7 days rest to BUF's 6.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.