LV at NE
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes LV the better side by 0.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NE -3.5
Now NE -3.5
Line history: NE -3.5 ×9 (Oct 4–Oct 6)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | LV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 3-1 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| At home | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| As underdog | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 0-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | LV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 87 | 76 |
| Passing | 57 | 38 |
| Rushing | 20 | 32 |
| From penalties | 6 | 8 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 22 of 51 | 20 of 51 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,398 | 1,371 |
| Total plays | 260 | 250 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Drives | 48 | 42 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,026 | 900 |
| Completions | 93-152 | 77-134 |
| Yards per pass | 6.8 | 6.7 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 4 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 7 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 5 (26) | 10 (45) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 372 | 471 |
| Attempts | 119 | 120 |
| Yards per rush | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 2 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 20 | 4 of 13 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 23 (120) | 27 (179) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 7 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 1 LV 20, NE 13 LV won
- 2023 wk 6 NE 17, LV 21 LV won
- 2022 wk 15 NE 24, LV 30 LV won
- 2020 wk 3 LV 20, NE 36 NE won
- 2017 wk 11 NE 33, LV 8 NE won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: LV's offense (T-10th) against NE's defense (T-27th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- LV's offense ranks T-10th in fourth-down conversion rate; NE's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 2nd in sack rate (taken); NE's defense ranks 19th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 18th in yards per carry; LV's defense ranks 31st against it.
- NE's offense ranks 12th in yards per completion; LV's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- NE's offense ranks 9th in rushing first downs; LV's defense ranks 17th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 4th in touchdown rate per pass; NE's defense ranks T-11th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: LV (3 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at NE (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: LV leads NE 3–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kirk Cousins for LV, Drake Maye for NE.