SEA at LV
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes SEA the better side by 4.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened SEA -3
Now SEA -3.5 — SEA favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: SEA -3 (Nov 9) · SEA -3.5 ×2 (Nov 10–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | SEA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-4 · ATS 3-4-2 · O/U 4-5 | SU 4-5 · ATS 6-3 · O/U 7-2 |
| At home | SU 4-2 · ATS 2-2-2 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 4-1 |
| As favourite | SU 5-4 · ATS 3-4-2 · O/U 4-5 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| As underdog | SU 3-5 · ATS 5-3 · O/U 7-1 | |
| In division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 3-3 · ATS 1-3-2 · O/U 3-3 | SU 3-4 · ATS 4-3 · O/U 6-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-3 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 2-4 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | SEA | LV |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 181 | 181 |
| Passing | 111 | 123 |
| Rushing | 58 | 38 |
| From penalties | 18 | 22 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 44 of 114 | 50 of 110 |
| Fourth down | 5 of 10 | 6 of 15 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 3,086 | 3,043 |
| Total plays | 559 | 549 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Drives | 102 | 100 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 2,089 | 2,401 |
| Completions | 182-309 | 209-340 |
| Yards per pass | 6.8 | 7.1 |
| Touchdowns | 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions | 9 | 8 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 19 (136) | 11 (64) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 997 | 642 |
| Attempts | 258 | 222 |
| Yards per rush | 3.9 | 2.9 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 15 of 37 | 19 of 43 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 65 (594) | 54 (413) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 14 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 7 | 5 |
| Interceptions thrown | 9 | 8 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 12 LV 40, SEA 34 LV won
- 2018 wk 6 SEA 27, LV 3 SEA won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: SEA's offense (T-7th) against LV's defense (31st) in passing first downs.
The mismatch
- SEA's offense ranks T-7th in passing first downs; LV's defense ranks 31st against it.
- SEA's offense ranks 10th in touchdown rate per pass; LV's defense ranks 30th against it.
- SEA's offense ranks T-14th in rushing first downs; LV's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- LV's offense ranks 1st in sack rate (taken); SEA's defense ranks 12th against it.
- LV's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; SEA's defense ranks T-26th against it.
- LV's offense ranks T-23rd in fourth-down conversion rate; SEA's defense ranks 31st against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: SEA (5 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at LV (4 wins, 5 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- SEA: takeaway rate (share of opponent drives) 4.8 over the last four weeks, down from 18.3 — 2nd to 29th in the league.
- LV: forced fumbles 1.0 over the last four weeks, down from 11.0 — 1st to 27th in the league.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Sam Darnold for SEA, Kirk Cousins for LV.