DAL at HOU
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 4, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes HOU the better side by 0.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened HOU -2.5
Now HOU -3 — HOU favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: HOU -2.5 ×4 (Sep 29–Sep 29) · HOU -3 ×30 (Oct 4–Oct 13)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | DAL | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 4-1 | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-4 · O/U 2-3 |
| At home | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 3-0 | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 2-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | DAL | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 113 | 97 |
| Passing | 72 | 60 |
| Rushing | 30 | 29 |
| From penalties | 13 | 8 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 30 of 59 | 25 of 65 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 4 | 2 of 7 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,789 | 1,797 |
| Total plays | 307 | 311 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Drives | 46 | 55 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,381 | 1,402 |
| Completions | 129-200 | 119-200 |
| Yards per pass | 6.9 | 7.0 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 0 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 6 (33) | 14 (93) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 408 | 395 |
| Attempts | 107 | 117 |
| Yards per rush | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 15 of 20 | 10 of 20 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 34 (314) | 42 (388) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 2 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 0 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 DAL 34, HOU 30 DAL won
- 2024 wk 11 HOU 34, DAL 10 HOU won
- 2022 wk 14 HOU 23, DAL 27 DAL won
- 2018 wk 5 DAL 16, HOU 19 HOU won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: HOU's offense (T-1st) against DAL's defense (T-29th) in interception rate (thrown).
The mismatch
- HOU's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); DAL's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 1st in share of drives ending in a score; HOU's defense ranks T-25th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added; HOU's defense ranks 21st against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; DAL's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks 15th in average drive start (yards to go); DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added passing; HOU's defense ranks 19th against it.
Form and history
- Week 4, 2026: DAL (1 win, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at HOU (0 wins, 3 losses), on a 3-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: HOU leads DAL 2–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Dak Prescott for DAL, C.J. Stroud for HOU.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.