PHI at JAX
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes JAX the better side by 10.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened JAX -3.5
Now JAX -6.5 — JAX favoured by 3 more since first recorded
Line history: JAX -3.5 ×5 (Oct 4–Oct 5) · JAX -4.5 ×2 (Oct 5–Oct 5) · JAX -6.5 ×2 (Oct 6–Oct 6)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | PHI | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-2 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 3-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| At home | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| As favourite | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| In division | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Out of division | SU 1-2 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 0-3 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | PHI | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 58 | 84 |
| Passing | 34 | 44 |
| Rushing | 21 | 33 |
| From penalties | 8 | 7 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 19 of 53 | 23 of 44 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 7 | |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,149 | 1,312 |
| Total plays | 228 | 220 |
| Yards per play | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Drives | 42 | 37 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 713 | 843 |
| Completions | 68-127 | 72-113 |
| Yards per pass | 5.6 | 7.5 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 8 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 12 (70) | 8 (46) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 436 | 469 |
| Attempts | 103 | 113 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 7 of 15 | 9 of 14 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 29 (193) | 27 (224) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 5 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 9 JAX 23, PHI 28 PHI won
- 2022 wk 4 JAX 21, PHI 29 PHI won
- 2018 wk 8 PHI 24, JAX 18 PHI won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: JAX's offense (T-1st) against PHI's defense (T-27th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- JAX's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; PHI's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 7th in share of drives ending in a turnover; PHI's defense ranks 30th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 5th in expected points added rushing; PHI's defense ranks 28th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 8th in average drive start (yards to go); JAX's defense ranks 19th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks T-4th in fumbles lost; JAX's defense ranks T-12th against it.
- PHI's offense ranks 26th in yards per completion; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: PHI (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at JAX (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 2-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: PHI leads JAX 3–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jalen Hurts for PHI, Trevor Lawrence for JAX.