SF at DAL
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SF the better side by 4.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SF -3.5
Now SF -3.5
Line history: SF -3.5 ×4 (Nov 6–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | SF | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 7-1 · ATS 5-3 · O/U 4-4 | SU 4-5 · ATS 3-5-1 · O/U 6-3 |
| At home | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-2 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 3-2 |
| As favourite | SU 5-1 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-3 | SU 3-4 · ATS 2-5 · O/U 4-3 |
| As underdog | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| In division | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 |
| Out of division | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-4 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | SF | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 174 | 203 |
| Passing | 97 | 122 |
| Rushing | 70 | 62 |
| From penalties | 16 | 25 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 46 of 88 | 55 of 117 |
| Fourth down | 8 of 11 | 7 of 12 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 3,062 | 3,313 |
| Total plays | 467 | 585 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 | 5.7 |
| Drives | 78 | 92 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,980 | 2,381 |
| Completions | 163-245 | 218-353 |
| Yards per pass | 8.1 | 6.7 |
| Touchdowns | 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 8 (48) | 14 (69) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,082 | 932 |
| Attempts | 234 | 234 |
| Yards per rush | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 11 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 23 of 35 | 25 of 40 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 50 (445) | 74 (667) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 9 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | 5 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 8 DAL 24, SF 30 SF won
- 2023 wk 5 DAL 10, SF 42 SF won
- 2020 wk 15 SF 33, DAL 41 DAL won
- 2017 wk 7 DAL 40, SF 10 DAL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SF's offense (1st) against DAL's defense (31st) in yards per drive.
The mismatch
- SF's offense ranks 1st in yards per drive; DAL's defense ranks 31st against it.
- SF's offense ranks 2nd in third-down conversion rate; DAL's defense ranks T-31st against it.
- SF's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added; DAL's defense ranks 31st against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 5th in sack rate (taken); SF's defense ranks 29th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 15th in completion rate; SF's defense ranks 30th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks T-2nd in share of drives ending in a score; SF's defense ranks 17th against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: SF (7 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak at DAL (4 wins, 5 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- SF: share of drives ending in a turnover 25.9 over the last four weeks, up from 7.8 — 8th to 32nd in the league.
- DAL: QB hits 27.0 over the last four weeks, up from 19.0 — 29th to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: SF leads DAL 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Brock Purdy for SF, Dak Prescott for DAL.