DET at CAR
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes CAR the better side by 4.4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DET -3.5
Now DET -4.5 — DET favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: DET -3.5 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29) · DET -4.5 ×30 (Oct 4–Oct 13)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 5-0 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| At home | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| As favourite | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 4-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| In division | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Out of division | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 5-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | DET | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 121 | 91 |
| Passing | 76 | 63 |
| Rushing | 40 | 24 |
| From penalties | 11 | 7 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 22 of 59 | 19 of 50 |
| Fourth down | 8 of 11 | 3 of 8 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,056 | 1,686 |
| Total plays | 330 | 265 |
| Yards per play | 6.2 | 6.4 |
| Drives | 53 | 46 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,485 | 1,268 |
| Completions | 128-202 | 101-173 |
| Yards per pass | 7.4 | 7.3 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 11 (87) | 10 (63) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 571 | 418 |
| Attempts | 130 | 96 |
| Yards per rush | 4.4 | 4.4 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 17 of 25 | 11 of 20 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 35 (258) | 35 (270) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 1 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 DET 26, CAR 32 CAR won
- 2023 wk 5 CAR 24, DET 42 DET won
- 2022 wk 16 DET 23, CAR 37 CAR won
- 2020 wk 11 DET 0, CAR 20 CAR won
- 2018 wk 11 CAR 19, DET 20 DET won
- 2017 wk 5 CAR 27, DET 24 CAR won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DET's offense (1st) against CAR's defense (32nd) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- DET's offense ranks 1st in red-zone scoring rate; CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 2nd in passing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- DET's offense ranks T-4th in rushing touchdowns; CAR's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- DET's offense ranks 9th in yards per carry; CAR's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 10th in points per drive; DET's defense ranks 31st against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 12th in yards per drive; DET's defense ranks 31st against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DET (2 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at CAR (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 2–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Jared Goff for DET, Bryce Young for CAR.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.