TB at DAL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DAL the better side by 4.2.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DAL -10
Now DAL -9.5 — DAL favoured by 0.5 less since first recorded
Line history: DAL -10 ×7 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · DAL -9.5 ×23 (Oct 6–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | TB | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-4-1 · O/U 4-4 | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-4-1 · O/U 6-2 |
| At home | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2 |
| As underdog | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| In division | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 |
| Out of division | SU 1-5 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | TB | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 142 | 181 |
| Passing | 59 | 111 |
| Rushing | 74 | 53 |
| From penalties | 12 | 23 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 44 of 112 | 50 of 101 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 10 | 6 of 11 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,529 | 2,799 |
| Total plays | 491 | 515 |
| Yards per play | 5.2 | 5.4 |
| Drives | 91 | 78 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,180 | 2,046 |
| Completions | 128-231 | 197-316 |
| Yards per pass | 5.1 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (129) | 11 (63) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,349 | 753 |
| Attempts | 266 | 200 |
| Yards per rush | 5.1 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 10 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 13 of 30 | 23 of 36 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 55 (404) | 60 (514) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 12 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 6 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 7 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 5 TB 24, DAL 16 TB won
- 2024 wk 16 TB 24, DAL 26 DAL won
- 2022 wk 1 TB 19, DAL 3 TB won
- 2021 wk 1 DAL 29, TB 31 TB won
- 2018 wk 16 TB 20, DAL 27 DAL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DAL's offense (2nd) against TB's defense (26th) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- DAL's offense ranks 2nd in average drive start (yards to go); TB's defense ranks 26th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 5th in completion rate; TB's defense ranks 29th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 11th in average drive start (yards to go); DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- TB's offense ranks 8th in yards per carry; DAL's defense ranks 27th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 6th in sack rate (taken); TB's defense ranks 24th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 16th in completion rate; DAL's defense ranks 30th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: TB (0 wins, 4 losses), on a 4-game losing streak at DAL (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jalon Daniels for TB, Dak Prescott for DAL.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.