LAR at DEN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DEN the better side by 0.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened LAR -2.5
Now DEN -1.5 — the favourite flipped from LAR to DEN since first recorded
Line history: LAR -2.5 ×7 (Sep 22–Sep 25) · DEN -1.5 ×26 (Sep 28–Oct 12)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | LAR | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 |
| At home | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 |
| As favourite | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | LAR | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 90 | 82 |
| Passing | 57 | 45 |
| Rushing | 28 | 28 |
| From penalties | 0 | 9 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 23 of 50 | 22 of 64 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 6 | 2 of 3 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,709 | 1,373 |
| Total plays | 268 | 286 |
| Yards per play | 6.4 | 4.8 |
| Drives | 47 | 53 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,202 | 942 |
| Completions | 101-171 | 97-170 |
| Yards per pass | 7.0 | 5.5 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 6 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 6 (41) | 6 (28) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 507 | 431 |
| Attempts | 105 | 120 |
| Yards per rush | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 0 of 19 | 9 of 17 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 0 (0) | 36 (227) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 6 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 LAR 26, DEN 30 DEN won
- 2022 wk 16 DEN 14, LAR 51 LAR won
- 2018 wk 6 LAR 23, DEN 20 LAR won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: LAR's offense (6th) against DEN's defense (30th) in yards per carry.
The mismatch
- LAR's offense ranks 6th in yards per carry; DEN's defense ranks 30th against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 3rd in yards per play; DEN's defense ranks 21st against it.
- LAR's offense ranks 3rd in sack rate (taken); DEN's defense ranks 18th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 16th in sack rate (taken); LAR's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-12th in fumbles lost; LAR's defense ranks T-21st against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 15th in expected points added rushing; LAR's defense ranks 22nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: LAR (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at DEN (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: LAR leads DEN 2–0 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Matthew Stafford for LAR, Bo Nix for DEN.
- DEN enters on 7 days rest to LAR's 6.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.