IND at PIT
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 5, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes PIT the better side by 3.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened PIT -2.5
Now PIT -3 — PIT favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: PIT -2.5 ×12 (Oct 4–Oct 9) · PIT -3 ×18 (Oct 10–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | IND | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-6 · ATS 4-4 · O/U 5-3 | SU 6-2 · ATS 6-2 · O/U 4-4 |
| At home | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 4-0 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 5-1 · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-5 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| In division | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| Out of division | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | IND | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 150 | 155 |
| Passing | 80 | 83 |
| Rushing | 65 | 58 |
| From penalties | 9 | 11 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 43 of 108 | 40 of 102 |
| Fourth down | 10 of 17 | 3 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,482 | 2,814 |
| Total plays | 514 | 494 |
| Yards per play | 4.8 | 5.7 |
| Drives | 89 | 90 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,550 | 1,871 |
| Completions | 164-293 | 175-314 |
| Yards per pass | 5.3 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (153) | 23 (187) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 932 | 943 |
| Attempts | 226 | 194 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.9 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 13 of 24 | 12 of 30 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 45 (325) | 47 (414) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 15 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | 6 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 9 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 5 IND 22, PIT 34 PIT won
- 2025 wk 9 IND 20, PIT 27 PIT won
- 2024 wk 4 PIT 24, IND 27 IND won
- 2023 wk 15 PIT 13, IND 30 IND won
- 2022 wk 12 PIT 24, IND 17 PIT won
- 2020 wk 16 IND 24, PIT 28 PIT won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (2nd) against IND's defense (29th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 2nd in yards after catch; IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-2nd in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; PIT's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 9th in yards per carry; IND's defense ranks 28th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 5th in rushing first downs; PIT's defense ranks T-20th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 14th in expected points added rushing; IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
Form and history
- Week 5, 2026: IND (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at PIT (2 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads IND 4–2 in games since 2019.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Aaron Rodgers for PIT.
- PIT enters on 10 days rest to IND's 7.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.