GB at TB
Final
GB 17, TB 14
The game landed exactly on the number — a push.
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes TB the better side by 3.7.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened GB -3.5
Now GB -3 — GB favoured by 0.5 less since first recorded
Line history: GB -3.5 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29) · GB -3 ×35 (Oct 4–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | GB | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 2-4 | SU 1-5 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| At home | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| As favourite | SU 2-1 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| As underdog | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Out of division | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 1-5 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 1-3 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | GB | TB |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 104 | 105 |
| Passing | 73 | 56 |
| Rushing | 23 | 42 |
| From penalties | 17 | 11 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 27 of 75 | 33 of 87 |
| Fourth down | 7 of 11 | 3 of 9 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,043 | 1,883 |
| Total plays | 358 | 374 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 | 5.0 |
| Drives | 67 | 69 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,684 | 1,116 |
| Completions | 135-240 | 121-216 |
| Yards per pass | 7.0 | 5.2 |
| Touchdowns | 11 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 7 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 13 (68) | 22 (127) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 359 | 767 |
| Attempts | 125 | 161 |
| Yards per rush | 2.9 | 4.8 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 11 of 26 | 9 of 21 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 57 (465) | 44 (329) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 7 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 7 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 GB 17, TB 14 GB won
- 2023 wk 15 TB 34, GB 20 TB won
- 2022 wk 3 GB 14, TB 12 GB won
- 2020 wk 6 GB 10, TB 38 TB won
- 2017 wk 13 TB 20, GB 26 GB won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: GB's offense (5th) against TB's defense (29th) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- GB's offense ranks 5th in yards after catch; TB's defense ranks 29th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 8th in yards after catch; GB's defense ranks 28th against it.
- TB's offense ranks T-13th in rushing touchdowns; GB's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- GB's offense ranks 13th in average drive start (yards to go); TB's defense ranks 27th against it.
- TB's offense ranks 10th in yards per carry; GB's defense ranks 17th against it.
- GB's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; TB's defense ranks T-24th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: GB (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at TB (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: TB leads GB 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jordan Love for GB, Baker Mayfield for TB.
- GB enters on 10 days rest to TB's 7.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.