PIT at CIN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes CIN the better side by 4.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CIN -3.5
Now CIN -3.5
Line history: CIN -3.5 ×4 (Nov 6–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | PIT | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 6-2 · ATS 6-2 · O/U 4-4 | SU 6-2 · ATS 4-3-1 · O/U 5-3 |
| At home | SU 4-0 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| As favourite | SU 5-1 · ATS 5-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 5-2 · ATS 3-3-1 · O/U 5-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| In division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Out of division | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 5-1 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 3-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | PIT | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 155 | 178 |
| Passing | 83 | 120 |
| Rushing | 58 | 49 |
| From penalties | 11 | 19 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 40 of 102 | 53 of 97 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 6 | 3 of 5 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,814 | 3,071 |
| Total plays | 494 | 484 |
| Yards per play | 5.7 | 6.3 |
| Drives | 90 | 82 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,871 | 2,386 |
| Completions | 175-314 | 219-312 |
| Yards per pass | 6.0 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 13 | 23 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (187) | 15 (102) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 943 | 685 |
| Attempts | 194 | 177 |
| Yards per rush | 4.9 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 5 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 30 | 21 of 41 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 47 (414) | 55 (437) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 9 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 6 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 CIN 27, PIT 30 PIT won
- 2025 wk 11 CIN 12, PIT 34 PIT won
- 2025 wk 7 PIT 31, CIN 33 CIN won
- 2024 wk 18 CIN 19, PIT 17 CIN won
- 2024 wk 13 PIT 44, CIN 38 PIT won
- 2023 wk 16 CIN 11, PIT 34 PIT won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (3rd) against CIN's defense (32nd) in yards per carry.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 3rd in yards per carry; CIN's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 5th in yards after catch; CIN's defense ranks 31st against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 4th in expected points added rushing; CIN's defense ranks 28th against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 1st in completion rate; PIT's defense ranks T-22nd against it.
- CIN's offense ranks 1st in average drive start (yards to go); PIT's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- CIN's offense ranks T-12th in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks 22nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: PIT (6 wins, 2 losses), on a 4-game winning streak at CIN (6 wins, 2 losses), on a 4-game winning streak.
- PIT: yards per completion allowed 8.3 over the last four weeks, down from 10.8 — 26th to 3rd in the league.
- CIN: field-goal rate 1.0 over the last four weeks, down from 5.0 — 4th to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads CIN 11–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Aaron Rodgers for PIT, Joe Burrow for CIN.
- PIT enters on 14 days rest to CIN's 7.